2411 Rodge Dr · Tyler, TX 75701

$205,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market

Built 1955 Est $177k · 16% over

---

Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +13.5/30.0
• DSCR +4.1/10.0
• 1% rule +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +3.4/5.0
• Schools +3.3/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.4/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This property features three bedrooms and one bathroom and has been comprehensively updated throughout. Key interior highlights include stylish wood-look flooring and granite countertops in the kitchen, complemented by a modern, tiled shower in the bathroom. The exterior boasts a private, fully fenced-in backyard. Ideally situated, the home offers convenient access to TJC, UT Tyler, local shopping, grocery stores, and various dining options. Key Highlights: * Interior Updates: Completely renovated with modern, high-quality finishes. * Kitchen Features: Upgraded with granite countertops and durable, aesthetic wood-look flooring. * Bathroom: Features a contemporary tiled shower. * Exteri

Key facts

• Granite countertops
• Modern tiled shower
• Garage

Tags

• GRANITE COUNTERTOPS
• MODERN TILED SHOWER
• CONVENIENT ACCESS TO TJC
• CONVENIENT ACCESS TO UT TYLER

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: 1-car garage
• Home design: Single-family detached residence; Single story
• Construction: Brick and wood siding construction; Composition roof
• Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Chain link fencing

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
• Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
• Interior features: Electric oven and electric range; Ceiling fans; Central air

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $8 ($91/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (11.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $182k (11.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.6% in Tyler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in TX, #4,181 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, commute F.
• Tyler ISD (urban): math 39% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #449 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Clarkston El (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 363 students, 81% FRL); Hubbard Middle (math 47% / reading 45%, grade D+, #462 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 869 students, 62% FRL); Tyler Legacy H S (math 34% / reading 49%, grade F, #767 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 2,594 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 67% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $181,892 (11.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.89% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.34%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.16%
• DSCR: 1.01
• GRM: 9.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $177,216
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3801 Old Troup Hwy	0.30mi	3/1.0	1,394 (+12%)	20mo	$178,200	$128	50
1703 E Barbara St	0.72mi	3/2.0	1,313 (+5%)	10mo	$279,900	$213	45
2501 Villa Ct	0.63mi	2/2.5 (-1)	1,409 (+13%)	8mo	$199,500	$142	31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.45×
• Total profit: $-31,484
• Equity at exit: $30,566

10-year hold

• IRR: -5.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.62×
• Total profit: $-21,592
• Equity at exit: $17,725

Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75701

• Rents YoY: 3.7%
• Active inventory: 327
• Price-to-rent: 9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,819 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,075
• Tax from tax record: −$269 /mo · $3,227/yr
• Insurance: −$85
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$382
• Net cashflow: $8

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,809

Max offer price $205,000

Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $124	-5% $66	+0% $8	+5% $-50	+10% $-108
Rent	-10% $-136	-5% $-64	+0% $8	+5% $79	+10% $151
Rate	-1.0pp $111	-0.5pp $60	base $8	+0.5pp $-46	+1.0pp $-100

