1345 Hialeah Pl · Florissant, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.8/15.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 4 bedroom 2.5 bath brick-front ranch nestled on a quiet cul-de-sac in move-in ready condition. Step inside to find a beautiful kitchen featuring granite-look countertops, tile backsplash, cherry-stained oak cabinetry, updated sink and faucet, and new flooring throughout the main level. All appliances in the kitchen will stay. Other items that are included are: window unit ac's outside, pool equipment(including the rechargeable pool cleaner robot), TV in the dining room, garage refrigerator, pool table and bar and bar stools in the basement. The home boasts immaculate refinished hardwood floors in all bedrooms, a cozy gas vented fireplace in the living room with storage areas on bot
Key facts
- 7,636 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Two-car garage with garage door opener; Off-street parking; Oversized parking available
- Security: Security system; Closed-circuit cameras
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Front yard; Level lot; Near public transit; Above-ground private pool; Additional parking
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom (lower level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Breakfast bar; Insulated windows; Tilt-in windows; Window treatments; Basement partially finished with storage and a bathroom; Living room and recreation room fireplaces (1 total)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($401/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (14.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Parker Road Elementary (354 students, 99% FRL); Mccluer North High (math 5% / reading 28%, grade F, #487 of 521 statewide, top 93%, 1,136 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 218 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $130k; list at $215k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.67%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $206,976
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1345 Hialeah Pl | 0.00mi | 4/2.5 | 1,344 (0%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $160 | 97 |
| 1385 Spring Valley Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,376 (+2%) | 1mo | $214,900 | $156 | 76 |
| 1280 Old York Dr | 0.37mi | 4/2.5 | 1,386 (+3%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $170 | 74 |
| 2340 Johnstown Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (0%) | 2mo | $119,000 | $89 | 73 |
| 1680 Horseshoe Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,364 (+2%) | 1mo | $191,000 | $140 | 62 |
| 1370 Willowbrook | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,460 (+9%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $154 | 62 |
| 1320 Pepperhill Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,247 (-7%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $160 | 61 |
| 1540 Hialeah Pl | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,518 (+13%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $119 | 60 |
| 1475 Nashua Dr | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,160 (-14%) | 0mo | $169,900 | $146 | 60 |
| 1980 Parker Rd | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,196 (-11%) | 1mo | $182,157 | $152 | 57 |
| 1585 Pepperhill Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,204 (-10%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $187 | 54 |
| 13 Bayberry Ln | 0.74mi | 4/1.5 | 1,494 (+11%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $134 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $127,905
- Equity at exit
- $193,689
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.58×
- Total profit
- $396,095
- Equity at exit
- $417,698
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63033
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 218
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,834 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$198 /mo · $2,377/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $33
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 945 Paddock Dr Florissant, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1875 | $1,850 | $0.99 | 4d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1600 Horseshoe Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $1,550 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1785 Trotter Way Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $1,806 | $1.39 | 7d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 560 Jamaica Pl Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,653 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1725 Saint Catherine St Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1107 | $1,800 | $1.63 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 410 Ridge Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1226 | $1,650 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 20 Saint Benedict Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $1,525 | $1.40 | 20d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 9 Saint Celeste Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,450 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1280 Saint Catherine St Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,600 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 765 Bobbins Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1107 | $1,450 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3 Champlain Ct Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1710 Kay Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 2d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1545 Washington St Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1337 | $2,055 | $1.54 | 3d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 100 Taney Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,495 | $1.30 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 790 Pebble Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,795 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1600 Washington St Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1095 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 20d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 805 Robinwood Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1729 | $1,571 | $0.91 | 20d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1740 Deborah Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $1,750 | $1.06 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3 Cantabrian Ct Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,881 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1983 Greenheath Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,331 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 330 Moule Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,575 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1670 Arundel Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $1,450 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2075 Cordoba Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1523 | $1,850 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3144 Sunswept Pk Ct Florissant, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $1,250 | $1.53 | 1d | 12 | 1.31mi |
| 1095 Ozment Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,461 | $1.48 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1050 Ozment Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,525 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 470 Hundley Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,595 | $1.66 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1180 S New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,225 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 13 Cricket Ct Florissant, MO | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1560 | $2,550 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 116 Graham Rd Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1578 | $1,495 | $0.95 | 2d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1465 W Duchesne Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 4 Sharon Ct Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $1,800 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-08price $215,000
-
2026-03-16$220,000 Active
-
2026-03-16historical $220,000
-
2008-08-14soldstatus $130,000
-
1996-04-22soldstatus $84,900
-
1983-08-01soldstatus $61,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,377 · $198/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,377 · $198/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,003
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$2,377
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,760
- − Management
- −$1,760
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$3,267
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$784
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,185/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ferguson-Florissant R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2912010
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,610
- Composite
- 11.96/100
- National rank
- #9666
- State rank
- #311 of 324 in MO
Livability — Florissant
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #5406
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florissant, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 69,104
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,056
- Household income
- $66,776
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1429.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 23% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.78%
- Current HPI
- 570.6
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.51%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+252.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $215,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Listed $220,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Coming Soon $220,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 1996-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $84,900 Public Records
- 1983-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2022): $2,377 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…