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524 Oakhurst Ave
C- Composite 54.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

524 Oakhurst Ave · Hazard, KY 41701
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,944 sqft · Other public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1940 5,663 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Historic home in the Hazard City limits in need of repairs. Great fixer upper or flip.

Key facts

  • New kitchen
  • Spacious backyard
  • Unfinished basement

Tags

LOFT AREAUNFINISHED BASEMENTSPACIOUS BACKYARDNEW KITCHENNEW ROOFNEW HVAC UNIT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway/parking; Detached garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Metal siding
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Cooktop
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors; Vinyl floors
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: 10 total rooms; Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.9% in Hazard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#196 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hazard Independent (town): math 31% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #39 of 165 in KY (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hazard High School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #76 of 254 statewide, top 34%, 277 students, 58% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Perry County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $150k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.41%
Cash-on-cash
7.57%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-7,471
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$15,055
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 41701

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,512 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $967/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$265

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,177
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $150,000 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    remarks 402-char remark
  6. 2026-06-07
    listed $150,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$967 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,290 · $108/mo
Expected delta
+$323/yr (+$27/mo · 33.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥99°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,148
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$967
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,452
− Management
−$1,452
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$761
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$183
After-tax cash flow
$2,998/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hazard Independent
NCES district ID
2102670
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,115
Composite
32.59/100
National rank
#5676
State rank
#39 of 165 in KY

Livability — Hazard

Score
68/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#9701

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hazard, KY
Population (ZIP)
16,646

Population outlook (Perry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,976 people
By 2030
23,390 · -6.4%
By 2040
20,270 · -18.8%
By 2050
17,547 · -29.7%
By 2075
12,599 · -49.6%
By 2100
9,358 · -62.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Vietnam
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Perry

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.5) · D 19.7% · R 79.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-27.5pp toward R · 2008: -32.0pp · 2024: -59.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.5 2020: R+54.3 2016: R+57.0 2012: R+58.5 2008: R+32.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.13%
Current HPI
143.629
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+87.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $150,000 EKAR
  • 2022-08-03 Sold (MLS) $55,000 EKAR
  • 2022-06-02 Listed $80,000 EKAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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