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4412 E Mulberry St #270
B+ Composite 77.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • Schools +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -6.7

$130,000

4412 E Mulberry St #270 · Fort Collins, CO 80524
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · Manufactured public records · 181 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 2004 Good condition 8,712 sqft lot $86/sqft · 21% below area Est $165k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Check out this spacious and beautifully maintained double-wide located in Cloverleaf Park. 3-bedrooms, 2-bath, 1500sf and a garage! This home offers an open and functional layout with a large kitchen featuring a butcher block island, abundant cabinet space, and seamless flow between the living room - perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home showcases luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout (no carpet!), central A/C, and a remodeled primary bathroom complete with tile floors, a new double vanity, and updated sinks. Washer and dryer are included for added convenience.

Key facts

  • Tile floors
  • Large kitchen
  • Butcher block island

Tags

LARGE KITCHENBUTCHER BLOCK ISLANDABUNDANT CABINET SPACELUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGREMODELED PRIMARY BATHROOMTILE FLOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $650 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 2.7% in Fort Collins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#11 in CO, #1,750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Poudre School District R-1 (urban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #10 of 86 in CO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Traut Core Elementary School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A-, #26 of 966 statewide, top 4%, 502 students, 12% FRL); Kinard Core Knowledge Middle School (math 61% / reading 77%, grade A, #8 of 270 statewide, top 3%, 748 students, 7% FRL); Fossil Ridge High School (math 63% / reading 83%, grade B+, #16 of 381 statewide, top 4%, 2,053 students, 9% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 71% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Poudre School District R-1 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 590 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 109d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $114,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
12.29%
Cash-on-cash
21.42%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,000
List price
$130,000
Delta
-21.21%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
648 Brandt Cir 0.32mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,504 (-0%) 16mo $205,000 $136 66
846 Pleasure Dr 0.51mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,556 (+3%) 1mo $165,000 $106 65
922 Pleasure Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,448 (-4%) 4mo $197,900 $137 63
833 Sunchase Dr 0.48mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,616 (+7%) 1mo $238,500 $148 60
4408 Espirit Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,616 (+7%) 10mo $230,000 $142 54
826 Sunchase Dr 0.51mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,448 (-4%) 16mo $205,000 $142 51
919 Vitala Dr 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,556 (+3%) 17mo $220,000 $141 49
4465 Espirit Dr 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,561 (+3%) 16mo $220,000 $141 49
961 Sunchase Dr 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,352 (-11%) 5mo $205,000 $152 44
909 Sunchase Dr 0.56mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,616 (+7%) 17mo $230,000 $142 43
4374 Quest Dr 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,619 (+7%) 23mo $205,000 $127 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.13% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$22,395
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
3.24×
Total profit
$81,498
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
5 active · 6 under contract
Months of supply
5.0 mo (20%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$130,000 ($86/sqft)
Median days on market
76 d
This list price
40% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+26.9% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 80524

Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
590
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,832 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $736/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$385
Net cashflow
$650

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,009
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $723 -5% $687 +0% $650 +5% $613 +10% $576
Rent -10% $505 -5% $577 +0% $650 +5% $722 +10% $795
Rate -1.0pp $715 -0.5pp $683 base $650 +0.5pp $616 +1.0pp $582

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
407 Loma Linda Dr Apt A Fort Collins, CO 3.0 1.5 1262 $1,500 $1.19 0d 1 0.24mi
4692 Palamino Ln Fort Collins, CO 3.0 2.5 1606 $2,600 $1.62 116d 1 0.37mi
908 Rollins Den Dr Fort Collins, CO 4.0 2.0 1888 $3,080 $1.63 109d 1 0.69mi
802 Waterglen Dr Fort Collins, CO 3.0 2.5 1285 $2,075 $1.61 119d 2 0.94mi
802 Waterglen Dr Unit J40 Fort Collins, CO 3.0 2.5 1294 $2,400 $1.85 0d 1 0.98mi
4020 Berwick Ln Fort Collins, CO 4.0 2.0 2000 $2,500 $1.25 5d 1 1.15mi
505 N Aria Way Fort Collins, CO 3.0 2.0 1779 $2,800 $1.57 119d 1 1.22mi
1121 Fenwick Dr Fort Collins, CO 4.0 2.5 2250 $2,595 $1.15 2d 1 1.30mi
3210 Sykes Dr Fort Collins, CO 3.0 2.5 1485 $2,700 $1.82 109d 1 1.35mi
3950 Celtic Ln Fort Collins, CO 3.0 2.5 1538 $2,600 $1.69 109d 1 1.40mi
1127 Elgin Ct Fort Collins, CO 4.0 2.5 1900 $2,800 $1.47 2d 1 1.43mi
3033 Sykes Dr Fort Collins, CO 3.0 3.0 1300 $2,800 $2.15 5d 1 1.47mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
No association fees

Exterior

Parking
Carport
Utilities
City water (meter installed)Public sewerNatural gas availableElectricity availableCable availableHigh-speed internet available
Home design
Manufactured in parkMobile homeBuilder: Skyline
Construction
Vinyl sidingComposition roof
Exterior features
Ramp accessNo stairsMinimal flood or C rating

