417 Courtland St · Wellington, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bed 1 bath in Wellington. 1 bed and full bath on main floor. 2 beds up. Solid home needing some TLC. 90 % efficient furnace only a couple years old. Sump pump added a few years ago. Updated wiring. Currently rented and could continue to be a rental or would make a great home for someone with some work. Great home for the money.
Key facts
- Sump pump
- First floor bedroom
- 7,840 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#762 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Wellington Exempted Village (town): math 44% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #472 of 656 in OH (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Westwood Elementary School (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #991 of 1,584 statewide, top 64%, 294 students, 44% FRL); Mccormick Middle School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade C, #421 of 654 statewide, top 65%, 378 students, 34% FRL); Wellington High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #528 of 781 statewide, top 71%, 248 students, 37% FRL).
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $105k implies a 320% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.19%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $201,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 292 Grand Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (-6%) | 7mo | $258,600 | $206 | 74 |
| 123 Dickson St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,480 (+10%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $44 | 71 |
| 207 Grand Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,258 (-6%) | 4mo | $213,000 | $169 | 69 |
| 220 Woodland | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (+4%) | 1mo | $282,000 | $201 | 68 |
| 113 Grove St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (+11%) | 6mo | $179,900 | $121 | 67 |
| 120 Hale St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,285 (-4%) | 3mo | $196,000 | $153 | 61 |
| 117 Union St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,399 (+4%) | 9mo | $137,000 | $98 | 57 |
| 283 Woodland Ct | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,509 (+12%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $209 | 53 |
| 513 E Herrick Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,528 (+14%) | 6mo | $229,500 | $150 | 47 |
| 113 Elm St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,184 (-12%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $139 | 45 |
| 138 Middle St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,536 (+14%) | 1mo | $167,000 | $109 | 43 |
| 222 Union St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,154 (-14%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $121 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-5,750
- Equity at exit
- $15,641
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $9,566
- Equity at exit
- $9,070
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44090
- Home prices YoY
- -30.3%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,170 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax from tax record
- −$154 /mo · $1,854/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $176
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $235 | -5% $206 | +0% $176 | +5% $146 | +10% $117 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $84 | -5% $130 | +0% $176 | +5% $222 | +10% $269 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $229 | -0.5pp $203 | base $176 | +0.5pp $149 | +1.0pp $121 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $104,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $104,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $104,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $104,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $104,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $104,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $104,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $104,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $104,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $104,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $104,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $104,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $104,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $104,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $104,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $104,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$104,900 Active
-
2021-03-18historical
-
2020-09-18$99,900 Active
-
2015-08-28soldstatus $25,000 Sold 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
3 bed 1 bath in Wellington. 1 bed and full bath on main floor. 2 beds up. Solid home needing some TLC. 90 % efficient furnace only a couple years old. Sump pump added a few years ago. Updated wiring. Currently rented and could continue to be a rental or would make a great home for someone with some work. Great home for the money.
-
2015-07-30status Pending 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
3 bed 1 bath in Wellington. 1 bed and full bath on main floor. 2 beds up. Solid home needing some TLC. 90 % efficient furnace only a couple years old. Sump pump added a few years ago. Updated wiring. Currently rented and could continue to be a rental or would make a great home for someone with some work. Great home for the money.
-
2015-06-19price $37,500 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
3 bed 1 bath in Wellington. 1 bed and full bath on main floor. 2 beds up. Solid home needing some TLC. 90 % efficient furnace only a couple years old. Sump pump added a few years ago. Updated wiring. Currently rented and could continue to be a rental or would make a great home for someone with some work. Great home for the money.
-
2015-05-19$39,900 Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
3 bed 1 bath in Wellington. 1 bed and full bath on main floor. 2 beds up. Solid home needing some TLC. 90 % efficient furnace only a couple years old. Sump pump added a few years ago. Updated wiring. Currently rented and could continue to be a rental or would make a great home for someone with some work. Great home for the money.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,854 · $154/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,854 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,042
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$1,854
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,123
- − Management
- −$1,123
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable income
- $489
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$117
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,996/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wellington Exempted Village
- NCES district ID
- 3904565
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,093
- Composite
- 40.67/100
- National rank
- #3677
- State rank
- #472 of 656 in OH
Livability — Wellington
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #762
- US rank
- #13751
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wellington, OH
- County
- Lorain · 305,041 people
- City population
- 10,341
- Metro
- Cleveland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,341
- Household income
- $78,318
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3.9
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.14%
- Current HPI
- 207.6399
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+162.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $104,900 MLSNOW
- 2021-03-18 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2020-09-18 Listed $99,900 MLSNOW
- 2015-08-28 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MLSNOW
- 2015-07-30 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2015-06-19 Price Changed $37,500 MLSNOW
- 2015-05-19 Listed $39,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,854 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…