9300 Major Ave · Oak Lawn, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 BEDROOM BRICK WITH FORMAL DINING ROOM & 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1988
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area recorded from assessor; Approximately 1,115 main-level finished sq ft; total finished/unfinished area approximately 1,808
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (2 garage spaces; 2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Split-level design; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Approximately 31–40 years old
- Exterior features: Less than 0.25 acre lot; Property includes commuter bus/train access and nearby interstate access; School bus service available
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (19 x 12)
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; Master bedroom on second level (15 x 14); Second bedroom on second level (14 x 12); Third bedroom on second level (11 x 12)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Basement with finished area (693 sq ft)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level (16 x 11)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-371 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $184k (26.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (15.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $184k (26.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#102 in IL, #1,614 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-.
- Oak Lawn Chsd 229 (suburban): math 22% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #384 of 620 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $143k; list at $250k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.36%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $338,289
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9225 Massasoit Ave | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,141 (-10%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $267 | 76 |
| 5707 W 90th Pl | 0.31mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,300 (+3%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $269 | 71 |
| 9013 Melvina Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,260 (-1%) | 1mo | $370,000 | $294 | 66 |
| 5416 Franklin Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,301 (+3%) | 1mo | $268,000 | $206 | 65 |
| 9634 Meade Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (+3%) | 1mo | $320,800 | $247 | 64 |
| 5312 Kimball Pl | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,217 (-4%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $226 | 60 |
| 9342 Austin Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,438 (+14%) | 1mo | $345,000 | $240 | 58 |
| 9246 S 54th Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,437 (+13%) | 0mo | $332,000 | $231 | 58 |
| 9817 Washington Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,142 (-10%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $306 | 48 |
| 9820 Menard Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,125 (-11%) | 1mo | $312,000 | $277 | 47 |
| 5428 W 91st St | 0.42mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 1,448 (+14%) | 2mo | $432,000 | $298 | 42 |
| 6201 W 90th Pl | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,451 (+14%) | 1mo | $316,500 | $218 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-52,774
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-24,752
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60453
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,109 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$622 /mo · $7,463/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$443
- Net cashflow
- $-371
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-230 | -5% $-300 | +0% $-371 | +5% $-442 | +10% $-513 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-538 | -5% $-454 | +0% $-371 | +5% $-288 | +10% $-204 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-245 | -0.5pp $-307 | base $-371 | +0.5pp $-436 | +1.0pp $-502 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5834 W 89th Pl Oak Lawn, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,150 | $1.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 6101 W 94th St Unit A2 Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 6d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 9517 Minnick Ave Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 6d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 9522 S 53rd Ave Unit 3S Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,150 | $2.39 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 9522 S 53rd Ave Unit 1N Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,150 | $2.39 | 11d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5901 W 87th St Unit 3W Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $2,100 | $2.19 | 0d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5100 W 96th St Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $2,350 | $1.70 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5217 W 87th St Unit 2 Oak Lawn, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 8d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 9806 Marion Ave Oak Lawn, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,950 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 10326 Mayfield Ave Unit 1N Oak Lawn, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,400 | $1.85 | 17d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6101 W 82nd Pl Burbank, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1071 | $2,900 | $2.71 | 0d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 6139 Marshall Ave Apt 1E Chicago Ridge, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,850 | $1.95 | 4d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 10029 Harnew Rd E Oak Lawn, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $2,600 | $1.65 | 4d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 9955 S Cicero Ave Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,799 | $1.80 | 2d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 9957 S Cicero Ave Unit 308 Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,799 | $1.80 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 10435 Menard Ave Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,850 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 5644 105th St Unit 2W Oak Lawn, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 6005 Marshall Ave #8 Chicago Ridge, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-10status $250,000 Pending 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $250,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $250,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 18 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $250,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $250,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 10 DOM
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2026-05-21$250,000 Active
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2024-08-30historical
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2024-06-04Active
-
2011-02-25soldstatus $143,000 Closed Sale 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
3 BEDROOM BRICK WITH FORMAL DINING ROOM & 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.
-
2011-02-08status Pending 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
3 BEDROOM BRICK WITH FORMAL DINING ROOM & 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.
-
2011-01-05price $159,900 Price Change 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
3 BEDROOM BRICK WITH FORMAL DINING ROOM & 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.
-
2010-12-08price $169,900 Price Change 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
3 BEDROOM BRICK WITH FORMAL DINING ROOM & 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.
-
2010-11-12$179,900 New 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
3 BEDROOM BRICK WITH FORMAL DINING ROOM & 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. SOLD AS IS. BUYER TO TAKE ON CITY REPAIRS & PUT UP ESCROW IF REQUIRED. NO DISCLOSURES, NO SURVEY OR TERMITE PROVIDED. PRESENT DETAILED PRE-QUAL OR PROOF OF FUNDS WITH OFFER. EM CERTIFIED FUNDS ONLY.
-
2010-05-07historical
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2010-04-21price Price Change
-
2009-07-27status Back On Market
-
2009-07-23historical
-
2009-04-22
-
2008-11-30historical
-
2008-07-02
-
1988-05-23soldstatus $33,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,463 · $622/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,463 · $622/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,308
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$7,463
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,025
- − Management
- −$2,025
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$8,731
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,095
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,357/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oak Lawn Chsd 229
- NCES district ID
- 1729220
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,505
- Composite
- 19.41/100
- National rank
- #8777
- State rank
- #384 of 620 in IL
Livability — Oak Lawn
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #102
- US rank
- #1614
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oak Lawn, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 56,861
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,861
- Household income
- $83,911
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 827.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Iranian 1% Armenian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 17% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Arabic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -259.83%
- Current HPI
- 214.6977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.23%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+657.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $250,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-04 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-02-25 Sold (MLS) $143,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-02-08 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-01-05 Price Changed $159,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-12-08 Price Changed $169,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-11-12 Listed $179,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-05-07 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-04-21 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-07-27 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-07-23 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-04-22 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-11-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-07-02 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1988-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2023): $7,463 · +24.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…