64 Tanforan Dr · Lakeview, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- ARV discount +9.2/15.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 64 Tanforan ~ Move right into this completely updated home! Featuring a new roof, siding, deck, flooring, kitchen, appliances, new bathroom vanity and water heater. The interior has been totally freshly painted. You'll love the convenient location near the interstate and East Ridge, plus the large, level, mostly fenced-in back yard. Home warranty is offered if requested in offer, up to $450.
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 46 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-549/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $197k (3.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (25.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $152k (25.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.9% in Lakeview — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#106 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Catoosa County (suburban): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #49 of 174 in GA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 430 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 848 units permitted in Catoosa County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Catoosa County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $27k; list at $205k implies a 666% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.96%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $213,122
- List price
- $205,000
- Delta
- -3.81%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 Tanforan Dr | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,124 (0%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $173 | 99 |
| 12 Osceola Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (+0%) | 5mo | $85,000 | $75 | 79 |
| 1807 Prigmore Rd | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,154 (+3%) | 11mo | $229,000 | $198 | 68 |
| 5297 Spriggs St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,128 (+0%) | 13mo | $224,000 | $199 | 67 |
| 2001 Mcbrien Rd | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (-7%) | 11mo | $225,000 | $214 | 66 |
| 5304 Lazard St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (-2%) | 15mo | $212,000 | $192 | 64 |
| 9 Corley Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (-3%) | 12mo | $189,900 | $174 | 63 |
| 5603 Clemons Rd | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,142 (+2%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $158 | 62 |
| 436 Page Rd | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (+7%) | 20mo | $235,000 | $195 | 55 |
| 5422 Clemons Rd | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,010 (-10%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $183 | 49 |
| 1611 Maxwell Rd | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,182 (+5%) | 14mo | $200,000 | $169 | 47 |
| 4332 Esterbrook Dr | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-6%) | 13mo | $250,000 | $237 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-29,108
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $2,542
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30741
- Home prices YoY
- -30.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 430
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,523 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,061/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $-46
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $70 | -5% $12 | +0% $-46 | +5% $-104 | +10% $-162 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-166 | -5% $-106 | +0% $-46 | +5% $14 | +10% $75 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $57 | -0.5pp $6 | base $-46 | +0.5pp $-99 | +1.0pp $-153 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 Corley Ave Rossville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,823 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1302 Ridgefield Cir Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 802 | $1,199 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1408 Mana Ln East Ridge, TN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1357 | $1,659 | $1.22 | 15d | 3 | 0.71mi |
| 1413 Mana Ln Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5700 Roper St Chattanooga, TN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 795 | $1,120 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5307 Marion Ave Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1640 Keeble St East Ridge, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,095 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1638 Keeble St Unit 1640 Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,095 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 34 Biscayne Blvd Rossville, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,399 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 105 Biscayne Blvd Rossville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1111 McBrien Rd Chattanooga, TN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,499 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1016 Greenslake Rd Chattanooga, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $775 | $0.62 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1502 Prater Rd Chattanooga, TN | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $2,340 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 10 Mary Ln Rossville, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-13status Active 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Welcome to 64 Tanforan ~ Move right into this completely updated home! Featuring a new roof, siding, deck, flooring, kitchen, appliances, new bathroom vanity and water heater. The interior has been totally freshly painted. You'll love the convenient location near the interstate and East Ridge, plus the large, level, mostly fenced-in back yard. Home warranty is offered if requested in offer, up to $450.
-
2026-05-13status Active 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Welcome to 64 Tanforan ~ Move right into this completely updated home! Featuring a new roof, siding, deck, flooring, kitchen, appliances, new bathroom vanity and water heater. The interior has been totally freshly painted. You'll love the convenient location near the interstate and East Ridge, plus the large, level, mostly fenced-in back yard. Home warranty is offered if requested in offer, up to $450.
-
2026-05-04historical Active Under Contract 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Welcome to 64 Tanforan ~ Move right into this completely updated home! Featuring a new roof, siding, deck, flooring, kitchen, appliances, new bathroom vanity and water heater. The interior has been totally freshly painted. You'll love the convenient location near the interstate and East Ridge, plus the large, level, mostly fenced-in back yard. Home warranty is offered if requested in offer, up to $450.
-
2026-05-04status Pending 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Welcome to 64 Tanforan ~ Move right into this completely updated home! Featuring a new roof, siding, deck, flooring, kitchen, appliances, new bathroom vanity and water heater. The interior has been totally freshly painted. You'll love the convenient location near the interstate and East Ridge, plus the large, level, mostly fenced-in back yard. Home warranty is offered if requested in offer, up to $450.
-
2026-04-24price $205,000 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Welcome to 64 Tanforan ~ Move right into this completely updated home! Featuring a new roof, siding, deck, flooring, kitchen, appliances, new bathroom vanity and water heater. The interior has been totally freshly painted. You'll love the convenient location near the interstate and East Ridge, plus the large, level, mostly fenced-in back yard. Home warranty is offered if requested in offer, up to $450.
