524 Oakhurst Ave · Hazard, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Historic home in the Hazard City limits in need of repairs. Great fixer upper or flip.
Key facts
- New kitchen
- Spacious backyard
- Unfinished basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway/parking; Detached garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories; Residential zoning
- Construction: Metal siding
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Cooktop
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Vinyl floors
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: 10 total rooms; Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.9% in Hazard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#196 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Hazard Independent (town): math 31% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #39 of 165 in KY (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hazard High School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #76 of 254 statewide, top 34%, 277 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Perry County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $150k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.57%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-7,471
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $15,055
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41701
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,512 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $967/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $265
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $150,000 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 402-char remark
-
2026-06-07$150,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $967 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,290 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- +$323/yr (+$27/mo · 33.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥99°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,148
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$967
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,452
- − Management
- −$1,452
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $761
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$183
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,998/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazard Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2102670
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,115
- Composite
- 32.59/100
- National rank
- #5676
- State rank
- #39 of 165 in KY
Livability — Hazard
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #9701
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hazard, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,646
Population outlook (Perry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,976 people
- By 2030
- 23,390 · -6.4%
- By 2040
- 20,270 · -18.8%
- By 2050
- 17,547 · -29.7%
- By 2075
- 12,599 · -49.6%
- By 2100
- 9,358 · -62.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Perry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.5) · D 19.7% · R 79.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.5pp toward R · 2008: -32.0pp · 2024: -59.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.5 2020: R+54.3 2016: R+57.0 2012: R+58.5 2008: R+32.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.13%
- Current HPI
- 143.629
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+87.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $150,000 EKAR
- 2022-08-03 Sold (MLS) $55,000 EKAR
- 2022-06-02 Listed $80,000 EKAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…