Fourplex
525 Whitney Ave · New Haven, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 61.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,025,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Lovely, well-maintained legal 4-family home in Worthington Hooker School attendance zone, a rare East Rock find! Perfect for owner-occupants or investors. 1st floor owner's unit features high ceilings, recently refinished hardwood floors, working fireplace, great closet space, 3 large BR and 2 full baths (one BR & bath have own entrance, can be used as MBR suite, in-law unit or home office suite). Kitchen has good cabinet space, and room to expand/update as desired. 2 one-BR apartments on 2nd floor are month-to-month, 1 two-BR apartment on 3rd floor leased, all filled with stable long-term tenants. Flat roofs recently replaced, exterior stairs recently renovated. 2-car garage and 4+ extra parking spots, on bus and Yale Shuttle lines. A great opportunity for affordable living in East Rock while walking to Yale, downtown, park, and Worthington Hooker School.
Key facts
- Long-term tenants
- New flat roofs
- Private entrance
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2-car garage; Off-street parking; Total of 4 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Hot water: other; Heat fuel: natural gas
- Home design: Multi-family property (4-family)
- Construction: Frame construction; Gable roof; No foundation specified
- Exterior features: Balcony; Deck; Level lot; Vinyl siding
Interior
- Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 5 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Storm doors (energy feature)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Handicap parking, multiple entries/exits and ramps; Full basement with concrete floor
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 6-bed/5.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.02M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $334/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $1.02M).
- Recommended offer: $1.01M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.8% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#31 in CT, #2,190 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- New Haven School District (urban): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #147 of 153 in CT (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Worthington Hooker School (math 55% / reading 70%, grade B, #134 of 553 statewide, top 24%, 371 students, 25% FRL); Wilbur Cross High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #147 of 194 statewide, top 78%, 1,633 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 66% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 45% at this address vs 18% district-wide (+26 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the New Haven School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $11,049/mo this rent would consume 221% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 4999% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $31k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.01M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $602k; list at $1.02M implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.58%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,027,772
- List price
- $1,025,000
- Delta
- 6.54%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 540 Whitney Ave | 0.05mi | 6/4.0 | 4,134 (+12%) | 1mo | $1,115,000 | $270 | 76 |
| 114 Canner St | 0.23mi | 6/3.0 | 3,729 (+1%) | 12mo | $1,001,500 | $269 | 73 |
| 830 Orange St | 0.27mi | 6/3.0 | 3,628 (-2%) | 13mo | $895,000 | $247 | 70 |
| 224 Huntington St | 0.53mi | 6/3.0 | 3,814 (+4%) | 1mo | $877,000 | $230 | 65 |
| 855 Orange St | 0.31mi | 6/3.0 | 3,792 (+3%) | 22mo | $1,005,000 | $265 | 58 |
| 119 Foster St | 0.46mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 3,424 (-7%) | 9mo | $808,000 | $236 | 50 |
| 182 Nicoll St | 0.49mi | 6/2.5 | 3,592 (-2%) | 21mo | $797,500 | $222 | 50 |
| 21 Sheldon Ter | 0.46mi | 6/3.0 | 3,249 (-12%) | 14mo | $700,000 | $215 | 44 |
| 252 Sheffield Ave | 0.60mi | 6/3.0 | 3,399 (-8%) | 21mo | $435,000 | $128 | 38 |
| 120 Bishop St | 0.57mi | 7/6.0 (+1) | 4,084 (+11%) | 8mo | $1,050,000 | $257 | 36 |
| 152 Sheffield Ave | 0.56mi | 6/2.0 | 3,184 (-14%) | 10mo | $410,000 | $129 | 35 |
| 258 Highland St | 0.53mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 3,360 (-9%) | 22mo | $439,900 | $131 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-85,155
- Equity at exit
- $152,831
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $18,736
- Equity at exit
- $88,623
Cash invested: $287,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06511
- Home prices YoY
- -20.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 30.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $11,049 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,375
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,592 /mo · $19,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$427
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,320
- Net cashflow
- $1,335
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 6 | 5 | $11,048 |
| #1 | 6 | 5 | $2,762 |
| #2 | 6 | 5 | $2,762 |
| #3 | 6 | 5 | $2,762 |
| #4 | 6 | 5 | $2,762 |
| Total (4 units) | $11,049 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $256,250
- Closing costs
- $30,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589 Winchester Ave Unit 3 New Haven, CT | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3936 | $2,650 | $0.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 30 Trumbull St New Haven, CT | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2668 | $5,000 | $1.87 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 347 Sherman Ave New Haven, CT | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3153 | $2,300 | $0.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 432 Norton Pkwy New Haven, CT | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2493 | $4,195 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 355 Norton St Unit 1 New Haven, CT | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2500 | $3,300 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,025,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,025,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,025,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,025,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $1,025,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $1,025,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,070,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,070,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,070,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,070,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $1,070,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,070,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,070,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,070,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,070,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-19status Active 1446-char remark
