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9 Mountain Sun Way Unit 17B
C- Composite 52.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$51,000

9 Mountain Sun Way Unit 17B · Waterville Valley, NH 03215
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,600 sqft · Condo · 416 Days on market
Built 1987 $522/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Mountain Sun Quarters are fully-deeded quartershare ownership of a spacious and bright multi-level 3-bedroom, 2 1/2 bath townhouse. Each owner has every fourth week throughout the year (13 weeks per year). Units have big entry foyers, family rooms, and outdoor patio decks. Unit 17 has very private dec/yard area. Owners can use, rent, or trade their weeks. Condo Fee covers ALL ownership expenses including family membership in the White Mountain Athletic Club and Waterville Valley Golf Course. This property is, hands-down, the best real estate value in Waterville Valley.

Key facts

  • Master suite
  • Open concept living
  • Large mudroom entry

Tags

WATERVILLE VALLEY RESORTSPACIOUS TRI-LEVEL TOWNHOUSELARGE MUDROOM ENTRYOPEN CONCEPT LIVINGPRIVATE PATIOMASTER SUITE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: Rt 93 to exit 28, then 11 miles via Rt 49E to Waterville Valley, left on Tecumseh Rd, then left into Mountain Sun condos.
  • Financial info: Quartershare / timeshare ownership (13% fractional ownership)
  • HOA & community: Condo association fees apply; quarterly payments; Quarterly condo fee covers association fee, electric, heat, hot water, internet, landscaping, plowing, sewer, taxes, trash, and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Common/shared paved driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 200 amp electric service (NH Electric Coop); Cable and cable internet available
  • Home design: Contemporary townhouse; Part of Mountain Sun Quartershare condominium; Existing construction; Brown exterior
  • Construction: Built in 1987; Wood frame construction with clapboard exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Unit/lot number 17B; Surveyed
  • Exterior features: Country setting with mountain views; Trails and walking trails nearby; Views and wooded areas; Adjoins state/national forest; Near golf course, paths, shopping, and skiing; Common/shared paved driveway; Common land (1.31 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with refrigerator, microwave, dishwasher, disposal
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the second level; Master bedroom on the third level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heat; Electric heating; Multi-zone heating; Other cooling
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Foyer; Living room; Dining room; Family room
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $51k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $51k).
  • Recommended offer: $45k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Waterville Valley School District (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #98 of 171 in NH (top 57%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 487 units permitted in Grafton County in 2024 (127 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($353 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
  • Grafton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 416 days — a 12% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $51k implies a 240% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $44,880 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 416 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.80%
Cap rate
40.73%
Cash-on-cash
123.01%
DSCR
6.47
GRM
1.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.33% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.65×
Total profit
$109,308
Equity at exit
$33,112
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
18.44×
Total profit
$249,009
Equity at exit
$60,976

Cash invested: $14,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 03215

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
1.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,960 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$267
Tax est. 1.5%
$64 /mo · $765/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$522
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$622
Net cashflow
$1,464

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,107
Max offer price $51,000
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,750
Closing costs
$1,530
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
38 Windsor Hill Way #105 Waterville Valley, NH 2.0 1.5 1098 $1,800 $1.64 44d 1 0.21mi
103 Snow's Brook Rd Unit 18 Waterville Valley, NH 3.0 2.0 1450 $3,300 $2.28 44d 1 0.22mi
20 Pine Tree Way Waterville Valley, NH 3.0 1.5 1900 $3,600 $1.89 44d 1 0.23mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$522 · $6,264/yr
Likely covers
water
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $51,000 Active 416 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $51,000 Active 415 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $51,000 Active 414 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $51,000 Active 413 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 683-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $51,000 Active 411 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $57,000 Active 410 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $57,000 Active 407 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $57,000 Active 406 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $57,000 Active 405 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $57,000 Active 403 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $57,000 Active 401 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $57,000 Active 400 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $57,000 Active 399 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $57,000 Active 398 DOM
  16. 2025-10-16
    price $57,000
  17. 2025-07-07
    price $59,000
  18. 2025-04-28
    listed $62,000 Active
  19. 2019-07-12
    soldstatus $15,000 Closed 576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Mountain Sun Quarters are fully-deeded quartershare ownership of a spacious and bright multi-level 3-bedroom, 2 1/2 bath townhouse. Each owner has every fourth week throughout the year (13 weeks per year). Units have big entry foyers, family rooms, and outdoor patio decks. Unit 17 has very private dec/yard area. Owners can use, rent, or trade their weeks. Condo Fee covers ALL ownership expenses including family membership in the White Mountain Athletic Club and Waterville Valley Golf Course. This property is, hands-down, the best real estate value in Waterville Valley.

