317 Joel St · Minden, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
An attractive investment opportunity is available! This 3 bedrooms and 2 baths home is well-suited for rental income. Although the home necessitates some TLC, it offers significant potential. The home is being sold AS IS with no repairs made by sellers. Schedule a showing today! All information is believed to be accurate but no guaranteed, to be verified by the buyer and buyer's agent.
Key facts
- 5,184 sq ft lot
- Built 1958
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Unassigned parking
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1958
- Exterior features: Lot smaller than 0.5 acre (about 0.1190 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; High speed internet available; One living area; One dining area; Total of 3 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $593 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Cap rate 26.6% vs local median 5.2% in Minden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#92 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime F.
- Webster Parish (town): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #67 of 98 in LA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Webster Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Webster County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 72.60%
- DSCR
- 4.23
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $76,864
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317 Joel St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,201 (0%) | 11mo | $35,000 | $29 | 91 |
| 410 Bailey St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,230 (+2%) | 12mo | $84,500 | $69 | 71 |
| 727 Plum | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,102 (-8%) | 13mo | $70,000 | $64 | 59 |
| 804 Wood Street Woods | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,271 (+6%) | 20mo | $62,000 | $49 | 46 |
| 704 Woods St | 0.43mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,053 (-12%) | 17mo | $125,000 | $119 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 72.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.27×
- Total profit
- $32,091
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- 76.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.81×
- Total profit
- $76,572
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71055
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,027 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $244/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $593
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $613 | -5% $603 | +0% $593 | +5% $583 | +10% $573 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $512 | -5% $552 | +0% $593 | +5% $633 | +10% $674 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $611 | -0.5pp $602 | base $593 | +0.5pp $584 | +1.0pp $575 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 360-char remark
-
2026-06-18$35,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $244 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $244 · $20/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,324
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$244
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$986
- − Management
- −$986
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $6,955
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,669
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,446/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Webster Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201890
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -38.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,011
- Composite
- 17.5/100
- National rank
- #9055
- State rank
- #67 of 98 in LA
Livability — Minden
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #9771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minden, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,406
Population outlook (Webster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,736 people
- By 2030
- 36,203 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 32,988 · -12.6%
- By 2050
- 29,743 · -21.2%
- By 2075
- 22,346 · -40.8%
- By 2100
- 15,045 · -60.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (56%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 40% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Webster
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.5) · D 31.2% · R 67.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: -26.3pp · 2024: -36.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.5 2020: R+31.1 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+25.0 2008: R+26.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.40%
- Current HPI
- 117.9577
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+40.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $35,000 NTREIS
- 2025-07-24 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2025-07-13 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-04-03 Price Changed $35,000 NTREIS
- 2025-02-04 Price Changed $45,000 NTREIS
- 2025-01-19 Listed $49,900 NTREIS
- 2023-08-11 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2023-07-05 Pending — NTREIS
- 2023-07-01 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2023-06-13 Listed $24,900 NTREIS
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $244 · +51.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…