1027 Autumn St · Jackson, MS 39212

$84,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,384 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market

Built 1967 0.31 ac lot Est $64k · 33% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.8/10.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.1/10.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to 1027 Autumn St in Jackson, MS! This charming one-story ranch-style single-family home offers wonderful curb appeal and a welcoming covered front porch, perfect for relaxing and enjoying the neighborhood. Inside, the home features neutral colors and abundant natural light, creating a bright and comfortable atmosphere throughout. Classic wood-paneled rooms add timeless character and warmth, giving the home a distinctive and inviting feel. The spacious layout includes a large living room and a formal dining room, providing excellent space for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen is well-equipped with a gas cooktop, built-in oven, and convenient washer and dryer hookups, off

Key facts

• Covered front porch
• Gas cooktop
• Formal dining room

Tags

• COVERED FRONT PORCH
• CLASSIC WOOD-PANELED ROOMS
• LARGE LIVING ROOM
• FORMAL DINING ROOM
• GAS COOKTOP
• BUILT-IN OVEN

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
• Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Timberlawn Elementary School (math 5% / reading 11%, grade F, #334 of 375 statewide, top 89%, 353 students, 100% FRL); Forest Hill High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #168 of 197 statewide, top 86%, 991 students, 100% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $84,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.48% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.43%
• Cash-on-cash: 18.36%
• DSCR: 1.82
• GRM: 5.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $63,664
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3114 Suncrest Dr	0.14mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,432 (+4%)	3mo	$64,900	$45	80
1423 Woody Dr	0.34mi	3/1.5	1,404 (+1%)	2mo	$24,900	$18	78
1026 Branch St	0.11mi	3/2.0	1,236 (-11%)	3mo	$55,000	$44	74
983 Branch St	0.16mi	3/2.0	1,252 (-10%)	4mo	$60,000	$48	73
1416 Wooddell Dr	0.46mi	3/2.0	1,357 (-2%)	4mo	$35,000	$26	72
1907 Bienville Dr	0.40mi	3/2.0	1,308 (-6%)	4mo	$69,000	$53	69
3144 Fleetwood Dr	0.20mi	3/2.0	1,204 (-13%)	1mo	$59,900	$50	68
1928 Teakwood Dr	0.52mi	3/2.0	1,299 (-6%)	3mo	$68,000	$52	63
1636 Smallwood St	0.47mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,432 (+4%)	1mo	$17,000	$12	63
3156 Woodview Dr	0.57mi	3/1.0	1,409 (+2%)	4mo	$65,000	$46	63
1340 Woody Dr	0.37mi	3/1.0	1,208 (-13%)	1mo	$59,900	$50	57
2971 Kentwood Dr	0.44mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,532 (+11%)	3mo	$59,900	$39	54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 11.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.46×
• Total profit: $11,024
• Equity at exit: $12,659

10-year hold

• IRR: 21.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.94×
• Total profit: $46,217
• Equity at exit: $7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39212

• Home prices YoY: -11.7%
• Rents YoY: 4.2%
• Active inventory: 302
• Price-to-rent: 5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,254 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$445
• Tax from tax record: −$146 /mo · $1,754/yr
• Insurance: −$35
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$263
• Net cashflow: $364

Break-even live

Break-even rent $793

Max offer price $84,900

Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $412	-5% $388	+0% $364	+5% $340	+10% $316
Rent	-10% $265	-5% $314	+0% $364	+5% $413	+10% $463
Rate	-1.0pp $407	-0.5pp $385	base $364	+0.5pp $342	+1.0pp $319

