1813 Cambria Ave · Windber, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come tour this cozy three bedroom home located in Windber! Featuring a separate dining room, living room and Laundry on the first floor as an added bonus! Kitchen includes wood cabinets & lvp flooring and a stainless steel refrigerator . Relax on the nice covered porch or continue the tradition of cheering on the Steelers in the heated garage! The garage has a basement and a full attic for more storage! Nice corner lot with a fire pit and basketball hoop for recreation. Extra storage and shower & toilet in the basement! New gas furnace & metal roof in 2022. Close to school, restaurants & medical facilities! Call today! ALL OFFERS IN BY 7 PM TUESDAY 4-7-26
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Separate dining room
- Living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $480 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#606 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Windber Area SD (suburban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #166 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Somerset County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $85k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.02%
- DSCR
- 2.20
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $105,742
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 Railroad St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,305 (+2%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $73 | 78 |
| 1805 Somerset Ave | 0.08mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,246 (-2%) | 12mo | $95,000 | $76 | 76 |
| 707 12th St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,274 (0%) | 19mo | $192,500 | $151 | 59 |
| 902 17th St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,088 (-15%) | 9mo | $90,000 | $83 | 57 |
| 310 11th St | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,233 (-3%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $97 | 57 |
| 2222 Jackson Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,426 (+12%) | 3mo | $112,000 | $79 | 56 |
| 702 25th St | 0.37mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,352 (+6%) | 10mo | $193,000 | $143 | 54 |
| 306 12th St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+10%) | 6mo | $92,000 | $66 | 51 |
| 711 Graham Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-3%) | 15mo | $20,000 | $16 | 48 |
| 2505 Cambria Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,410 (+11%) | 16mo | $168,500 | $120 | 46 |
| 808 12th St | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 | 1,412 (+11%) | 12mo | $187,500 | $133 | 45 |
| 198 Pomroys Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,455 (+14%) | 9mo | $105,000 | $72 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $16,845
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $54,190
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15963
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,393 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,018/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $480
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-09status Pending
-
2026-04-03$84,900 Active
-
2026-04-03$84,900 Active
-
2002-10-01soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,018 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,180 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- +$162/yr (+$13/mo · 15.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,721
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,018
- − Insurance
- −$1,091
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,338
- − Management
- −$1,338
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $4,711
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,131
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,627/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Windber Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226610
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,802
- Composite
- 43.54/100
- National rank
- #2985
- State rank
- #166 of 539 in PA
Livability — Windber
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #606
- US rank
- #5843
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Windber, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,383
Population outlook (Somerset County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,318 people
- By 2030
- 68,555 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 62,447 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 56,437 · -20.9%
- By 2075
- 44,453 · -37.7%
- By 2100
- 32,408 · -54.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 17% Slovak 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Somerset
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -57.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.2 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+55.9 2012: R+42.9 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.99%
- Current HPI
- 142.2017
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+63.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Pending — CSMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $84,900 CSMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $84,900 CSMLS
- 2002-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2026): $1,018 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…