4025 Clover Ave · Vadnais Heights, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 4025 Clover Ave! This virtually untouched bungalow is a goldmine for fixer-uppers & vintage junkies alike. What really stands out here though is the land! Situated on a double lot, it boasts 3.6 acres of both great yard space & wooded privacy. Inside, on the main floor you'll find a formal living room with wood-burning fireplace, formal dining room, sun room with french doors, kitchen, & den/flex space with built-in cabinet storage, plus a toilet "room" off the kitchen (added due to owner's mobility). Upstairs offers 4 bedrooms & a full bath, with original hardwood flooring in 3 of the bedrooms. The oversized 2-car detached garage features an unfi
Key facts
- 3.61 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1947
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached garage with concrete apron and garage door opener; 2-car garage (22x35, 16' door width)
- Utilities: City water connected and well; City sewer connected; Natural gas; Connexus Energy power
- Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Sun room
- Construction: Block foundation; Asphalt roof (age over 8 years); Block foundation area noted
- Exterior features: Stucco and vinyl exterior; Medium tree coverage; Irregular lot; Publicly maintained city street frontage; No pool; No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen with window
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; Main level den; Upper level bedrooms (three on upper level)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Tile floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating with boiler; No central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; French doors; Natural woodwork; Sun room; Kitchen window
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in basement; Washer/dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $588 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $199k).
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.0% in Vadnais Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#280 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- White Bear Lake School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #83 of 301 in MN (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 135 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.66%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-1,101
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $22,713
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55127
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,651 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$380 /mo · $4,560/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$557
- Net cashflow
- $588
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $700 | -5% $644 | +0% $588 | +5% $531 | +10% $475 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $378 | -5% $483 | +0% $588 | +5% $692 | +10% $797 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $688 | -0.5pp $638 | base $588 | +0.5pp $536 | +1.0pp $484 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 750 W Berwood Ave Vadnais Heights, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,700 | $1.85 | 0d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-26status Active
-
2026-05-26historical
-
2026-05-26$199,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,560 · $380/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,560 · $380/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,810
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$4,560
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,545
- − Management
- −$2,545
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable income
- $4,229
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,015
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,037/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- White Bear Lake School District
- NCES district ID
- 2742360
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,051
- Composite
- 45.78/100
- National rank
- #2564
- State rank
- #83 of 301 in MN
Livability — Vadnais Heights
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #280
- US rank
- #6090
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vadnais Heights, MN
- County
- Ramsey County · 542,837 people
- City population
- 18,090
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,090
- Household income
- $117,917
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 280.0
Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 603,431 people
- By 2030
- 636,459 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 700,596 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 765,819 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 929,297 · +54.0%
- By 2100
- 1,053,924 · +74.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Asian 8% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Romanian 5% Scottish 4%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 4% Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -267.17%
- Current HPI
- 215.5757
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.54%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-26 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-26 Listed $199,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,560 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…