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $51,250
• Closing costs: $6,150
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 22 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3038 Santa Elena Dr Tyler, TX	3.0	2.0	1305	$2,485	$1.90	14d	1	0.13mi
3032 Santa Elena Dr Tyler, TX	3.0	2.0	1473	$2,485	$1.69	44d	1	0.13mi
3113 Greg Ln Tyler, TX	3.0	1.5	1157	$1,300	$1.12	14d	1	0.25mi
2725 Amy Ln Tyler, TX	2.0	1.5	1146	$1,520	$1.33	14d	1	0.33mi
3304 Golden Rd Unit 1222 Tyler, TX	2.0	2.0	811	$1,274	$1.57	44d	1	0.39mi
3304 Golden Rd Unit 1422 Tyler, TX	2.0	2.0	811	$1,274	$1.57	22d	1	0.39mi
4400 Troup Hwy Tyler, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	744	$1,224	$1.64	14d	10	0.75mi
4418 Edinburgh Dr Tyler, TX	3.0	2.0	1407	$1,750	$1.24	44d	1	0.78mi
4309 Aberdeen Dr Tyler, TX	3.0	2.0	1219	$1,475	$1.21	44d	1	0.79mi
1909 Sybil Ln Tyler, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1067	$1,510	$1.42	14d	9	0.82mi
4518 Edinburgh Dr Unit 4520 Edinburgh Tyler, TX	3.0	2.0	1436	$1,425	$0.99	22d	1	0.84mi
4520 Edinburgh Dr Tyler, TX	3.0	2.0	1436	$1,425	$0.99	22d	1	0.84mi
4400 Paluxy Dr Tyler, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	905	$1,227	$1.36	14d	60	0.93mi
4600 Paluxy Dr Tyler, TX	2.0	1.0–2.0	585	$1,006	$1.72	14d	15	1.03mi
2319 Hunter St Tyler, TX	3.0	1.0	1200	$1,225	$1.02	44d	1	1.10mi
4920 Thistle Dr Tyler, TX	3.0	1.0–2.0	775	$1,387	$1.79	14d	8	1.25mi
3629 McDonald Rd Tyler, TX	2.0	2.0	1287	$1,325	$1.03	22d	1	1.28mi
826 Wilma St Tyler, TX	3.0	2.0	1210	$1,800	$1.49	14d	1	1.33mi
1712 Redbud Ave Tyler, TX	3.0	1.5	1305	$1,475	$1.13	22d	1	1.36mi
2531 Westminster Dr Tyler, TX	3.0	2.0	1410	$1,425	$1.01	22d	1	1.41mi
1313 S Tipton Ave Tyler, TX	2.0	1.0	816	$1,200	$1.47	14d	1	1.45mi
2525 Shiloh Rd Tyler, TX	3.0–4.0	2.0	1360	$1,379	$1.01	14d	1	1.47mi

Listing history 24 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $205,000 Active 24 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $205,000 Active 23 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   pricedays on market $205,000 Active 22 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $219,000 Active 21 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $219,000 Active 20 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $219,000 Active 18 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $219,000 Active 17 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $219,000 Active 15 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $219,000 Active 14 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,000 Active 13 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,000 Active 12 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $219,000 Active 9 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,000 Active 7 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,000 Active 6 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,000 Active 5 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $219,000 Active 4 DOM
17. 2026-05-26
    listed $219,000 Active
18. 2023-06-20
    soldstatus
19. 2012-08-17
    soldstatus
20. 2010-05-06
    soldstatus
21. 2009-05-04
    soldstatus
22. 2007-10-01
    soldstatus
23. 2007-03-20
    soldstatus
24. 1990-08-10
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,227 · $269/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,752 · $313/mo
• Expected delta: +$525/yr (+$44/mo · 16.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,827
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,483
• − Property taxes: −$3,227
• − Insurance: −$1,025
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,746
• − Management: −$1,746
• − Depreciation: −$5,964
• Taxable loss: −$3,364
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$807
• After-tax cash flow: $899/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Tyler ISD
• NCES district ID: 4843470
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $44,090
• Composite: 32.69/100
• National rank: #5650
• State rank: #449 of 826 in TX

Livability — Tyler

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #147
• US rank: #4181

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Tyler, TX
• County: Smith County · 180,570 people
• City population: 127,842
• Metro: Tyler, TX
• Population (ZIP): 36,344
• Household income: $66,401
• Rent vs Own: 40.0% rent · 60.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1116.0

Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 248,890 people
• By 2030: 261,665 · +5.1%
• By 2040: 286,114 · +15.0%
• By 2050: 308,006 · +23.8%
• By 2075: 354,171 · +42.3%
• By 2100: 372,828 · +49.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: White 53% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 17%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada
• Languages at home: 84% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Smith

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -299.78%
• Current HPI: 207.238
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.66%
• Metro: Tyler, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-26 Listed $219,000 GTAR
• 2023-06-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2012-08-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2010-05-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2009-05-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2007-10-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2007-03-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1990-08-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,227 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.