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30774 County Rd 14.9
C- Composite 51.11
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$92,000

30774 County Rd 14.9 · Las Animas, CO 81054
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,254 sqft · SingleFamily · 183 Days on market
Built 1951 0.73 ac lot ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Framed by wide-open skies and Colorado sunset views, this ranch-style home sits on of an acre in a quiet country subdivision just far enough out to enjoy a little extra peace and space. Inside, the home is modest, comfortable, and surprisingly functional, with recent kitchen updates that include newer appliances along with an oversized dining area, pantry, and walk-in storage. The living room offers enough space for both everyday living and a secondary area for reading, puzzles, or a small office setup. An unfinished basement gives the next owner room to expand with additional bedrooms, a second living area, hobby space, workout room, or storage. Outside, the covered front porch becomes th

Key facts

  • Walk-in storage
  • Updated kitchen
  • 0.73 acre lot

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENDOUBLE PANE VINYL WINDOWSUPDATED ELECTRICAL PANELOVERSIZED DINING AREAWALK-IN STORAGELARGE UNFINISHED BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Detached carport; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Well water
  • Home design: Single-family residential; Frame and stucco construction
  • Construction: Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Garden; Covered patio/porch; Outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Space heater; Ceiling fans for cooling; Evaporative cooling; Wall-mounted cooling units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Master bedroom on main level; Double-pane windows; Unfinished/partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($970 rent vs $92k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.4% in Las Animas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#89 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Las Animas School District No. Re-1 (town): math 14% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #76 of 86 in CO (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Bent County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $636 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bent County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $80,960 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.00%
Cash-on-cash
6.09%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-6,573
Equity at exit
$13,717
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$5,050
Equity at exit
$7,954

Cash invested: $25,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81054

Home prices YoY
-14.1%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$970 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$482
Tax est. 1.5%
$115 /mo · $1,380/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$204
Net cashflow
$131

Break-even live

Break-even rent $805
Max offer price $92,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,000
Closing costs
$2,760
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $92,000 Active 183 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $92,000 Active 182 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $92,000 Active 181 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $92,000 Active 180 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $92,000 Active 178 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $92,000 Active 177 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $92,000 Active 174 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $92,000 Active 173 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $92,000 Active 172 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $92,000 Active 170 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $92,000 Active 168 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $92,000 Active 167 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $92,000 Active 166 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $92,000 Active 165 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $92,000 Active 164 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    price $92,000
  17. 2026-04-07
    price $99,900
  18. 2025-12-17
    listed $110,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,642
− Mortgage interest
−$5,153
− Property taxes
−$1,380
− Insurance
−$460
− Repairs & maintenance
−$931
− Management
−$931
− Depreciation
−$2,676
Taxable income
$110
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$26
After-tax cash flow
$1,541/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Las Animas School District No. Re-1
NCES district ID
0805250
Math proficiency
14% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$33,597
Composite
17.94/100
National rank
#8993
State rank
#76 of 86 in CO

Livability — Las Animas

Score
70/100
State rank
#89
US rank
#7896

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,760

Population outlook (Bent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,223 people
By 2030
4,985 · -4.6%
By 2040
4,592 · -12.1%
By 2050
4,207 · -19.5%
By 2075
3,216 · -38.4%
By 2100
2,347 · -55.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bent

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.9) · D 29.5% · R 68.3% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-24.4pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -38.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+30.9 2012: R+14.6 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.76%
Current HPI
218.1482
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $92,000 PARMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $99,900 PARMLS
  • 2025-12-17 Listed $110,000 PARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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