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $21,225
• Closing costs: $2,547
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 36 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2808 Ridgeland Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1606	$1,600	$1.00	44d	1	0.34mi
2915 Longwood Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1800	$1,400	$0.78	24d	1	0.34mi
1010 Deryll St Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1143	$1,050	$0.92	14d	1	0.37mi
1018 Deryll St Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1056	$900	$0.85	24d	1	0.38mi
3308 Ramona St Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1104	$1,150	$1.04	22d	1	0.38mi
1054 Deryll St Jackson, MS	3.0	1.5	1132	$1,050	$0.93	14d	1	0.40mi
3341 Suncrest Dr Jackson, MS	4.0	1.0	1292	$1,225	$0.95	44d	1	0.43mi
1219 Woody Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1058	$1,150	$1.09	24d	1	0.44mi
3049 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1200	$975	$0.81	44d	1	0.48mi
2904 Marwood Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1554	$1,250	$0.80	24d	1	0.51mi
3020 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS	4.0	2.0	1600	$1,150	$0.72	24d	1	0.53mi
3122 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1421	$1,100	$0.77	44d	1	0.66mi
3162 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.5	1280	$1,236	$0.97	44d	1	0.67mi
3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,100	$0.92	14d	1	0.68mi
3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.5	1200	$1,100	$0.92	44d	1	0.68mi
427 McDowell Park Cir Jackson, MS	3.0	1.5	1308	$1,200	$0.92	14d	1	0.78mi
3151 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS	4.0	2.0	1474	$1,306	$0.89	14d	1	0.79mi
1223 Marydale Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1300	$950	$0.73	44d	1	0.93mi
2873 Teresa Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,100	$1.00	44d	1	0.95mi
2732 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS	4.0	2.0	1566	$1,050	$0.67	24d	1	1.06mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1120	$1,200	$1.07	24d	1	1.10mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1120	$1,200	$1.07	14d	1	1.10mi
2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1509	$1,075	$0.71	24d	1	1.11mi
2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1509	$1,075	$0.71	14d	1	1.11mi
2729 Carleton St Jackson, MS	4.0	2.0	1666	$1,575	$0.95	14d	1	1.14mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1343	$1,000	$0.74	44d	1	1.16mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1343	$1,000	$0.74	14d	1	1.16mi
3147 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1850	$1,306	$0.71	44d	1	1.19mi
3152 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.5	1200	$1,100	$0.92	14d	1	1.22mi
3511 Sykes Park Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1225	$1,426	$1.16	14d	1	1.26mi
103 Sykes Park Cir Jackson, MS	3.0	2.0	1500	$1,250	$0.83	44d	1	1.27mi
1533 Raymond Rd Jackson, MS	2.0	1.0	1135	$1,010	$0.89	44d	1	1.35mi
2786 Brookwood Dr Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1003	$1,100	$1.10	44d	1	1.39mi
5136 Lurline Dr Unit Ma Jackson, MS	3.0	1.5	1134	$1,100	$0.97	14d	1	1.39mi
422 Cooper Rd Jackson, MS	3.0	1.0	1049	$1,426	$1.36	24d	1	1.42mi
360 Cooper Rd Jackson, MS	4.0	2.0	1624	$1,575	$0.97	14d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-04-02
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-18
   listed $84,900 Active
3. 2020-02-20
   soldstatus
4. 1973-11-06
   soldstatus
5. 1968-08-24
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,754 · $146/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,754 · $146/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,046
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,756
• − Property taxes: −$1,754
• − Insurance: −$424
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,204
• − Management: −$1,204
• − Depreciation: −$2,470
• Taxable income: $3,234
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$776
• After-tax cash flow: $3,589/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Jackson Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2802190
• Math proficiency: 9% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 18% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $33,234
• Composite: 10.89/100
• National rank: #9755
• State rank: #112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #66
• US rank: #9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Jackson, MS
• County: Hinds County · 167,040 people
• City population: 140,204
• Metro: Jackson, MS
• Population (ZIP): 25,659
• Household income: $50,722
• Rent vs Own: 37.8% rent · 62.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1314.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 242,528 people
• By 2030: 241,113 · -0.6%
• By 2040: 235,557 · -2.9%
• By 2050: 226,946 · -6.4%
• By 2075: 199,995 · -17.5%
• By 2100: 164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -23.01%
• Current HPI: 174.4025
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.23%
• Metro: Jackson, MS
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-02 Pending — MLSU
• 2026-03-18 Listed $84,900 MLSU
• 2020-02-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1973-11-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1968-08-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,754 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.