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488 Prairie
B- Composite 69.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

488 Prairie · Cathedral City, CA 92234
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Manufactured public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1965 $140/sqft · 84% above area ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Royal Palms--where comfort, convenience, and easy desert living come together in this 55+ gated community. This fully furnished, turnkey home sits on a spacious oversized lot and features a large deck perfect for relaxing and enjoying beautiful mountain views. RV parking is also available for added flexibility. Inside, you'll find thoughtful upgrades throughout, including a remodeled kitchen with updated countertops and refreshed bathrooms. The home is equipped for year-round comfort with a new central air conditioner, an Eco air unit in the living room, and a Sam's Club evaporative cooler for added efficiency. Additional highlights include a new refrigerator, front-load washer a

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Large deck
  • Rv parking

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYOVERSIZED LOTLARGE DECKMOUNTAIN VIEWSRV PARKINGREMODELED KITCHEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Park manager approval required; Park manager contact available
  • Financial info: Land is lease; annual land lease amount listed; Rental restrictions apply; Listing terms: Cash or cash to new loan
  • HOA & community: No monthly association fee; Senior community; Community features include dog park and pickleball courts; Gated community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 2 total parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
  • Security: Gated community with card/code access
  • Utilities: Mutual water source; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-level (one story); Double-wide mobile home; Entry facing other
  • Construction: Built in 1965 (manufacture date); Mobile/manufactured construction; Double wide (20 ft x 50 ft)
  • Exterior features: Detached property; Mountain view; Community pool (in-ground); Community spa (in-ground); Gated community; Card/Code access; Community access; Senior park (Royal Palms)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Wall oven; Gas cooktop; Refrigerator; Microwave oven; Ceramic counters
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Mixed flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air; Evaporative cooling; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Furnished; Dining room; Living room; Covered patio
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 5.1% in Cathedral City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#344 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities D-.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 525 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.80%
Cap rate
15.09%
Cash-on-cash
31.41%
DSCR
2.40
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$75,962
List price
$139,900
Delta
84.17%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
438 Butterfield 0.04mi 2/2.0 1,000 (0%) 1mo $56,000 $56 97
454 Little Deer 0.09mi 2/1.0 960 (-4%) 2mo $56,000 $58 84
34 Coble Dr 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+6%) 8mo $119,000 $113 79
94 Armenia Dr 0.17mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+6%) 10mo $79,000 $75 74
162 Coyote 0.19mi 2/1.5 960 (-4%) 11mo $41,000 $43 73
3 Sand Crk 0.26mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (+4%) 5mo $73,000 $70 68
13 Oasis Dr N 0.34mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+6%) 12mo $159,900 $151 64
174 Coyote 0.24mi 2/2.0 880 (-12%) 6mo $70,000 $80 64
7 Sand Crk 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,135 (+14%) 8mo $115,000 $101 64
110 Coyote 0.20mi 2/2.0 880 (-12%) 10mo $85,000 $97 62
318 Little Deer 0.27mi 2/2.0 1,100 (+10%) 10mo $66,000 $60 62
213 Settles Dr 0.36mi 2/2.0 1,140 (+14%) 7mo $145,000 $127 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$43,238
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
34.3%
Equity multiple
4.17×
Total profit
$124,209
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92234

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
525
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,522 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax est. 1.5%
$175 /mo · $2,098/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$530
Net cashflow
$1,025

