4400 Norfolk Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Remarkable simi-detached home in West Baltimore fell into disrepair. A fabulous 3 bedroom home with 1.5 bath. The basement is full and open. Bay windows face this stellar corner lot. The potential is substantial . This is offered as a SHORT SALE. Seller will make no repairs and the property is sold as is with out any warranties or guarantees. We ask that you enter at your own risk . Some of the floors are weak. No Utilities are on. Bring a flash light. Reno loans work best No FHA Buyers.
Key facts
- Built 1952
- Listed 10 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total below-grade area reported as 600; Finished above-grade area reported by assessor; Below-grade finished and unfinished areas reported
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Semi-detached property; Two total levels; Flat roof; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Permanent foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Pets allowed with no pet restrictions; Year built reported by assessor
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; City/County road responsibility; Property located in city limits (Baltimore City); Cross street: Forest Park Ave
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first upper level; Two half bathrooms (one on the main level and one on the first lower level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Dry wall walls and ceilings; Basement with rear entrance and poured concrete
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $983 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 24.4% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,813/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2264% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 64.82%
- DSCR
- 3.88
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $247,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4008 Bonner Rd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,564 (+1%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $93 | 78 |
| 4110 Fairview Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 | 1,464 (-5%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $102 | 77 |
| 4222 Bonner Rd | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,380 (-11%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $112 | 65 |
| 4119 Fairview Ave | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,340 (-13%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $175 | 61 |
| 3849 W Forest Park Ave | 0.47mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,584 (+2%) | 7mo | $55,500 | $35 | 59 |
| 4033 Woodhaven Ave | 0.39mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,624 (+5%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $160 | 59 |
| 3816 Bonner Rd | 0.48mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,554 (+1%) | 13mo | $259,500 | $167 | 57 |
| 4131 Fairview Ave | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,736 (+12%) | 13mo | $117,000 | $67 | 55 |
| 4010 Woodhaven Ave | 0.41mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,474 (-5%) | 14mo | $135,000 | $92 | 54 |
| 4311 Chatham Rd | 0.57mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,404 (-9%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $171 | 46 |
| 2914 Chelsea Ter | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,327 (-14%) | 14mo | $258,000 | $194 | 42 |
| 4002 Woodhaven Ave | 0.42mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 1,354 (-12%) | 13mo | $268,000 | $198 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 67.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.18×
- Total profit
- $57,938
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 72.6%
- Equity multiple
- 9.61×
- Total profit
- $156,685
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21216
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 252
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,813 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$381
- Net cashflow
- $983
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,028 | -5% $1,006 | +0% $983 | +5% $961 | +10% $938 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $840 | -5% $911 | +0% $983 | +5% $1,055 | +10% $1,126 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,016 | -0.5pp $1,000 | base $983 | +0.5pp $966 | +1.0pp $949 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4309 Norfolk Ave Unit 1st Floor Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1470 | $1,500 | $1.02 | 12d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3914 Maine Ave Unit 3 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2127 | $1,150 | $0.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3904 Gwynns Falls Pkwy Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1772 | $2,600 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4998 W Forest Park Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 790 | $1,875 | $2.37 | 15d | 15 | 0.84mi |
| 3403 Carlisle Ave Apt 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 12d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2103 Chelsea Ter Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2103 Chelsea Ter Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3508 Grantley Rd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5533 Gwynn Oak Ave Fl 1 Gwynn Oak, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,600 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3709 Nortonia Rd #2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1289 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 18d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4010 Fernhill Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5136 Oaklawn Rd Gwynn Oak, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,710 | $1.91 | 2d | 22 | 1.18mi |
| 3028 Hanlon Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,711 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 5215 Muth Ave Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1205 | $2,700 | $2.24 | 15d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3807 Bowers Ave Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3204 Sequoia Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1791 | $2,600 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3030 Windsor Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2124 | $1,995 | $0.94 | 5d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3784 Columbus Dr Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,200 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3535 Flannery Ln Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1536 | $2,000 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1633 N Hilton St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1920 | $2,600 | $1.35 | 18d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 496-char remark
-
2026-06-08$65,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,756
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,740
- − Management
- −$1,740
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $11,443
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,746
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,051/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,426
- Household income
- $42,031
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2264.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% White 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.42%
- Current HPI
- 164.3933
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.10%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
-59.4% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-08 Coming Soon $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-10 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-29 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-26 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-26 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-26 Price Changed $116,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-19 Price Changed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-19 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-13 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-11 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-30 Price Changed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-16 Listed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,589 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…