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1759 Van Buren Ave Duplex
B- Composite 67.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$510,000

1759 Van Buren Ave · St. Paul, MN 55104
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,464 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 157 Days on market
Built 1926 5,662 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Discover cash flow potential with this meticulously maintained 6-bed, 2-bath up/down duplex in high-demand Hamline-Midway. This property delivers the rare combination investors seek: proven rental income, major systems already upgraded, and expansion possibilities. Recent Capital Improvements (See Schedule in MLS): New boilers ensuring reliable heating, updated water heaters, new roof protecting your investment, energy-efficient windows throughout, and enhanced insulation reducing utility costs. These strategic upgrades translate to reduced capital expenditure risk and stronger NOI. Investment Highlights: Strong rental demand near Hamline University, Allianz Field, and Green Line light rail. Separate utilities simplify expense allocation. Spacious basement presents potential third-unit conversion opportunity (buyer to verify requirements with City of St. Paul). Owner-occupancy financing available making for a great House-Hack opportunity. Location Advantages: 0.3 mi to Metro Green Line, walking distance to local amenities and dining, easy I-94 access, established neighborhood with low vacancy rate. Whether envision living in one unit while rental income offsets a mortgage, or value-add to maximize returns, the foundation for success is with this one.

Key facts

  • 5,662 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1926

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $510k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($34k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $510k).
  • Recommended offer: $449k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Hamline Elementary School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #755 of 857 statewide, top 88%, 303 students, 84% FRL); Murray Middle School (math 19% / reading 40%, grade F, #204 of 258 statewide, top 80%, 538 students, 64% FRL); Como Park Senior High (math 8% / reading 42%, grade F, #375 of 471 statewide, top 81%, 1,078 students, 75% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,868/mo this rent would consume 125% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 2116% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $143k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($449k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $250k; list at $510k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $448,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
12.98%
Cash-on-cash
23.90%
DSCR
2.06
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$94,552
Equity at exit
$76,043
10-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
3.10×
Total profit
$299,641
Equity at exit
$44,095

Cash invested: $142,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55104

Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
187
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,868 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,674
Tax from tax record
$485 /mo · $5,822/yr
Insurance
$212
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,652
Net cashflow
$2,844

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,269
Max offer price $510,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $3,132 -5% $2,988 +0% $2,844 +5% $2,699 +10% $2,555
Rent -10% $2,222 -5% $2,533 +0% $2,844 +5% $3,154 +10% $3,465
Rate -1.0pp $3,100 -0.5pp $2,973 base $2,844 +0.5pp $2,711 +1.0pp $2,577

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $7,868

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$127,500
Closing costs
$15,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $510,000 Active 157 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $510,000 Active 154 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $510,000 Active 153 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $510,000 Active 152 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $510,000 Active 151 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $510,000 Active 149 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $510,000 Active 145 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $510,000 Active 144 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $510,000 Active 143 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $510,000 Active 140 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $510,000 Active 139 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $510,000 Active 138 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $510,000 Active 137 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $510,000 Active 136 DOM
  15. 2026-04-26
    price $510,000 1274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1274 chars)

    Discover cash flow potential with this meticulously maintained 6-bed, 2-bath up/down duplex in high-demand Hamline-Midway. This property delivers the rare combination investors seek: proven rental income, major systems already upgraded, and expansion possibilities. Recent Capital Improvements (See Schedule in MLS): New boilers ensuring reliable heating, updated water heaters, new roof protecting your investment, energy-efficient windows throughout, and enhanced insulation reducing utility costs. These strategic upgrades translate to reduced capital expenditure risk and stronger NOI. Investment Highlights: Strong rental demand near Hamline University, Allianz Field, and Green Line light rail. Separate utilities simplify expense allocation. Spacious basement presents potential third-unit conversion opportunity (buyer to verify requirements with City of St. Paul). Owner-occupancy financing available making for a great House-Hack opportunity. Location Advantages: 0.3 mi to Metro Green Line, walking distance to local amenities and dining, easy I-94 access, established neighborhood with low vacancy rate. Whether envision living in one unit while rental income offsets a mortgage, or value-add to maximize returns, the foundation for success is with this one.

