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1345 Hialeah Pl
D+ Composite 49.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$215,000

1345 Hialeah Pl · Florissant, MO 63033
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1957 7,636 sqft lot Est $207k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 4 bedroom 2.5 bath brick-front ranch nestled on a quiet cul-de-sac in move-in ready condition. Step inside to find a beautiful kitchen featuring granite-look countertops, tile backsplash, cherry-stained oak cabinetry, updated sink and faucet, and new flooring throughout the main level. All appliances in the kitchen will stay. Other items that are included are: window unit ac's outside, pool equipment(including the rechargeable pool cleaner robot), TV in the dining room, garage refrigerator, pool table and bar and bar stools in the basement. The home boasts immaculate refinished hardwood floors in all bedrooms, a cozy gas vented fireplace in the living room with storage areas on bot

Key facts

  • 7,636 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered
  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Two-car garage with garage door opener; Off-street parking; Oversized parking available
  • Security: Security system; Closed-circuit cameras
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Front yard; Level lot; Near public transit; Above-ground private pool; Additional parking

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom (lower level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Breakfast bar; Insulated windows; Tilt-in windows; Window treatments; Basement partially finished with storage and a bathroom; Living room and recreation room fireplaces (1 total)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($401/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (14.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Parker Road Elementary (354 students, 99% FRL); Mccluer North High (math 5% / reading 28%, grade F, #487 of 521 statewide, top 93%, 1,136 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 218 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $130k; list at $215k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $183,357 (14.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.48%
Cash-on-cash
0.67%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$206,976
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1345 Hialeah Pl 0.00mi 4/2.5 1,344 (0%) 1mo $215,000 $160 97
1385 Spring Valley Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,376 (+2%) 1mo $214,900 $156 76
1280 Old York Dr 0.37mi 4/2.5 1,386 (+3%) 1mo $235,000 $170 74
2340 Johnstown Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (0%) 2mo $119,000 $89 73
1680 Horseshoe Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,364 (+2%) 1mo $191,000 $140 62
1370 Willowbrook 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,460 (+9%) 1mo $225,000 $154 62
1320 Pepperhill Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,247 (-7%) 1mo $200,000 $160 61
1540 Hialeah Pl 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,518 (+13%) 3mo $180,000 $119 60
1475 Nashua Dr 0.13mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,160 (-14%) 0mo $169,900 $146 60
1980 Parker Rd 0.28mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,196 (-11%) 1mo $182,157 $152 57
1585 Pepperhill Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,204 (-10%) 2mo $225,000 $187 54
13 Bayberry Ln 0.74mi 4/1.5 1,494 (+11%) 1mo $199,900 $134 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.3%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$127,905
Equity at exit
$193,689
10-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
7.58×
Total profit
$396,095
Equity at exit
$417,698

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63033

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
218
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,834 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$198 /mo · $2,377/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$385
Net cashflow
$33

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,791
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
945 Paddock Dr Florissant, MO 4.0 2.0 1875 $1,850 $0.99 4d 1 0.27mi
1600 Horseshoe Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1314 $1,550 $1.18 43d 1 0.45mi
1785 Trotter Way Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1297 $1,806 $1.39 7d 1 0.51mi
560 Jamaica Pl Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,653 $1.22 43d 1 0.52mi
1725 Saint Catherine St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1107 $1,800 $1.63 14d 1 0.67mi
410 Ridge Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1226 $1,650 $1.35 17d 1 0.69mi
20 Saint Benedict Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1092 $1,525 $1.40 20d 1 0.70mi
9 Saint Celeste Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 992 $1,450 $1.46 43d 1 0.84mi
1280 Saint Catherine St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,600 $1.26 14d 1 0.84mi
765 Bobbins Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1107 $1,450 $1.31 43d 1 0.87mi
3 Champlain Ct Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 43d 1 0.88mi
1710 Kay Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 2d 1 0.88mi
1545 Washington St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1337 $2,055 $1.54 3d 1 0.92mi
100 Taney Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1148 $1,495 $1.30 22d 1 0.93mi
790 Pebble Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1242 $1,795 $1.45 23d 1 0.95mi
1600 Washington St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1095 $1,250 $1.14 20d 1 0.97mi
805 Robinwood Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1729 $1,571 $0.91 20d 1 0.98mi
1740 Deborah Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.5 1650 $1,750 $1.06 17d 1 0.99mi
3 Cantabrian Ct Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1436 $1,881 $1.31 14d 1 1.01mi
1983 Greenheath Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1040 $1,331 $1.28 3d 1 1.20mi
330 Moule Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,575 $1.55 43d 1 1.25mi
1670 Arundel Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1012 $1,450 $1.43 23d 1 1.25mi
2075 Cordoba Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1523 $1,850 $1.21 14d 1 1.29mi
3144 Sunswept Pk Ct Florissant, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 818 $1,250 $1.53 1d 12 1.31mi
1095 Ozment Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 984 $1,461 $1.48 23d 1 1.34mi
1050 Ozment Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 984 $1,525 $1.55 43d 1 1.34mi
470 Hundley Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 962 $1,595 $1.66 43d 1 1.35mi
1180 S New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 925 $1,225 $1.32 23d 1 1.41mi
13 Cricket Ct Florissant, MO 4.0 3.0 1560 $2,550 $1.63 43d 1 1.46mi
116 Graham Rd Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1578 $1,495 $0.95 2d 1 1.48mi
1465 W Duchesne Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 896 $1,500 $1.67 43d 1 1.48mi
4 Sharon Ct Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1108 $1,800 $1.62 2d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-08
    price $215,000
  3. 2026-03-16
    listed $220,000 Active
  4. 2026-03-16
    historical $220,000
  5. 2008-08-14
    soldstatus $130,000
  6. 1996-04-22
    soldstatus $84,900
  7. 1983-08-01
    soldstatus $61,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,377 · $198/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,377 · $198/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,003
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$2,377
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,760
− Management
−$1,760
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$3,267
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$784
After-tax cash flow
$1,185/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Florissant

Score
73/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#5406

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Florissant, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
69,104
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
43,056
Household income
$66,776
Rent vs Own
33.4% rent · 66.6% own
Severe rent burden
1429.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 23% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.78%
Current HPI
570.6
Rent YoY
▲ 7.51%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+252.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $215,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $220,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-16 Coming Soon $220,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 1996-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $84,900 Public Records
  • 1983-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2022): $2,377 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…