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306 W Cherry St
B- Composite 69.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$34,000

306 W Cherry St · Carbondale, IL 62901
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 616 sqft · Other
Built 1933 4,806 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity in the heart of Carbondale. Just blocks from SIU campus and downtown, this location is highly desirable for students or long term tenants. Property is being sold as is. Whether you're buying your first rental or adding to an existing portfolio, this is one to consider. Rent - $534/mo. Please allow 48 hours for showings. Leased through 08/12/26. Room measurements not accurate, updates to come.

Key facts

  • 4,806 sq ft lot
  • Built 1933

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $34k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($730 rent vs $34k).
  • Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 4.8% in Carbondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#375 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Carbondale Chsd 165 (urban): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #279 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Parrish Elem School (495 students, 0% FRL); Carbondale Middle School (math 5% / reading 14%, grade F, #597 of 665 statewide, top 91%, 446 students, 0% FRL); Carbondale Comm H S (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #175 of 693 statewide, top 26%, 997 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $235 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $34,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.15%
Cap rate
16.20%
Cash-on-cash
35.37%
DSCR
2.57
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.0%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$13,537
Equity at exit
$5,070
10-year hold
IRR
40.9%
Equity multiple
5.18×
Total profit
$39,761
Equity at exit
$2,940

Cash invested: $9,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62901

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$730 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$178
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,239/yr
Insurance
$14
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$153
Net cashflow
$281

Break-even live

Break-even rent $374
Max offer price $34,000
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $300 -5% $290 +0% $281 +5% $271 +10% $261
Rent -10% $223 -5% $252 +0% $281 +5% $309 +10% $338
Rate -1.0pp $298 -0.5pp $289 base $281 +0.5pp $272 +1.0pp $263

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,500
Closing costs
$1,020
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
516 S Rawlings St Carbondale, IL 1.0 1.0 450 $625 $1.39 45d 5 0.25mi
600 W Mill St Carbondale, IL 1.0 1.0 615 $750 $1.22 45d 2 0.27mi
405 E College St Carbondale, IL 1.0 1.0 351 $690 $1.96 45d 10 0.46mi
250 S Lewis Ln Carbondale, IL 3.0 1.0 622 $650 $1.04 45d 1 1.04mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-24
    status Pending
  3. 2026-05-22
    status Pending
  4. 2026-03-05
    soldstatus $30,000 Closed
  5. 2026-03-05
    soldstatus $30,000 Closed
  6. 2026-03-05
    soldstatus $30,000 Closed
  7. 2026-03-05
    soldstatus $30,000 Closed
  8. 2026-03-05
    soldstatus $210,000
  9. 2026-01-08
    status Pending
  10. 2026-01-05
    historical
  11. 2025-11-06
    status Pending
  12. 2025-11-05
    historical
  13. 2025-11-05
    historical
  14. 2025-07-01
    listed $34,000
  15. 2025-07-01
    listed Active
  16. 2023-07-07
    historical
  17. 2022-03-11
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,239 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,239 · $103/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,755
− Mortgage interest
−$1,905
− Property taxes
−$1,239
− Insurance
−$170
− Repairs & maintenance
−$700
− Management
−$700
− Depreciation
−$989
Taxable income
$3,051
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$732
After-tax cash flow
$2,635/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carbondale Chsd 165
NCES district ID
1708370
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$22,075
Composite
23.92/100
National rank
#7787
State rank
#279 of 620 in IL

Livability — Carbondale

Score
70/100
State rank
#375
US rank
#7806

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Carbondale, IL
County
Jackson County · 22,946 people
City population
22,946
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
Population (ZIP)
22,946
Household income
$35,089
Rent vs Own
70.0% rent · 30.0% own
Severe rent burden
2038.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,093 people
By 2030
59,628 · +0.9%
By 2040
59,495 · +0.7%
By 2050
58,811 · -0.5%
By 2075
57,683 · -2.4%
By 2100
55,337 · -6.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 26% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 3.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.5 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+10.3 2008: D+21.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.62%
Current HPI
88.7209
Rent YoY
▲ 4.51%
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+517.6% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-24 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-22 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
  • 2026-03-05 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-05 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-05 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-05 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-08 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-06 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-05 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-05 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-01 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-01 Listed $34,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-07 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-11 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,239 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…