4222 W Hope Ave · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Super cute and affordable single family ranch. Spacious living room and bedrooms. Eat-in kitchen! Beautifully updated bathroom w/ new tub surround and vanity! Other features include vinyl replacement windows, central air, spacious fully fenced yard, MAIN FLOOR LAUNDRY and more! Convenient, quiet neighborhood, across the street from a church. This MOVE-IN-READY home has been loved by the current owner for almost 25 years! You can OWN this home for less than it would cost to rent it!! Start building equity today!
Key facts
- Main floor laundry
- Eat-in kitchen
- Central air
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage; 1 additional parking space; Garage total approx. 1.5 spaces
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Single-family home; One story
- Construction: Aluminum exterior and trim; Assessor/public records indicate year built
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Sidewalks
Interior
- Kitchen: Pantry; Kitchen on main level — 11 x 11
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Main) — 14 x 12; Bedroom 2 (Main) — 12 x 11
- Bathrooms: Master bathroom with shower over tub; 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cable/satellite available; High-speed internet available; Pantry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $124 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (4.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $114k (4.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $119k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.45%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $124,323
- List price
- $119,000
- Delta
- -4.28%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3950 N 42nd St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 843 (+3%) | 2mo | $37,710 | $45 | 79 |
| 4268 N 42nd Pl | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 876 (+7%) | 8mo | $83,000 | $95 | 77 |
| 4463 N 36th St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 815 (-0%) | 1mo | $99,000 | $121 | 76 |
| 4440 N 41st St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-4%) | 7mo | $77,200 | $98 | 72 |
| 4337 N 42nd Pl | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 698 (-14%) | 2mo | $126,900 | $182 | 66 |
| 4633 N Sherman Blvd | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 741 (-9%) | 1mo | $88,500 | $119 | 58 |
| 4224 W Peck Pl | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (-9%) | 2mo | $64,820 | $87 | 57 |
| 4623 N 38th St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (-9%) | 2mo | $119,900 | $161 | 56 |
| 4478 N 48th St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 870 (+7%) | 7mo | $99,900 | $115 | 54 |
| 4715 N 42nd St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 868 (+6%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $75 | 52 |
| 4430 W Glendale Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 908 (+11%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $198 | 51 |
| 4752 N 44th St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 913 (+12%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $175 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.33% appreciation · 7.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $16,781
- Equity at exit
- $42,671
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $70,734
- Equity at exit
- $58,323
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53216
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,138 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,221/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $124
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4479A N 44th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $895 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3925 N 42nd St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,400 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3925 N 41st St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $845 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3890 N Sherman Blvd Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 12d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4572 N 38th St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3871-3873 N 36th St Unit 3871 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 987 | $950 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4702 N 44th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,850 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4661 N 38th St Unit 4661 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $845 | $0.84 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4703 N 45th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1031 | $1,695 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4651 N 36th St #4 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $945 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4727 N 46th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,700 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3630 W Nash St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3606 N 41st St Unit 3608 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $975 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4640 N 51st Blvd Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,275 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4852 N 48th St Unit 4852 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $995 | $1.20 | 2d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4355 N 28th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $975 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3340 N 44th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 12d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4227 N 26th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 17d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5137 W Keefe Ave Unit 5137 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3901 N 27th St Unit 3907 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $895 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5050 N 47th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3214 N 41st St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3179 N 39th St Milwaukee, WI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 2d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3179 N 39th St Unit 3907AUER Milwaukee, WI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5165-5167 N 45th St Unit 5165 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 17d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4610 W Eggert Pl #4612 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,095 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5032 N 32nd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,750 | $1.61 | 12d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3148 N 39th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3148 N 39th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3347 N 29th St Unit 3347A Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $845 | $0.89 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4409 W Burleigh St Apt 1 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $795 | $0.99 | 4d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2821 W Concordia Ave Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1098 | $1,595 | $1.45 | 2d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3072 N 49th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 16d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3072 N 49th St Unit 3072- 3 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3066 N 49th St Unit 3066-5 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 5237 N 34th St Unit 5237 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,350 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-19statusdays on market $119,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-01$119,000 Active 516-char remark
-
2026-04-30historical $119,000 516-char remark
-
2002-10-03soldstatus $59,900
-
1993-10-01soldstatus $15,900
-
1978-10-01soldstatus $25,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,221 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,711 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$490/yr (+$41/mo · 40.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,655
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,221
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,092
- − Management
- −$1,092
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable loss
- −$474
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$114
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,596/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,345
- Household income
- $46,752
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2202.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 81% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Philippines, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Current HPI
- 381.0954
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.01%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+366.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $119,000 METROMLS
- 2026-04-30 Coming Soon $119,000 METROMLS
- 2002-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
- 1993-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,900 Public Records
- 1978-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.7%/yrLatest (2024): $1,221 · +33.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…