-
2026-04-24price $205,000 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Welcome to 64 Tanforan ~ Move right into this completely updated home! Featuring a new roof, siding, deck, flooring, kitchen, appliances, new bathroom vanity and water heater. The interior has been totally freshly painted. You'll love the convenient location near the interstate and East Ridge, plus the large, level, mostly fenced-in back yard. Home warranty is offered if requested in offer, up to $450.
-
2026-04-07status Active 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Welcome to 64 Tanforan ~ Move right into this completely updated home! Featuring a new roof, siding, deck, flooring, kitchen, appliances, new bathroom vanity and water heater. The interior has been totally freshly painted. You'll love the convenient location near the interstate and East Ridge, plus the large, level, mostly fenced-in back yard. Home warranty is offered if requested in offer, up to $450.
-
2026-04-07status Active 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Welcome to 64 Tanforan ~ Move right into this completely updated home! Featuring a new roof, siding, deck, flooring, kitchen, appliances, new bathroom vanity and water heater. The interior has been totally freshly painted. You'll love the convenient location near the interstate and East Ridge, plus the large, level, mostly fenced-in back yard. Home warranty is offered if requested in offer, up to $450.
-
2026-04-06Active Under Contract 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Welcome to 64 Tanforan ~ Move right into this completely updated home! Featuring a new roof, siding, deck, flooring, kitchen, appliances, new bathroom vanity and water heater. The interior has been totally freshly painted. You'll love the convenient location near the interstate and East Ridge, plus the large, level, mostly fenced-in back yard. Home warranty is offered if requested in offer, up to $450.
-
2026-02-19status Pending 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Welcome to 64 Tanforan ~ Move right into this completely updated home! Featuring a new roof, siding, deck, flooring, kitchen, appliances, new bathroom vanity and water heater. The interior has been totally freshly painted. You'll love the convenient location near the interstate and East Ridge, plus the large, level, mostly fenced-in back yard. Home warranty is offered if requested in offer, up to $450.
-
2026-02-12price $210,000 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Welcome to 64 Tanforan ~ Move right into this completely updated home! Featuring a new roof, siding, deck, flooring, kitchen, appliances, new bathroom vanity and water heater. The interior has been totally freshly painted. You'll love the convenient location near the interstate and East Ridge, plus the large, level, mostly fenced-in back yard. Home warranty is offered if requested in offer, up to $450.
-
2026-01-26price $217,500 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Welcome to 64 Tanforan ~ Move right into this completely updated home! Featuring a new roof, siding, deck, flooring, kitchen, appliances, new bathroom vanity and water heater. The interior has been totally freshly painted. You'll love the convenient location near the interstate and East Ridge, plus the large, level, mostly fenced-in back yard. Home warranty is offered if requested in offer, up to $450.
-
2026-01-10$225,000 Active 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Welcome to 64 Tanforan ~ Move right into this completely updated home! Featuring a new roof, siding, deck, flooring, kitchen, appliances, new bathroom vanity and water heater. The interior has been totally freshly painted. You'll love the convenient location near the interstate and East Ridge, plus the large, level, mostly fenced-in back yard. Home warranty is offered if requested in offer, up to $450.
-
2026-01-10$210,000 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Welcome to 64 Tanforan ~ Move right into this completely updated home! Featuring a new roof, siding, deck, flooring, kitchen, appliances, new bathroom vanity and water heater. The interior has been totally freshly painted. You'll love the convenient location near the interstate and East Ridge, plus the large, level, mostly fenced-in back yard. Home warranty is offered if requested in offer, up to $450.
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2012-07-23soldstatus $26,750
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1995-03-27soldstatus $44,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,061 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,886 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- +$825/yr (+$69/mo · 77.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,275
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$1,061
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,462
- − Management
- −$1,462
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable loss
- −$4,182
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,004
- After-tax cash flow
- $454/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Catoosa County
- NCES district ID
- 1300930
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,913
- Composite
- 33.13/100
- National rank
- #5558
- State rank
- #49 of 174 in GA
Livability — Lakeview
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #106
- US rank
- #8207
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakeview, GA
- County
- Walker County · 48,831 people
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,041
- Household income
- $58,834
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 834.0
Population outlook (Catoosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 70,112 people
- By 2030
- 71,621 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 73,595 · +5.0%
- By 2050
- 73,921 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 72,135 · +2.9%
- By 2100
- 65,979 · -5.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Catoosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.5) · D 22.0% · R 77.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: -49.8pp · 2024: -55.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.5 2020: R+56.0 2016: R+60.7 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+49.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.05%
- Current HPI
- 267.0047
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.44%
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+365.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — GCAR
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Pending — GCAR
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $205,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $205,000 GCAR
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — GCAR
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-06 Listed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-19 Pending — GCAR
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $210,000 GCAR
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $217,500 GCAR
- 2026-01-10 Listed $225,000 GCAR
- 2026-01-10 Listed $210,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-07-23 Sold (MLS) $26,750 GCAR
- 1995-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,061 · +13.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…