  20. 2019-07-01
    status Pending 576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Mountain Sun Quarters are fully-deeded quartershare ownership of a spacious and bright multi-level 3-bedroom, 2 1/2 bath townhouse. Each owner has every fourth week throughout the year (13 weeks per year). Units have big entry foyers, family rooms, and outdoor patio decks. Unit 17 has very private dec/yard area. Owners can use, rent, or trade their weeks. Condo Fee covers ALL ownership expenses including family membership in the White Mountain Athletic Club and Waterville Valley Golf Course. This property is, hands-down, the best real estate value in Waterville Valley.

  21. 2019-06-04
    price $19,000 576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Mountain Sun Quarters are fully-deeded quartershare ownership of a spacious and bright multi-level 3-bedroom, 2 1/2 bath townhouse. Each owner has every fourth week throughout the year (13 weeks per year). Units have big entry foyers, family rooms, and outdoor patio decks. Unit 17 has very private dec/yard area. Owners can use, rent, or trade their weeks. Condo Fee covers ALL ownership expenses including family membership in the White Mountain Athletic Club and Waterville Valley Golf Course. This property is, hands-down, the best real estate value in Waterville Valley.

  22. 2019-06-03
    listed $17,500 Active 576-char remark
    Show marketing remark (576 chars)

    Mountain Sun Quarters are fully-deeded quartershare ownership of a spacious and bright multi-level 3-bedroom, 2 1/2 bath townhouse. Each owner has every fourth week throughout the year (13 weeks per year). Units have big entry foyers, family rooms, and outdoor patio decks. Unit 17 has very private dec/yard area. Owners can use, rent, or trade their weeks. Condo Fee covers ALL ownership expenses including family membership in the White Mountain Athletic Club and Waterville Valley Golf Course. This property is, hands-down, the best real estate value in Waterville Valley.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥82°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,517
− Mortgage interest
−$2,857
− Property taxes
−$765
− Insurance
−$255
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,841
− Management
−$2,841
− HOA
−$6,264
− Depreciation
−$1,484
Taxable income
$18,210
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,370
After-tax cash flow
$13,195/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waterville Valley School District
NCES district ID
3306910
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$66,976
Composite
46.42/100
National rank
#5344
State rank
#98 of 171 in NH

Livability — Waterville Valley

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
269

Population outlook (Grafton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,798 people
By 2030
87,131 · -1.9%
By 2040
82,000 · -7.7%
By 2050
77,064 · -13.2%
By 2075
68,769 · -22.6%
By 2100
61,631 · -30.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 20% Lithuanian 10% Scotch-Irish 9%
Foreign-born
11% · China

Political lean MEDSL · Grafton

2024 margin
D (+19.9) · D 59.4% · R 39.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.8pp toward R · 2008: 27.7pp · 2024: 19.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.9 2020: D+24.6 2016: D+19.0 2012: D+23.8 2008: D+27.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.33%
Current HPI
541.9424
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+225.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $57,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2025-07-07 Price Changed $59,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2025-04-28 Listed $62,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2019-07-12 Sold (MLS) $15,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2019-07-01 Pending PrimeMLS
  • 2019-06-04 Price Changed $19,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2019-06-03 Listed $17,500 PrimeMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…