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4025 Clover Ave
B- Composite 66.26
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,000

4025 Clover Ave · Vadnais Heights, MN 55127
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,603 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1947 3.61 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 4025 Clover Ave! This virtually untouched bungalow is a goldmine for fixer-uppers & vintage junkies alike. What really stands out here though is the land! Situated on a double lot, it boasts 3.6 acres of both great yard space & wooded privacy. Inside, on the main floor you'll find a formal living room with wood-burning fireplace, formal dining room, sun room with french doors, kitchen, & den/flex space with built-in cabinet storage, plus a toilet "room" off the kitchen (added due to owner's mobility). Upstairs offers 4 bedrooms & a full bath, with original hardwood flooring in 3 of the bedrooms. The oversized 2-car detached garage features an unfi

Key facts

  • 3.61 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1947

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached garage with concrete apron and garage door opener; 2-car garage (22x35, 16' door width)
  • Utilities: City water connected and well; City sewer connected; Natural gas; Connexus Energy power
  • Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Sun room
  • Construction: Block foundation; Asphalt roof (age over 8 years); Block foundation area noted
  • Exterior features: Stucco and vinyl exterior; Medium tree coverage; Irregular lot; Publicly maintained city street frontage; No pool; No fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen with window
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; Main level den; Upper level bedrooms (three on upper level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors; Tile floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating with boiler; No central air
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; French doors; Natural woodwork; Sun room; Kitchen window
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in basement; Washer/dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $588 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $199k).
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.0% in Vadnais Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#280 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • White Bear Lake School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #83 of 301 in MN (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 135 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $199,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
9.84%
Cash-on-cash
12.66%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-1,101
Equity at exit
$29,672
10-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$22,713
Equity at exit
$17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55127

Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,651 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$380 /mo · $4,560/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$557
Net cashflow
$588

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,907
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $700 -5% $644 +0% $588 +5% $531 +10% $475
Rent -10% $378 -5% $483 +0% $588 +5% $692 +10% $797
Rate -1.0pp $688 -0.5pp $638 base $588 +0.5pp $536 +1.0pp $484

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
750 W Berwood Ave Vadnais Heights, MN 4.0 2.0 1460 $2,700 $1.85 0d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-26
    status Active
  2. 2026-05-26
    historical
  3. 2026-05-26
    listed $199,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,560 · $380/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,560 · $380/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,810
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$4,560
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,545
− Management
−$2,545
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable income
$4,229
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,015
After-tax cash flow
$6,037/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
White Bear Lake School District
NCES district ID
2742360
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$73,051
Composite
45.78/100
National rank
#2564
State rank
#83 of 301 in MN

Livability — Vadnais Heights

Score
72/100
State rank
#280
US rank
#6090

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Vadnais Heights, MN
County
Ramsey County · 542,837 people
City population
18,090
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
18,090
Household income
$117,917
Rent vs Own
17.7% rent · 82.3% own
Severe rent burden
280.0

Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
603,431 people
By 2030
636,459 · +5.5%
By 2040
700,596 · +16.1%
By 2050
765,819 · +26.9%
By 2075
929,297 · +54.0%
By 2100
1,053,924 · +74.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Asian 8% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 8% Romanian 5% Scottish 4%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Guatemala
Languages at home
89% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 4% Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey

2024 margin
Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -267.17%
Current HPI
215.5757
Rent YoY
▲ 0.54%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-26 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $199,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,560 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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