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195 14th St NE #303
C+ Composite 63.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,800

195 14th St NE #303 · Atlanta, GA 30309
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,823 sqft · Condo public records · 67 Days on market
Built 2002 $428/mo HOA · 10% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home is one of a kind! Panoramic views of Atlanta. Must see to believe.

Key facts

  • Private theater
  • 24-hour concierge
  • $428 HOA

Tags

UPDATED BOSCH HVAC SYSTEMTRANQUIL FOUNTAIN COURTYARD24-HOUR CONCIERGECUTTING-EDGE FITNESS CENTERPRIVATE THEATERSTYLISH CONFERENCE ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $534 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.1% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living C-.
  • Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 413 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $234,812 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
8.86%
Cash-on-cash
9.16%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-5,374
Equity at exit
$37,246
10-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$43,554
Equity at exit
$21,598

Cash invested: $69,944 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30309

Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
413
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,186 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,310
Tax from tax record
$931 /mo · $11,172/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$428
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$879
Net cashflow
$534

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,510
Max offer price $249,800
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $676 -5% $605 +0% $534 +5% $463 +10% $393
Rent -10% $203 -5% $369 +0% $534 +5% $699 +10% $865
Rate -1.0pp $660 -0.5pp $598 base $534 +0.5pp $469 +1.0pp $404

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,450
Closing costs
$7,494
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
195 14th St NE Unit P603 Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1823 $5,700 $3.13 25d 1 0.02mi
199 14th St NE #2703 Atlanta, GA 1.0 1.5 1237 $2,750 $2.22 25d 1 0.02mi
222 14th St NE Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0–2.0 858 $2,830 $3.30 0d 10 0.05mi
207 13th St NE Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0–3.5 1645 $5,265 $3.20 8d 14 0.07mi
222 12th St NE Atlanta, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1404 $7,500 $5.34 15d 3 0.11mi
222 12th St NE Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.5 1773 $6,000 $3.38 3d 3 0.11mi
222 12th St NE Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.5 1773 $6,248 $3.52 19d 2 0.11mi
1116 Piedmont Ave NE Atlanta, GA 3.0 3.0 1633 $4,350 $2.66 25d 1 0.13mi
205 12th St NE Atlanta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1707 $5,498 $3.22 0d 11 0.14mi
1081 Juniper St NE Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0–3.5 1375 $12,777 $9.29 0d 104 0.14mi
1058 Piedmont Ave NE #301 Atlanta, GA 1.0 1.5 1424 $3,600 $2.53 25d 1 0.18mi
206 11th St NE #402 Atlanta, GA 1.0 1.0 1239 $3,000 $2.42 25d 1 0.19mi
1020 Piedmont Ave NE Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0–2.0 1005 $3,285 $3.27 0d 23 0.23mi
1080 Peachtree St NE Atlanta, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1213 $5,000 $4.12 4d 3 0.23mi
1080 Peachtree St NE Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.0–2.5 1417 $4,325 $3.05 3d 2 0.23mi
77 12th St NE Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0–2.0 941 $3,428 $3.64 0d 20 0.26mi
180 10th St NE Atlanta, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1621 $3,450 $2.13 0d 20 0.26mi
250 10th St NE Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0–2.0 892 $2,975 $3.33 0d 15 0.30mi
1163 W Peachtree St NW Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.0 1439 $3,788 $2.63 8d 1 0.37mi
1163 W Peachtree St NE Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0–2.0 1013 $3,820 $3.77 0d 46 0.37mi
33 11th St NE Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0–2.0 1148 $5,700 $4.97 0d 28 0.38mi
321 10th St NE Unit 3 Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.0 1700 $2,995 $1.76 25d 1 0.39mi
22 14th St NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0–2.0 1039 $3,020 $2.91 0d 32 0.40mi
1230 W Peachtree St NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0–2.0 1066 $4,277 $4.01 2d 51 0.44mi
1018 W Peachtree St NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0–3.0 1156 $5,069 $4.38 0d 40 0.48mi
1240 W Peachtree St NW Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0–2.0 1101 $4,838 $4.39 0d 22 0.48mi
903 Peachtree St NE Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0–2.5 945 $3,219 $3.41 0d 53 0.49mi
915 W Peachtree St NW Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0–2.0 1262 $6,224 $4.93 0d 23 0.49mi
95 8th St NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0–2.0 1011 $3,444 $3.41 0d 38 0.50mi
1140 Spring St NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0–2.0 1196 $3,662 $3.06 0d 19 0.51mi
888 Juniper St NE Atlanta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1439 $4,168 $2.90 0d 24 0.52mi
1382 Peachtree St NE Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0–2.0 919 $3,726 $4.05 0d 27 0.54mi
1301 Spring St NW Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0–2.0 939 $4,490 $4.78 0d 37 0.55mi
1000 Spring St NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0–3.0 1001 $5,085 $5.08 0d 15 0.56mi
970 Charles Allen Dr NE Unit D Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1700 $5,000 $2.94 21d 1 0.57mi
1270 Spring St NW Atlanta, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 987 $2,705 $2.74 3d 17 0.57mi
100 6th St NE Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0–3.0 997 $2,725 $2.73 0d 23 0.59mi
395 8th St NE Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1554 $4,250 $2.73 25d 1 0.60mi
811 Peachtree St NE Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0–3.0 855 $3,295 $3.85 0d 114 0.64mi
1441 Peachtree St NE Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0–2.0 961 $3,516 $3.66 0d 91 0.64mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$428 · $5,136/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2023-08-29
    historical
  2. 2010-09-29
    soldstatus $360,000
  3. 2010-09-23
    historical 76-char remark
    Show marketing remark (76 chars)