Interior

Kitchen
Electric rangeDishwasherRefrigeratorMicrowave
Bedrooms
3 bedrooms
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Forced air heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Eat-in kitchenOpen floorplanWorkshopKitchen island
Laundry & utility
WasherDryer

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 181 DOM
  2. 2026-08-12
    days on market $130,000 Active 180 DOM
  3. 2026-08-11
    days on market $130,000 Active 179 DOM
  4. 2026-08-10
    days on market $130,000 Active 178 DOM
  5. 2026-08-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 177 DOM
  6. 2026-08-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 176 DOM
  7. 2026-08-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 175 DOM
  8. 2026-08-06
    days on market $130,000 Active 174 DOM
  9. 2026-08-05
    days on market $130,000 Active 173 DOM
  10. 2026-08-04
    days on market $130,000 Active 172 DOM
  11. 2026-08-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 171 DOM
  12. 2026-07-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 168 DOM
  13. 2026-07-29
    days on market $130,000 Active 166 DOM
  14. 2026-07-27
    days on market $130,000 Active 164 DOM
  15. 2026-07-25
    days on market $130,000 Active 162 DOM
  16. 2026-07-24
    days on market $130,000 Active 161 DOM
  17. 2026-07-23
    days on market $130,000 Active 160 DOM
  18. 2026-07-22
    days on market $130,000 Active 159 DOM
  19. 2026-07-21
    days on market $130,000 Active 158 DOM
  20. 2026-07-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 155 DOM
  21. 2026-07-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 153 DOM
  22. 2026-07-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 152 DOM
  23. 2026-07-14
    days on market $130,000 Active 151 DOM
  24. 2026-07-14
    days on market $130,000 Active 150 DOM
  25. 2026-07-12
    days on market $130,000 Active 149 DOM
  26. 2026-07-11
    days on market $130,000 Active 148 DOM
  27. 2026-07-10
    days on market $130,000 Active 147 DOM
  28. 2026-07-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 146 DOM
  29. 2026-07-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 145 DOM
  30. 2026-07-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 144 DOM
  31. 2026-07-06
    days on market $130,000 Active 143 DOM
  32. 2026-07-05
    days on market $130,000 Active 142 DOM
  33. 2026-07-04
    days on market $130,000 Active 141 DOM
  34. 2026-07-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 140 DOM
  35. 2026-07-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 139 DOM
  36. 2026-07-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 138 DOM
  37. 2026-06-30
    days on market $130,000 Active 137 DOM
  38. 2026-06-29
    days on market $130,000 Active 136 DOM
  39. 2026-06-28
    days on market $130,000 Active 135 DOM
  40. 2026-06-28
    days on market $130,000 Active 134 DOM
  41. 2026-06-27
    days on market $130,000 Active 133 DOM
  42. 2026-06-25
    days on market $130,000 Active 131 DOM
  43. 2026-06-23
    days on market $130,000 Active 129 DOM
  44. 2026-06-21
    days on market $130,000 Active 128 DOM
  45. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 125 DOM
  46. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 124 DOM
  47. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 123 DOM
  48. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 122 DOM
  49. 2026-06-14
    days on market $130,000 Active 120 DOM
  50. 2026-06-10
    days on market $130,000 Active 117 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$736 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$736 · $61/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,980
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$736
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,758
− Management
−$1,758
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$6,014
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,443
After-tax cash flow
$6,355/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,560–$22,680 screening

This double-wide manufactured home in Cloverleaf Park is in good condition with cosmetic updates, making it a solid investment opportunity.

Components & finishes AI

Roof asphalt shingle · good Flooring wood Appliances white

Deferred maintenance Est. $2,000–$8,000 screening

  • Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the roof.
  • Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the windows.
  • Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the electrical components.
  • Minor Plumbing (plumbing) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the plumbing.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

C Composite school gradezoned avg 63/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Timnath Elementary School D- CO #249/966 Nat'l #14,504/41,679 Middle Kinard Core Knowledge Middle School A CO #8/270 Nat'l #913/14,009 High Fossil Ridge High School B+ CO #16/381 Nat'l #1,820/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Poudre School District R-1
NCES district ID
0803990
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$57,281
Composite
45.5/100
National rank
#2610
State rank
#10 of 86 in CO
A Composite livability gradescore 80/100

Livability — Fort Collins

Score
80/100
State rank
#11
US rank
#1750

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C Employment B Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Larimer County · 415,361 people
City population
202,303
Metro
Fort Collins, CO
Population (ZIP)
40,030
Household income
$85,035
Rent vs Own
35.7% rent · 64.3% own
Severe rent burden
10% of renters

Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,361 people
By 2030
457,762 · +10.2%
By 2040
542,310 · +30.6%
By 2050
627,048 · +51.0%
By 2075
833,722 · +100.7%
By 2100
952,590 · +129.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Portuguese 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Larimer

2024 margin
D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+117.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $130,000 IRES
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $135,000 IRES
  • 2010-06-26 Listing Removed IRES
  • 2009-03-22 Listed $59,900 IRES

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $736 · +656.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…