43 Doxbury Ln #43 · Suffern, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- Cash flow +9.1/30.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Home sweet home! Picture yourself walking into a lush landscaped courtyard with beautiful flower gardens, leading to a quaint front porch with fluttering butterflies perching on the potted plants just waiting to welcome you home. Brand new floors throughout, freshly painted with a custom cheerful modern gray, white kitchen cabinets and a Brand New Spa-like Bathroom, + Private Deck. Private basement with your own washer/dryer and ample storage. You also get one assign parking space # 104. All if this with first floor convenience. 43 Doxbury is ready to move into and located in one of the most desirable communities-Stonegate 9.
Key facts
- Private basement
- Galley kitchen
- Exercise room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-201 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $231k (11.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (5.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $231k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.9% in Suffern — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#546 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Suffern Central School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #242 of 590 in NY (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Richard P Connor Elementary School (math 42% / reading 62%, grade C-, #988 of 2,108 statewide, top 49%, 383 students, 0% FRL); Suffern Middle School (math 30% / reading 56%, grade D-, #370 of 729 statewide, top 51%, 836 students, 38% FRL); Suffern Senior High School (math 96% / reading 95%, grade A+, #76 of 1,100 statewide, top 7%, 1,486 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: 326 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 68d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 429 units permitted in Rockland County in 2024 (231 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.31%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $274,542
- List price
- $259,900
- Delta
- -5.33%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 Parkside Dr #210 | 0.12mi | 1/1.0 | 700 (+4%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $193 | 85 |
| 103 Doxbury Ln | 0.03mi | 1/1.0 | 767 (+14%) | 4mo | $325,000 | $424 | 71 |
| 220 Parkside Dr #220 | 0.12mi | 1/1.0 | 832 (+24%) | 1mo | $162,000 | $195 | 68 |
| 19 Doxbury Ln | 0.03mi | 1/1.0 | 830 (+24%) | 9mo | $330,000 | $398 | 67 |
| 35 Park Ave Unit 3L | 1.19mi | 1/1.0 | 665 (-1%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $316 | 58 |
| 24 Bon Aire Cir Unit N | 0.36mi | 1/1.0 | 800 (+19%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $200 | 54 |
| 12 Danbury Ct #1502 | 0.38mi | 1/1.0 | 800 (+19%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $188 | 53 |
| 23 Meadow Ave | 1.15mi | 1/2.0 | 664 (-1%) | 9mo | $400,000 | $602 | 52 |
| 5 Oakdale Mnr Unit L14 | 0.85mi | 1/1.0 | 725 (+8%) | 0mo | $107,000 | $148 | 51 |
| 3 Sussex Ct #415 | 0.47mi | 1/1.0 | 800 (+19%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $163 | 51 |
| 47 Bon Aire Cir #7715 | 0.53mi | 1/1.0 | 800 (+19%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $169 | 48 |
| 51 Bon Aire Cir #7707 | 0.53mi | 1/1.0 | 800 (+19%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $150 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-54,650
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-63,050
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 0 active · 1 under contract
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 10901
- Active inventory
- 326
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,447 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$325 /mo · $3,898/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$338
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$514
- Net cashflow
- $-201
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-21 | -5% $-111 | +0% $-201 | +5% $-290 | +10% $-380 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-394 | -5% $-297 | +0% $-201 | +5% $-104 | +10% $-7 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-70 | -0.5pp $-135 | base $-201 | +0.5pp $-268 | +1.0pp $-337 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250-260 Franklin Tpke Mahwah, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,250 | $3.21 | 0d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 139 2nd St Unit 137 Mahwah, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $2,195 | $3.52 | 88d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 15 Washington Ave Unit 102 Suffern, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $2,700 | $3.93 | 67d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 15 Washington Ave Unit 414 Suffern, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $2,700 | $3.93 | 69d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 15 Washington Ave Suffern, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 848 | $2,400 | $2.83 | 97d | 4 | 1.25mi |
| 15 Washington Ave Unit 316 Suffern, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $2,850 | $3.88 | 120d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 15 Washington Ave Suffern, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $2,800 | $3.37 | 67d | 3 | 1.25mi |
| 11 Washington Ave Suffern, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 440 | $1,750 | $3.98 | 38d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 92 Blauvelt Way Suffern, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 867 | $2,694 | $3.11 | 0d | 5 | 1.27mi |
| 18 Pavilion Ridge Way Unit 17 Suffern, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $2,150 | $2.93 | 57d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 16 Pavilion Ridge Way Unit 6 Suffern, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $2,150 | $2.95 | 51d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 21 Pavilion Rd Unit 21 Suffern, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,995 | $2.85 | 69d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Community features include curbs and sidewalks
- HOA & community
- Has homeowners association (Arthur Edwards)Monthly HOA fee of $395HOA covers gas, heat, hot water, water, sewer, common area maintenance, grounds care, snow removal, trash, and parking
Exterior
- Parking
- One assigned parking spaceOff-street, on-street and parking lot options availablePrivate parking
- Security
- Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities
- Public sewerWater connectedNatural gas connectedElectricity connectedCable connectedPhone connectedTrash collection (private)Underground utilities
- Home design
- CondominiumEntry level: 1Actual property condition
- Construction
- Brick and shingle siding exterior
- Exterior features
- Corner lotLandscapedLevel lotNo waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherOvenRangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- Includes a first-floor bedroom
- Flooring
- Carpet
- Bathrooms
- One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Baseboard heating (natural gas)Wall/window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features
- First-floor bedroomFirst-floor full bathroomPrimary bathroomPartial, unfinished basement (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookup in basementWasher and dryer included
HOA detail $338/mo · $4,056/yr condo
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $259,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $259,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $259,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $259,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $259,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $259,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $259,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $259,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $259,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $259,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $259,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $259,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $259,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $259,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $259,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-09-02days on market $259,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $259,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $259,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-29price $259,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $269,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $269,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $269,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $269,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $269,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $269,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $269,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $269,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $269,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $269,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $269,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $269,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $269,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $269,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $269,900 Active 66 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $269,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $269,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $269,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $269,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $269,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $269,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $269,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $269,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-08-05price $269,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $279,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $279,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $279,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-31price $279,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-31pricedays on market $280,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $288,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $288,000 Active 49 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,369
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$3,898
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,350
- − Management
- −$2,350
- − HOA
- −$4,056
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable loss
- −$6,703
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,609
- After-tax cash flow
- $-799/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This townhouse is in good condition with fresh paint and well-maintained landscaping. It is ready to move in and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint on the front door and trim to enhance its curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint the front door and trim — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and can increase the home's value. ↑
- Rental Replace the air conditioning unit — A reliable air conditioning unit is essential for rental properties and can attract tenants. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Suffern Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628320
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $85,871
- Composite
- 51.17/100
- National rank
- #1758
- State rank
- #242 of 590 in NY
Livability — Suffern
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #546
- US rank
- #9788
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Suffern, NY
- County
- Rockland County · 339,642 people
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,095
- Household income
- $108,041
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Rockland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 339,642 people
- By 2030
- 345,987 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 357,178 · +5.2%
- By 2050
- 362,456 · +6.7%
- By 2075
- 367,281 · +8.1%
- By 2100
- 328,211 · -3.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 10% Two or more races 6% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 4% Hispanic 4%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockland
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.8) · D 44.1% · R 55.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.7pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -11.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.8 2020: D+1.7 2016: D+5.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -582.29%
- Current HPI
- 282.4798
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $288,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…