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,224
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
68615 Paseo Soria Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1462 $3,500 $2.39 8d 1 0.27mi
69180 Victoria Dr #8 Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,995 $1.62 3d 1 0.29mi
69155 Dinah Shore Dr Apt 20 Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1200 $2,050 $1.71 44d 1 0.33mi
69155 Dinah Shore Dr Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,795 $1.63 44d 1 0.34mi
34750 Marcia Rd Unit 02 Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1325 $2,000 $1.51 18d 1 0.35mi
34197 Calle Mora Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1171 $2,300 $1.96 22d 1 0.42mi
34197 Calle Mora Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1171 $2,300 $1.96 13d 1 0.42mi
34197 Calle Mora Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1171 $2,300 $1.96 10d 1 0.42mi
68859 Paseo Real Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1406 $3,960 $2.82 15d 1 0.43mi
68859 Paseo Real Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1406 $3,960 $2.82 44d 1 0.43mi
69200 Nilda Dr Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1330 $2,495 $1.88 22d 1 0.47mi
68153 Lakeland Dr Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1255 $2,500 $1.99 24d 1 0.50mi
35200 Cathedral Canyon Dr Unit H64 Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1375 $2,500 $1.82 44d 1 0.52mi
68368 Calle Leon Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1406 $3,790 $2.70 15d 1 0.53mi
68368 Calle Leon Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1406 $3,790 $2.70 44d 1 0.53mi
35200 Cathedral Canyon Dr Unit B10 Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1384 $2,600 $1.88 44d 1 0.53mi
33255 Date Palm Dr Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,795 $1.71 44d 1 0.56mi
35615 Paseo Circulo E Cathedral City, CA 1.0 2.0 1029 $2,250 $2.19 44d 1 0.61mi
33892 Sky Blue Water Trl Cathedral City, CA 3.0 2.0 1352 $2,800 $2.07 4d 1 0.63mi
33495 Cathedral Canyon Dr Unit B Cathedral City, CA 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 44d 1 0.64mi
33495 Cathedral Canyon Dr Cathedral City, CA 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 44d 1 0.64mi
69603 Heather Way Rancho Mirage, CA 3.0 2.0 1218 $2,300 $1.89 44d 1 0.72mi
34073 Emily Way Rancho Mirage, CA 2.0 2.0 966 $2,100 $2.17 18d 1 0.75mi
34073 Emily Way Rancho Mirage, CA 2.0 2.0 966 $2,100 $2.17 22d 1 0.75mi
69646 Antonia Way Rancho Mirage, CA 2.0 2.0 966 $2,450 $2.54 18d 1 0.76mi
34361 Denise Way Rancho Mirage, CA 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,800 $2.00 44d 1 0.77mi
34071 Denise Way Rancho Mirage, CA 3.0 2.0 1218 $2,599 $2.13 24d 1 0.79mi
33387 Shifting Sands Trl Unit 2 Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1300 $1,999 $1.54 24d 1 0.91mi
152 Estrada Way #152 Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1500 $2,200 $1.47 44d 1 0.94mi
32585 Cielo Vista Rd Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 840 $2,000 $2.38 24d 1 0.94mi
36040 Avenida de las Montanas Unit E Cathedral City, CA 2.0 2.0 1220 $3,200 $2.62 44d 1 0.98mi
33030 Shifting Sands Trl Apt 4 Cathedral City, CA 2.0 1.0 821 $1,599 $1.95 24d 1 1.00mi
32425 Rancho Vista Dr Unit A Cathedral City, CA 2.0 1.0 754 $1,950 $2.59 8d 1 1.02mi
32150 Aurora Vista Rd Cathedral City, CA 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,195 $2.00 44d 1 1.18mi
32150 Aurora Vista Rd Unit C Cathedral City, CA 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,395 $2.18 44d 1 1.18mi
32200 Cathedral Canyon Dr #31 Cathedral City, CA 1.0 1.0 740 $1,550 $2.09 24d 1 1.20mi
2010 Lawrence Crossley Rd Unit 8 Palm Springs, CA 2.0 1.5 993 $1,895 $1.91 14d 1 1.22mi
26 Pueblo Vista Dr Palm Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1487 $3,200 $2.15 44d 1 1.25mi
6071 Hazeltine Plz Palm Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1168 $3,200 $2.74 44d 1 1.27mi
36947 Melrose Dr Unit 4 Cathedral City, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,595 $2.28 3d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $139,900 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-04-29
    listed $149,900 Active 962-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,262
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$2,098
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,421
− Management
−$2,421
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$10,716
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,572
After-tax cash flow
$9,733/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA

Livability — Cathedral City

Score
66/100
State rank
#344
US rank
#11749

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B- Employment D+ Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cathedral City, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
52,267
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
52,267
Household income
$73,572
Rent vs Own
33.5% rent · 66.5% own
Severe rent burden
1682.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 59% White 30% Two or more races 27% Asian 6% Native American 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 51%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 46% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -136.57%
Current HPI
356.9845
Rent YoY
▲ 3.22%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $139,900 GPSMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $149,900 GPSMLS

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $219 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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