  16. 2026-03-18
    price $520,000 1274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1274 chars)

    Discover cash flow potential with this meticulously maintained 6-bed, 2-bath up/down duplex in high-demand Hamline-Midway. This property delivers the rare combination investors seek: proven rental income, major systems already upgraded, and expansion possibilities. Recent Capital Improvements (See Schedule in MLS): New boilers ensuring reliable heating, updated water heaters, new roof protecting your investment, energy-efficient windows throughout, and enhanced insulation reducing utility costs. These strategic upgrades translate to reduced capital expenditure risk and stronger NOI. Investment Highlights: Strong rental demand near Hamline University, Allianz Field, and Green Line light rail. Separate utilities simplify expense allocation. Spacious basement presents potential third-unit conversion opportunity (buyer to verify requirements with City of St. Paul). Owner-occupancy financing available making for a great House-Hack opportunity. Location Advantages: 0.3 mi to Metro Green Line, walking distance to local amenities and dining, easy I-94 access, established neighborhood with low vacancy rate. Whether envision living in one unit while rental income offsets a mortgage, or value-add to maximize returns, the foundation for success is with this one.

  17. 2026-01-16
    listed $530,000 Active 1274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1274 chars)

    Discover cash flow potential with this meticulously maintained 6-bed, 2-bath up/down duplex in high-demand Hamline-Midway. This property delivers the rare combination investors seek: proven rental income, major systems already upgraded, and expansion possibilities. Recent Capital Improvements (See Schedule in MLS): New boilers ensuring reliable heating, updated water heaters, new roof protecting your investment, energy-efficient windows throughout, and enhanced insulation reducing utility costs. These strategic upgrades translate to reduced capital expenditure risk and stronger NOI. Investment Highlights: Strong rental demand near Hamline University, Allianz Field, and Green Line light rail. Separate utilities simplify expense allocation. Spacious basement presents potential third-unit conversion opportunity (buyer to verify requirements with City of St. Paul). Owner-occupancy financing available making for a great House-Hack opportunity. Location Advantages: 0.3 mi to Metro Green Line, walking distance to local amenities and dining, easy I-94 access, established neighborhood with low vacancy rate. Whether envision living in one unit while rental income offsets a mortgage, or value-add to maximize returns, the foundation for success is with this one.

  18. 2026-01-14
    historical $530,000 1274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1274 chars)

    Discover cash flow potential with this meticulously maintained 6-bed, 2-bath up/down duplex in high-demand Hamline-Midway. This property delivers the rare combination investors seek: proven rental income, major systems already upgraded, and expansion possibilities. Recent Capital Improvements (See Schedule in MLS): New boilers ensuring reliable heating, updated water heaters, new roof protecting your investment, energy-efficient windows throughout, and enhanced insulation reducing utility costs. These strategic upgrades translate to reduced capital expenditure risk and stronger NOI. Investment Highlights: Strong rental demand near Hamline University, Allianz Field, and Green Line light rail. Separate utilities simplify expense allocation. Spacious basement presents potential third-unit conversion opportunity (buyer to verify requirements with City of St. Paul). Owner-occupancy financing available making for a great House-Hack opportunity. Location Advantages: 0.3 mi to Metro Green Line, walking distance to local amenities and dining, easy I-94 access, established neighborhood with low vacancy rate. Whether envision living in one unit while rental income offsets a mortgage, or value-add to maximize returns, the foundation for success is with this one.

  19. 2018-10-29
    soldstatus $250,000
  20. 2013-08-13
    soldstatus $88,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,822 · $485/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,822 · $485/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$94,416
− Mortgage interest
−$28,568
− Property taxes
−$5,822
− Insurance
−$2,550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$7,553
− Management
−$7,553
− Depreciation
−$14,836
Taxable income
$27,533
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6,608
After-tax cash flow
$27,515/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Paul Public School District
NCES district ID
2733840
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$48,316
Composite
23.51/100
National rank
#7868
State rank
#270 of 301 in MN

Livability — St. Paul

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Paul, MN
County
Ramsey County · 542,837 people
City population
280,599
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
45,762
Household income
$75,712
Rent vs Own
46.9% rent · 53.1% own
Severe rent burden
2116.0

Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
603,431 people
By 2030
636,459 · +5.5%
By 2040
700,596 · +16.1%
By 2050
765,819 · +26.9%
By 2075
929,297 · +54.0%
By 2100
1,053,924 · +74.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey

2024 margin
Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -532.26%
Current HPI
245.6146
Rent YoY
▲ 2.50%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+479.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Price Changed $510,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $520,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $530,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Coming Soon $530,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
  • 2013-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,822 · +13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…