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240 St John Dr
B Composite 73.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$78,500

240 St John Dr · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,201 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1955 6,098 sqft lot Est $104k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome Home! Home has fresh paint throughout. Huge backyard. Home is 1,201 SF, 4 bedrooms; 2 baths; living room; eat in kitchen; laundry room, huge fenced back yard and plenty of space; cul de sac. Property being Sold AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Seller to make no further repairs nor provide City Occupancy.

Key facts

  • Fenced back yard
  • Cul de sac
  • Huge backyard

Tags

HUGE BACKYARDFENCED BACK YARDCUL DE SAC

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No dedicated parking or carport indicated
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service: Other
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Private ownership
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Construction material: Other
  • Exterior features: Back yard; Front yard; Chain-link fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Central air plus wall/window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; No fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $673 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 13.6% in Cahokia Heights — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $543 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $68k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,322 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.96%
Cap rate
16.58%
Cash-on-cash
36.73%
DSCR
2.63
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$104,487
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1601 Andrews Dr 0.11mi 4/1.0 1,261 (+5%) 3mo $110,000 $87 76
1614 Parklane Dr 0.19mi 4/1.0 1,152 (-4%) 5mo $110,000 $95 72
1710 Parklane Dr 0.30mi 4/1.0 1,225 (+2%) 5mo $110,000 $90 70
1511 Andrews Dr 0.06mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,092 (-9%) 2mo $105,000 $96 70
1711 Parklane Dr 0.24mi 4/1.0 1,315 (+10%) 1mo $110,000 $84 64
1735 Parklane Dr 0.41mi 4/1.0 1,248 (+4%) 6mo $110,000 $88 62
1700 Theodore Ln 0.38mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,216 (+1%) 6mo $50,000 $41 62
28 Fox Meadow Ln 0.53mi 4/2.5 1,056 (-12%) 2mo $180,000 $170 51
1427 Williams St 0.64mi 4/1.0 1,300 (+8%) 2mo $59,500 $46 47
1624 Doris Ave 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,272 (+6%) 2mo $105,000 $83 46
1426 Williams St 0.61mi 4/1.0 1,300 (+8%) 6mo $110,000 $85 44
1620 Doris Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,282 (+7%) 2mo $105,000 $82 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.6%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$30,157
Equity at exit
$11,705
10-year hold
IRR
39.6%
Equity multiple
4.71×
Total profit
$81,536
Equity at exit
$6,787

Cash invested: $21,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,538 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$412
Tax est. 1.5%
$98 /mo · $1,178/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$673

Break-even live

Break-even rent $687
Max offer price $78,500
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,625
Closing costs
$2,355
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1614 Parklane Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1152 $1,400 $1.22 23d 1 0.16mi
1706 Andrews Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 925 $1,320 $1.43 23d 1 0.25mi
1710 Parklane Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1225 $1,395 $1.14 43d 1 0.26mi
102 Melvin Dr Unit 34 Sauget, IL 4.0 1.0 1352 $1,700 $1.26 7d 1 0.30mi
1312 Saint Raphael St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1280 $1,500 $1.17 43d 1 0.46mi
1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,295 $1.31 21d 1 0.56mi
1421 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 2d 1 0.58mi
1417 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,400 $1.50 21d 1 0.58mi
302 Saint Leonard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1155 $1,300 $1.13 43d 1 0.60mi
1420 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 43d 1 0.61mi
1150 Price St Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 3d 1 0.64mi
1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 43d 1 0.64mi
1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 876 $1,500 $1.71 14d 1 0.70mi
2008 Delores St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,250 $1.35 4d 1 0.76mi
1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 825 $1,400 $1.70 3d 1 0.78mi
1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 992 $1,500 $1.51 2d 1 0.82mi
142 Saint Barbara Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 2.0 990 $1,300 $1.31 43d 1 0.86mi
1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,095 $1.16 43d 1 0.89mi
701 Saint Paul Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 43d 1 0.91mi
818 La Salle Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1106 $1,300 $1.18 23d 1 0.95mi
811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,295 $1.25 23d 1 0.99mi
819 Mildred Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,250 $1.34 21d 1 1.01mi
121 Saint Dorothy Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,500 $1.52 43d 1 1.03mi
725 Saint Norbert Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,500 $1.22 43d 1 1.04mi
741 Saint Martin Dr Cahokia, IL 5.0 2.0 864 $1,850 $2.14 2d 1 1.06mi
2116 Doris Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 880 $1,400 $1.59 21d 1 1.07mi
705 Saint Martin Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1033 $1,600 $1.55 21d 1 1.13mi
526 Saint Leo Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,400 $1.51 3d 1 1.16mi
502 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 3d 1 1.21mi
148 Saint James Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,200 $1.39 43d 1 1.21mi
850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,285 $1.22 16d 1 1.22mi
500 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $950 $1.10 23d 1 1.22mi
124 Saint James Ln Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 43d 1 1.27mi
1115 Saint Marcella Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 14d 1 1.32mi
111 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,350 $1.30 43d 1 1.38mi
30 Saint Gregory Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 2.0 1330 $1,395 $1.05 21d 1 1.42mi
2 E Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $885 $0.96 43d 1 1.49mi
1130 Water St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 23d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $78,500 Pending 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $78,500 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $78,500 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $78,500 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $78,500 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $78,500 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $78,500 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $78,500 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $78,500 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-05-19
    listed $78,500 Active
  11. 2025-05-23
    listed $78,500 Active
  12. 2024-07-01
    historical
  13. 2023-12-29
    price $55,000
  14. 2023-07-07
    listed $57,500 Active
  15. 2006-03-21
    soldstatus $68,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,461
− Mortgage interest
−$4,397
− Property taxes
−$1,178
− Insurance
−$392
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,477
− Management
−$1,477
− Depreciation
−$2,284
Taxable income
$7,256
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,742
After-tax cash flow
$6,333/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $78,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-23 Listed $78,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-01 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-29 Price Changed $55,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-07 Listed $57,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-34.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $16 · -99.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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