2503 Calvert St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$2,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a ?-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $2k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $2k).
- Cap rate 766.1% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $74 of equity ($14 loan paydown + $60 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $560 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 81.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 766.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2713.62%
- DSCR
- 121.74
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 145.50×
- Total profit
- $80,920
- Equity at exit
- $899
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 313.62×
- Total profit
- $175,068
- Equity at exit
- $1,386
Cash invested: $560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48206 1588
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,620 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$10
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$2 /mo · $30/yr
- Insurance
- −$1
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $1,266
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,268 | -5% $1,267 | +0% $1,266 | +5% $1,266 | +10% $1,265 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,138 | -5% $1,202 | +0% $1,266 | +5% $1,330 | +10% $1,394 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,267 | -0.5pp $1,267 | base $1,266 | +0.5pp $1,266 | +1.0pp $1,265 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $500
- Closing costs
- $60
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2986 Richton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2600 | $1,200 | $0.46 | 17d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3259 Cortland St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3900 | $1,500 | $0.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2509 Gladstone St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3000 | $2,650 | $0.88 | 2d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1501 Taylor St #2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3734 | $925 | $0.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3747 Tyler St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2600 | $1,700 | $0.65 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4046 Tyler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2378 | $1,050 | $0.44 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1418 W Euclid St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2264 | $1,200 | $0.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1441 W Euclid St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2380 | $2,600 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 634 Atkinson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3000 | $6,500 | $2.17 | 10d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2025-06-27status Pending
-
2024-12-18historical
-
2023-03-27soldstatus $90,000
-
2009-11-12historical
-
2009-10-28$2,000
-
2009-10-28$2,000
-
2005-11-18soldstatus $85,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,446
- − Mortgage interest
- −$112
- − Property taxes
- −$30
- − Insurance
- −$10
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,556
- − Management
- −$1,556
- − Depreciation
- −$58
- Taxable income
- $16,124
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,870
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,326/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+5.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-12-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2009-11-12 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-10-28 Listed $2,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-10-28 Listed $2,000 REALCOMP
- 2005-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,299 · -36.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…