4412 E Mulberry St #270 · Fort Collins, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.7
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Check out this spacious and beautifully maintained double-wide located in Cloverleaf Park. 3-bedrooms, 2-bath, 1500sf and a garage! This home offers an open and functional layout with a large kitchen featuring a butcher block island, abundant cabinet space, and seamless flow between the living room - perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home showcases luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout (no carpet!), central A/C, and a remodeled primary bathroom complete with tile floors, a new double vanity, and updated sinks. Washer and dryer are included for added convenience.
Key facts
- Tile floors
- Large kitchen
- Butcher block island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $650 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 2.7% in Fort Collins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#11 in CO, #1,750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Poudre School District R-1 (urban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #10 of 86 in CO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Traut Core Elementary School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A-, #26 of 966 statewide, top 4%, 502 students, 12% FRL); Kinard Core Knowledge Middle School (math 61% / reading 77%, grade A, #8 of 270 statewide, top 3%, 748 students, 7% FRL); Fossil Ridge High School (math 63% / reading 83%, grade B+, #16 of 381 statewide, top 4%, 2,053 students, 9% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 71% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Poudre School District R-1 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 590 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 109d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.42%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $165,000
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- -21.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 648 Brandt Cir | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,504 (-0%) | 16mo | $205,000 | $136 | 66 |
| 846 Pleasure Dr | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,556 (+3%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $106 | 65 |
| 922 Pleasure Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,448 (-4%) | 4mo | $197,900 | $137 | 63 |
| 833 Sunchase Dr | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,616 (+7%) | 1mo | $238,500 | $148 | 60 |
| 4408 Espirit Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,616 (+7%) | 10mo | $230,000 | $142 | 54 |
| 826 Sunchase Dr | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,448 (-4%) | 16mo | $205,000 | $142 | 51 |
| 919 Vitala Dr | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,556 (+3%) | 17mo | $220,000 | $141 | 49 |
| 4465 Espirit Dr | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,561 (+3%) | 16mo | $220,000 | $141 | 49 |
| 961 Sunchase Dr | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,352 (-11%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $152 | 44 |
| 909 Sunchase Dr | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,616 (+7%) | 17mo | $230,000 | $142 | 43 |
| 4374 Quest Dr | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,619 (+7%) | 23mo | $205,000 | $127 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $22,395
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.24×
- Total profit
- $81,498
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active · 6 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.0 mo (20%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $130,000 ($86/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 76 d
- This list price
- 40% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +26.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 80524
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 590
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,832 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $736/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $650
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $723 | -5% $687 | +0% $650 | +5% $613 | +10% $576 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $505 | -5% $577 | +0% $650 | +5% $722 | +10% $795 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $715 | -0.5pp $683 | base $650 | +0.5pp $616 | +1.0pp $582 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 Loma Linda Dr Apt A Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1262 | $1,500 | $1.19 | 0d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 4692 Palamino Ln Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1606 | $2,600 | $1.62 | 116d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 908 Rollins Den Dr Fort Collins, CO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1888 | $3,080 | $1.63 | 109d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 802 Waterglen Dr Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1285 | $2,075 | $1.61 | 119d | 2 | 0.94mi |
| 802 Waterglen Dr Unit J40 Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1294 | $2,400 | $1.85 | 0d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4020 Berwick Ln Fort Collins, CO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 5d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 505 N Aria Way Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1779 | $2,800 | $1.57 | 119d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1121 Fenwick Dr Fort Collins, CO | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2250 | $2,595 | $1.15 | 2d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3210 Sykes Dr Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1485 | $2,700 | $1.82 | 109d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3950 Celtic Ln Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1538 | $2,600 | $1.69 | 109d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1127 Elgin Ct Fort Collins, CO | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,800 | $1.47 | 2d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3033 Sykes Dr Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $2,800 | $2.15 | 5d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- No association fees
Exterior
- Parking
- Carport
- Utilities
- City water (meter installed)Public sewerNatural gas availableElectricity availableCable availableHigh-speed internet available
- Home design
- Manufactured in parkMobile homeBuilder: Skyline
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingComposition roof
- Exterior features
- Ramp accessNo stairsMinimal flood or C rating
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric rangeDishwasherRefrigeratorMicrowave
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Eat-in kitchenOpen floorplanWorkshopKitchen island
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryer
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-13days on market $130,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $130,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $130,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $130,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $130,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $130,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $130,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $130,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $130,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $130,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $130,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $130,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $130,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $130,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $130,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $130,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $130,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $130,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $130,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $130,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $130,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $130,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $130,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $130,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $130,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $130,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $130,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $130,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $130,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $130,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $130,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $130,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $130,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $130,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $130,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $130,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $130,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $130,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $130,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $130,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $130,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $130,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $130,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $130,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 117 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $736 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $736 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,980
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$736
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,758
- − Management
- −$1,758
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $6,014
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,443
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,355/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This double-wide manufactured home in Cloverleaf Park is in good condition with cosmetic updates, making it a solid investment opportunity.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $2,000–$8,000 screening
- Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the roof.
- Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the windows.
- Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the electrical components.
- Minor Plumbing (plumbing) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the plumbing.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Poudre School District R-1
- NCES district ID
- 0803990
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,281
- Composite
- 45.5/100
- National rank
- #2610
- State rank
- #10 of 86 in CO
Livability — Fort Collins
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #1750
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Larimer County · 415,361 people
- City population
- 202,303
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,030
- Household income
- $85,035
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,361 people
- By 2030
- 457,762 · +10.2%
- By 2040
- 542,310 · +30.6%
- By 2050
- 627,048 · +51.0%
- By 2075
- 833,722 · +100.7%
- By 2100
- 952,590 · +129.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Portuguese 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Larimer
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -581.67%
- Current HPI
- 274.4026
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.13%
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+117.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $130,000 IRES
- 2026-02-13 Listed $135,000 IRES
- 2010-06-26 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2009-03-22 Listed $59,900 IRES
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $736 · +656.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…