-
2026-05-15status Under Contract 1446-char remark
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2026-05-03historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 1446-char remark
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2026-04-14price $1,095,000 1446-char remark
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2026-03-30$1,199,000 Active 1446-char remark
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2016-08-08soldstatus $602,000
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2016-08-05soldstatus $602,000 872-char remark
Show marketing remark (872 chars)
Lovely, well-maintained legal 4-family home in Worthington Hooker School attendance zone, a rare East Rock find! Perfect for owner-occupants or investors. 1st floor owner's unit features high ceilings, recently refinished hardwood floors, working fireplace, great closet space, 3 large BR and 2 full baths (one BR & bath have own entrance, can be used as MBR suite, in-law unit or home office suite). Kitchen has good cabinet space, and room to expand/update as desired. 2 one-BR apartments on 2nd floor are month-to-month, 1 two-BR apartment on 3rd floor leased, all filled with stable long-term tenants. Flat roofs recently replaced, exterior stairs recently renovated. 2-car garage and 4+ extra parking spots, on bus and Yale Shuttle lines. A great opportunity for affordable living in East Rock while walking to Yale, downtown, park, and Worthington Hooker School.
-
2016-04-06historical 872-char remark
Show marketing remark (872 chars)
Lovely, well-maintained legal 4-family home in Worthington Hooker School attendance zone, a rare East Rock find! Perfect for owner-occupants or investors. 1st floor owner's unit features high ceilings, recently refinished hardwood floors, working fireplace, great closet space, 3 large BR and 2 full baths (one BR & bath have own entrance, can be used as MBR suite, in-law unit or home office suite). Kitchen has good cabinet space, and room to expand/update as desired. 2 one-BR apartments on 2nd floor are month-to-month, 1 two-BR apartment on 3rd floor leased, all filled with stable long-term tenants. Flat roofs recently replaced, exterior stairs recently renovated. 2-car garage and 4+ extra parking spots, on bus and Yale Shuttle lines. A great opportunity for affordable living in East Rock while walking to Yale, downtown, park, and Worthington Hooker School.
-
2016-02-22$619,950 872-char remark
Show marketing remark (872 chars)
Lovely, well-maintained legal 4-family home in Worthington Hooker School attendance zone, a rare East Rock find! Perfect for owner-occupants or investors. 1st floor owner's unit features high ceilings, recently refinished hardwood floors, working fireplace, great closet space, 3 large BR and 2 full baths (one BR & bath have own entrance, can be used as MBR suite, in-law unit or home office suite). Kitchen has good cabinet space, and room to expand/update as desired. 2 one-BR apartments on 2nd floor are month-to-month, 1 two-BR apartment on 3rd floor leased, all filled with stable long-term tenants. Flat roofs recently replaced, exterior stairs recently renovated. 2-car garage and 4+ extra parking spots, on bus and Yale Shuttle lines. A great opportunity for affordable living in East Rock while walking to Yale, downtown, park, and Worthington Hooker School.
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2014-10-16soldstatus $540,000
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2014-10-15soldstatus $540,000
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2014-06-17$599,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $19,100 · $1,592/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $20,518 · $1,710/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,418/yr (+$118/mo · 7.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $132,588
- − Mortgage interest
- −$57,416
- − Property taxes
- −$19,100
- − Insurance
- −$5,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,607
- − Management
- −$10,607
- − Depreciation
- −$29,818
- Taxable loss
- −$85
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$20
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,037/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Haven School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902790
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,058
- Composite
- 15.48/100
- National rank
- #9308
- State rank
- #147 of 153 in CT
Livability — New Haven
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #2190
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Haven, CT
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 132,813
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,730
- Household income
- $59,969
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4999.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 34% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 8% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 15% Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.05%
- Current HPI
- 328.1353
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+70.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $1,025,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-05-20 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $1,070,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-15 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-03 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $1,095,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $1,199,000 Smart MLS
- 2016-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $602,000 Public Records
- 2016-08-05 Sold (MLS) $602,000 Smart MLS
- 2016-04-06 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2016-02-22 Listed $619,950 Smart MLS
- 2014-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $540,000 Public Records
- 2014-10-15 Sold (MLS) $540,000 Smart MLS
- 2014-06-17 Listed $599,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2023): $19,100 · -6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…