    This home is one of a kind! Panoramic views of Atlanta. Must see to believe.

  4. 2010-09-17
    soldstatus $360,000 Sold 76-char remark
    Show marketing remark (76 chars)

    This home is one of a kind! Panoramic views of Atlanta. Must see to believe.

  5. 2010-06-24
    status Pending Existing Lender Approval 76-char remark
    Show marketing remark (76 chars)

    This home is one of a kind! Panoramic views of Atlanta. Must see to believe.

  6. 2010-06-21
    listed $375,000 Active 76-char remark
    Show marketing remark (76 chars)

    This home is one of a kind! Panoramic views of Atlanta. Must see to believe.

  7. 2010-04-01
    price $375,000 Active
  8. 2010-03-24
    price $399,000 Reduced
  9. 2010-03-09
    price $425,000 Reduced
  10. 2010-01-20
    price $475,000
  11. 2003-12-19
    soldstatus $324,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$11,172 · $931/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$11,172 · $931/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$50,235
− Mortgage interest
−$13,993
− Property taxes
−$11,172
− Insurance
−$1,249
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,019
− Management
−$4,019
− HOA
−$5,136
− Depreciation
−$7,267
Taxable income
$3,381
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$812
After-tax cash flow
$5,598/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Atlanta Public Schools
NCES district ID
1300120
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,306
Composite
27.27/100
National rank
#7006
State rank
#80 of 174 in GA

Livability — Atlanta

Score
83/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#919

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime A Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Atlanta, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
629,525
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
32,479
Household income
$114,072
Rent vs Own
56.3% rent · 43.7% own
Severe rent burden
2135.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 14% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -561.75%
Current HPI
156.3796
Rent YoY
▲ 3.09%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2023-08-29 Rental Removed FMLS
  • 2010-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $360,000 Public Records
  • 2010-09-23 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2010-09-17 Sold (MLS) $360,000 FMLS
  • 2010-06-24 Pending FMLS
  • 2010-06-21 Listed $375,000 FMLS
  • 2010-04-01 Price Changed $375,000 GAMLS
  • 2010-03-24 Price Changed $399,000 GAMLS
  • 2010-03-09 Price Changed $425,000 GAMLS
  • 2010-01-20 Price Changed $475,000 GAMLS
  • 2003-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $324,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $11,172 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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