🏷️ Likely Rental
3103 W Juneau Ave · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
2/1 duplex in Dousman neighborhood, circuit breakers, full basement, rear parking for 2-3+ on paved slab. Tenant occupied. Pre-approval or proof of funds required with all offers. Property being sold AS-IS. Sq ft and lot size per city records, rm sizes are estimates and should be verified. Special financing available to qualified buyers, seller discount on bulk purchase.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $681/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.6% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,418/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 1568% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $66k (48%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $70k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 83.38%
- DSCR
- 4.71
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $133,056
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1429 N 26th St #1431 | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,112 (+2%) | 11mo | $65,000 | $31 | 65 |
| 2802 W Juneau Ave #2804 | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,191 (+5%) | 16mo | $140,000 | $64 | 64 |
| 1222 N 26th St #1224 | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,888 (-9%) | 0mo | $155,000 | $82 | 63 |
| 3429 W Juneau Ave #3431 | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,262 (+9%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $55 | 60 |
| 1713 N 29th St #1715 | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,191 (+5%) | 3mo | $97,000 | $44 | 59 |
| 1536 N 38th St #1538 | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,970 (-5%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $69 | 56 |
| 3709 W Miller Ln | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,796 (-14%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $131 | 55 |
| 1822 N 26th St #1824 | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,106 (+1%) | 13mo | $60,000 | $28 | 51 |
| 1506 N 33rd St Unit 1506A | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,778 (-14%) | 12mo | $69,900 | $39 | 45 |
| 3733 W Sarnow St #3735 | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,288 (+10%) | 2mo | $157,000 | $69 | 43 |
| 1925 N 27th St #1927 | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,266 (+9%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $40 | 43 |
| 1817 N 36th St #1819 | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,884 (-9%) | 12mo | $135,000 | $72 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 89.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.50×
- Total profit
- $88,251
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 93.7%
- Equity multiple
- 13.60×
- Total profit
- $247,007
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53208
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Rents YoY
- 10.8%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,418 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,825/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$508
- Net cashflow
- $1,362
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $2,418 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,209 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,209 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,418 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1639 N 33rd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $950 | $0.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2419 W McKinley Ave Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1852 | $1,200 | $0.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2119 W Brown St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1754 | $995 | $0.57 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4802 W Wells St Unit 4802-1 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,799 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1116 N 13th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,345 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2809 W Clarke St Unit 12811 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 17d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1607 N 52nd St Unit Lower Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1518 | $1,648 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1609 N 52nd St Unit Upper Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1518 | $1,648 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1750 N 53rd St Unit 1750 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2025-12-01status Pending
-
2025-11-18price $70,000
-
2025-10-06$135,650 Active
-
2013-04-05$29,900 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
2/1 duplex in Dousman neighborhood, circuit breakers, full basement, rear parking for 2-3+ on paved slab. Tenant occupied. Pre-approval or proof of funds required with all offers. Property being sold AS-IS. Sq ft and lot size per city records, rm sizes are estimates and should be verified. Special financing available to qualified buyers, seller discount on bulk purchase.
-
2013-04-05historical 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
2/1 duplex in Dousman neighborhood, circuit breakers, full basement, rear parking for 2-3+ on paved slab. Tenant occupied. Pre-approval or proof of funds required with all offers. Property being sold AS-IS. Sq ft and lot size per city records, rm sizes are estimates and should be verified. Special financing available to qualified buyers, seller discount on bulk purchase.
-
2012-03-26soldstatus $25,000 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
2/1 duplex in Dousman neighborhood, circuit breakers, full basement, rear parking for 2-3+ on paved slab. Tenant occupied. Pre-approval or proof of funds required with all offers. Property being sold AS-IS. Sq ft and lot size per city records, rm sizes are estimates and should be verified. Special financing available to qualified buyers, seller discount on bulk purchase.
-
2004-05-03soldstatus $55,000
-
1983-06-01soldstatus $29,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,825 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,825 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,016
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,825
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,321
- − Management
- −$2,321
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $16,241
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,898
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,445/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,201
- Household income
- $52,690
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1568.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 41% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 6% Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.92%
- Current HPI
- 333.7268
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.78%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+141.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-01 Pending — METROMLS
- 2025-11-18 Price Changed $70,000 METROMLS
- 2025-10-06 Listed $135,650 METROMLS
- 2013-04-05 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2013-04-05 Listed $29,900 METROMLS
- 2012-03-26 Sold (MLS) $25,000 METROMLS
- 2004-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 1983-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.5%/yrLatest (2023): $1,825 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…