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4400 Norfolk Ave
B- Composite 68.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

4400 Norfolk Ave · Baltimore, MD 21216
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,545 sqft · Townhouse public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1952 4,800 sqft lot ↓ 59% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Remarkable simi-detached home in West Baltimore fell into disrepair. A fabulous 3 bedroom home with 1.5 bath. The basement is full and open. Bay windows face this stellar corner lot. The potential is substantial . This is offered as a SHORT SALE. Seller will make no repairs and the property is sold as is with out any warranties or guarantees. We ask that you enter at your own risk . Some of the floors are weak. No Utilities are on. Bring a flash light. Reno loans work best No FHA Buyers.

Key facts

  • Built 1952
  • Listed 10 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total below-grade area reported as 600; Finished above-grade area reported by assessor; Below-grade finished and unfinished areas reported

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; Two total levels; Flat roof; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Permanent foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Pets allowed with no pet restrictions; Year built reported by assessor
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; City/County road responsibility; Property located in city limits (Baltimore City); Cross street: Forest Park Ave

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first upper level; Two half bathrooms (one on the main level and one on the first lower level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Dry wall walls and ceilings; Basement with rear entrance and poured concrete

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $983 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 24.4% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,813/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2264% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.79%
Cap rate
24.44%
Cash-on-cash
64.82%
DSCR
3.88
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$247,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4008 Bonner Rd 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,564 (+1%) 5mo $145,000 $93 78
4110 Fairview Ave 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,464 (-5%) 0mo $150,000 $102 77
4222 Bonner Rd 0.17mi 3/1.5 1,380 (-11%) 9mo $155,000 $112 65
4119 Fairview Ave 0.21mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,340 (-13%) 3mo $235,000 $175 61
3849 W Forest Park Ave 0.47mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,584 (+2%) 7mo $55,500 $35 59
4033 Woodhaven Ave 0.39mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,624 (+5%) 9mo $260,000 $160 59
3816 Bonner Rd 0.48mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,554 (+1%) 13mo $259,500 $167 57
4131 Fairview Ave 0.19mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,736 (+12%) 13mo $117,000 $67 55
4010 Woodhaven Ave 0.41mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,474 (-5%) 14mo $135,000 $92 54
4311 Chatham Rd 0.57mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,404 (-9%) 6mo $240,000 $171 46
2914 Chelsea Ter 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,327 (-14%) 14mo $258,000 $194 42
4002 Woodhaven Ave 0.42mi 4/3.5 (+1) 1,354 (-12%) 13mo $268,000 $198 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
67.5%
Equity multiple
4.18×
Total profit
$57,938
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
72.6%
Equity multiple
9.61×
Total profit
$156,685
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21216

Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,813 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$381
Net cashflow
$983

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,028 -5% $1,006 +0% $983 +5% $961 +10% $938
Rent -10% $840 -5% $911 +0% $983 +5% $1,055 +10% $1,126
Rate -1.0pp $1,016 -0.5pp $1,000 base $983 +0.5pp $966 +1.0pp $949

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4309 Norfolk Ave Unit 1st Floor Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1470 $1,500 $1.02 12d 1 0.07mi
3914 Maine Ave Unit 3 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 2127 $1,150 $0.54 44d 1 0.48mi
3904 Gwynns Falls Pkwy Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1772 $2,600 $1.47 44d 1 0.72mi
4998 W Forest Park Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 790 $1,875 $2.37 15d 15 0.84mi
3403 Carlisle Ave Apt 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 12d 1 0.87mi
2103 Chelsea Ter Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1500 $2,200 $1.47 15d 1 0.93mi
2103 Chelsea Ter Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,100 $1.40 15d 1 0.93mi
3508 Grantley Rd Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,350 $1.08 24d 1 0.94mi
5533 Gwynn Oak Ave Fl 1 Gwynn Oak, MD 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,600 $1.48 44d 1 1.11mi
3709 Nortonia Rd #2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1289 $1,450 $1.12 18d 1 1.11mi
4010 Fernhill Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 44d 1 1.12mi
5136 Oaklawn Rd Gwynn Oak, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0 896 $1,710 $1.91 2d 22 1.18mi
3028 Hanlon Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,711 $1.43 24d 1 1.21mi
5215 Muth Ave Gwynn Oak, MD 3.0 3.0 1205 $2,700 $2.24 15d 1 1.27mi
3807 Bowers Ave Gwynn Oak, MD 3.0 1.5 1152 $2,200 $1.91 44d 1 1.29mi
3204 Sequoia Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1791 $2,600 $1.45 44d 1 1.35mi
3030 Windsor Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 2124 $1,995 $0.94 5d 1 1.36mi
3784 Columbus Dr Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1250 $2,200 $1.76 24d 1 1.38mi
3535 Flannery Ln Gwynn Oak, MD 3.0 1.5 1536 $2,000 $1.30 44d 1 1.45mi
1633 N Hilton St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1920 $2,600 $1.35 18d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    remarks 496-char remark
  7. 2026-06-08
    listed $65,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,756
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,740
− Management
−$1,740
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$11,443
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,746
After-tax cash flow
$9,051/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
29,426
Household income
$42,031
Rent vs Own
49.8% rent · 50.2% own
Severe rent burden
2264.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% White 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.42%
Current HPI
164.3933
Rent YoY
▲ 6.10%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-59.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-08 Coming Soon $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-02 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-10 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-29 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-26 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-26 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-26 Price Changed $116,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-19 Price Changed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-19 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-13 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-11 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-30 Price Changed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-16 Listed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,589 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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