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211 Wells St
D Composite 41.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.1/30.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$168,000

211 Wells St · Swainsboro, GA 30401
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,715 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 309 Days on market
Built 1970 0.42 ac lot $98/sqft · 26% below area Est $228k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Take a look at this beautiful home on the edge of town in a low traffic area! House features a metal roof, spacious open yard, road access from front or rear of property, and so much more. You will be only a few minutes drive from shopping, medical offices, restaurants and much more! This one wont last long.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Spacious open yard
  • 0.42 acre lot

Tags

METAL ROOFSPACIOUS OPEN YARDROAD ACCESS FROM FRONT OR REAR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $168k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-822/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $156k (7.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (27.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (27.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#450 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Emanuel County (town): math 27% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #110 of 174 in GA (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 76 units permitted in Emanuel County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Emanuel County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 309 days — a 12% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $168k implies a 740% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,890 (27.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 309 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.75%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$228,116
List price
$168,000
Delta
-26.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
213 New Turner Dr 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,562 (-9%) 13mo $225,000 $144 69
219 Loblolly Dr 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,606 (-6%) 8mo $205,000 $128 62
161 Ponderosa Dr 0.35mi 3/2.5 1,692 (-1%) 21mo $230,000 $136 60
117 Canterbury Ln 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,685 (-2%) 16mo $223,000 $132 58
423 William Rountree St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,556 (-9%) 0mo $65,000 $42 52
6 Timber Trl 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,750 (+2%) 16mo $248,000 $142 50
6 Timber Trl 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,750 (+2%) 16mo $248,000 $142 50
1179 Paris Ave Lot 16 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,601 (-7%) 17mo $275,000 $172 49
1064 Paris Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,716 (+0%) 22mo $340,000 $198 49
169 Ponderosa Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,912 (+12%) 18mo $249,900 $131 46
1107 Paris Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,607 (-6%) 18mo $284,000 $177 45
1159 Paris Ave 0.59mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,899 (+11%) 10mo $310,000 $163 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.2%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-31,645
Equity at exit
$25,049
10-year hold
IRR
-12.0%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-33,419
Equity at exit
$14,526

Cash invested: $47,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30401

Home prices YoY
-11.8%
Active inventory
81
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,219 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$881
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $965/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$-68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,306
Max offer price $155,906
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $27 -5% $-21 +0% $-68 +5% $-116 +10% $-164
Rent -10% $-165 -5% $-117 +0% $-68 +5% $-20 +10% $28
Rate -1.0pp $16 -0.5pp $-26 base $-68 +0.5pp $-112 +1.0pp $-156

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,000
Closing costs
$5,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $168,000 Active 309 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $168,000 Active 308 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $168,000 Active 307 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $168,000 Active 306 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $168,000 Active 305 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $168,000 Active 303 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $168,000 Active 302 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $168,000 Active 299 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $168,000 Active 298 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $168,000 Active 297 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $168,000 Active 293 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $168,000 Active 292 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $168,000 Active 291 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $168,000 Active 290 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $168,000 Active 289 DOM
  16. 2025-08-14
    listed $168,000 New 309-char remark
    Show marketing remark (309 chars)

    Take a look at this beautiful home on the edge of town in a low traffic area! House features a metal roof, spacious open yard, road access from front or rear of property, and so much more. You will be only a few minutes drive from shopping, medical offices, restaurants and much more! This one wont last long.

  17. 2017-02-17
    soldstatus $20,000 223-char remark
    Show marketing remark (223 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 1.5 bath home conveniently located close to town. Large kitchen, living room/family room combo, oversized storage room, nice lot and partially fenced. Guest bathroom has been remodeled. Call to view this home!

  18. 2016-10-07
    listed $20,000 223-char remark
    Show marketing remark (223 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 1.5 bath home conveniently located close to town. Large kitchen, living room/family room combo, oversized storage room, nice lot and partially fenced. Guest bathroom has been remodeled. Call to view this home!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$965 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,546 · $129/mo
Expected delta
+$581/yr (+$48/mo · 60.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,627
− Mortgage interest
−$9,411
− Property taxes
−$965
− Insurance
−$840
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,170
− Management
−$1,170
− Depreciation
−$4,887
Taxable loss
−$3,816
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$916
After-tax cash flow
$94/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Emanuel County
NCES district ID
1302040
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$31,771
Composite
23.21/100
National rank
#7941
State rank
#110 of 174 in GA

Livability — Swainsboro

Score
58/100
State rank
#450
US rank
#21414

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Swainsboro, GA
City population
14,232
Population (ZIP)
14,232

Population outlook (Emanuel County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,093 people
By 2030
21,595 · -2.3%
By 2040
20,343 · -7.9%
By 2050
18,759 · -15.1%
By 2075
14,327 · -35.2%
By 2100
8,496 · -61.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Emanuel

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.8% · R 71.9%
2008→2024 swing
-19.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.8pp · 2024: -44.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.1 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+24.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.97%
Current HPI
209.5498
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+740.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-14 Listed $168,000 GAMLS
  • 2017-02-17 Sold (MLS) $20,000 GAMLS
  • 2016-10-07 Listed $20,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $965 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…