41309 W Crane Dr · Maricopa, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- Cash flow +7.1/30.0
- Appreciation +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
$309,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
UP TO $17,500 IN GRANT FUNDS AVAILABLE -- Buyers with household incomes below $86,000 who get under contract by the end of March may qualify for assistance toward down payment and closing costs, subject to program guidelines. . . Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with a flexible bonus room, tucked inside Homestead's private gated community. The home features granite countertops, mature trees that add charm and shade, and a low-maintenance landscaped backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining. . Enjoy the rare convenience of being within walking distance to private parks, churches, preschools, and Sequoia Pathway Academy (K-12). A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfort, privacy, and everyday convenience in a desirable neighborhood.
Key facts
- Granite countertops
- 6,039 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $309k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-436 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $232k (24.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (33.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $205k (33.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.7% in Maricopa — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#28 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Maricopa Unified School District (4441) (town): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #128 of 249 in AZ (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 845 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.05%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 12.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $351,079
- List price
- $309,000
- Delta
- -11.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20104 N Jill Ave | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 | 1,677 (+5%) | 3mo | $297,000 | $177 | 82 |
| 20176 N Jill Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,544 (-3%) | 1mo | $304,900 | $197 | 78 |
| 40551 W Jenna Ln | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,627 (+2%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $184 | 68 |
| 19081 N Jameson Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,673 (+5%) | 2mo | $345,000 | $206 | 63 |
| 19420 N Portarosa Dr | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 1,734 (+8%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $182 | 62 |
| 20765 N Herbert Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,454 (-9%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $206 | 58 |
| 41370 W Somerset Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,804 (+13%) | 1mo | $365,000 | $202 | 52 |
| 42038 W Cheyenne Dr | 0.50mi | 4/3.0 | 1,816 (+14%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $179 | 49 |
| 19587 N Krupps Ct | 0.53mi | 4/3.0 | 1,815 (+14%) | 0mo | $340,000 | $187 | 49 |
| 41737 W Somerset Dr | 0.49mi | 4/3.0 | 1,835 (+15%) | 0mo | $319,000 | $174 | 48 |
| 42176 W Corvalis Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,414 (-12%) | 1mo | $287,000 | $203 | 46 |
| 42343 W Somerset Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,441 (-10%) | 2mo | $279,000 | $194 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.89% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-51,961
- Equity at exit
- $76,258
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-64,219
- Equity at exit
- $81,507
Cash invested: $86,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85138
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 845
- Price-to-rent
- 12.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,047 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,620
- Tax from tax record
- −$196 /mo · $2,352/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$108
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $-436
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,250
- Closing costs
- $9,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41363 W Williams Way Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1599 | $1,739 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 41094 W Somers Dr Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,850 | $1.15 | 1d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 41057 W Ganley Way Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1908 | $1,965 | $1.03 | 5d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 19488 N Falcon Ln Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1836 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 11d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 19550 N Gunsmoke Rd Maricopa, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,604 | $1.52 | 24d | 10 | 0.37mi |
| 40481 W Jenna Ln Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1819 | $1,820 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 20392 N Mac Neil St Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $1,681 | $1.08 | 5d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 40907 W Robbins Dr Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1891 | $1,749 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 40174 W Brandt Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2115 | $1,849 | $0.87 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 19165 N Ventana Ln Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,650 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 39941 W Williams Way Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,600 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 41177 W Lucera Ln Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $1,875 | $1.02 | 5d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 21110 N Blue Agave Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $1,895 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 41342 W Capistrano Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2201 | $1,800 | $0.82 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 41570 W Dusty Creek Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,750 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 41334 W Hayden Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2150 | $1,689 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 40404 W Molly Ln Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1803 | $1,695 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 40250 W Green Ct Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1682 | $2,395 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 39695 W Lococo St Maricopa, AZ | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,781 | $1.57 | 1d | 29 | 1.08mi |
| 21552 N Liles Ln Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 42495 W Monteverde Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $2,500 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 39696 W Lococo St Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $1,604 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 40086 W Bonneau St Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1878 | $1,699 | $0.90 | 5d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 40086 W Bonneau St Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1878 | $1,729 | $0.92 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 40010 W Thornberry Ln Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2157 | $1,795 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 40584 W Helen Ct Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1940 | $2,300 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 39974 W Thornberry Ln Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $1,900 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 41192 W Rio Bravo Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1774 | $1,789 | $1.01 | 19d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 18184 N Calacera St Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1603 | $1,795 | $1.12 | 16d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 21657 N Dietz Dr Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2151 | $1,899 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 21742 N Bradford Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1651 | $1,775 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 21742 N Bradford Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1651 | $1,850 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 41284 W Cahill Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $1,750 | $1.29 | 10d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 43223 W Neely Dr Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2223 | $2,900 | $1.30 | 16d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 21619 N Van Loo Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1938 | $3,500 | $1.81 | 2d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 43269 W Arizona Ave Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1533 | $1,695 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 43205 W Roth Rd Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2215 | $2,200 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 43205 W Roth Rd Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2216 | $2,100 | $0.95 | 10d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 41298 W Parkhill Dr Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2037 | $2,000 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 43368 W Palmen Dr Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $1,889 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $108 · $1,296/yr
- Likely covers
- security
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $309,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $309,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $309,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $309,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $309,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $309,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $309,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $309,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $309,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $309,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $309,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $309,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $309,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $309,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-04-25status Active 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
UP TO $17,500 IN GRANT FUNDS AVAILABLE -- Buyers with household incomes below $86,000 who get under contract by the end of March may qualify for assistance toward down payment and closing costs, subject to program guidelines. . . Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with a flexible bonus room, tucked inside Homestead's private gated community. The home features granite countertops, mature trees that add charm and shade, and a low-maintenance landscaped backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining. . Enjoy the rare convenience of being within walking distance to private parks, churches, preschools, and Sequoia Pathway Academy (K-12). A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfort, privacy, and everyday convenience in a desirable neighborhood.
-
2026-04-08status Pending 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
UP TO $17,500 IN GRANT FUNDS AVAILABLE -- Buyers with household incomes below $86,000 who get under contract by the end of March may qualify for assistance toward down payment and closing costs, subject to program guidelines. . . Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with a flexible bonus room, tucked inside Homestead's private gated community. The home features granite countertops, mature trees that add charm and shade, and a low-maintenance landscaped backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining. . Enjoy the rare convenience of being within walking distance to private parks, churches, preschools, and Sequoia Pathway Academy (K-12). A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfort, privacy, and everyday convenience in a desirable neighborhood.
-
2026-04-04price $309,000 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
UP TO $17,500 IN GRANT FUNDS AVAILABLE -- Buyers with household incomes below $86,000 who get under contract by the end of March may qualify for assistance toward down payment and closing costs, subject to program guidelines. . . Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with a flexible bonus room, tucked inside Homestead's private gated community. The home features granite countertops, mature trees that add charm and shade, and a low-maintenance landscaped backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining. . Enjoy the rare convenience of being within walking distance to private parks, churches, preschools, and Sequoia Pathway Academy (K-12). A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfort, privacy, and everyday convenience in a desirable neighborhood.
-
2026-03-11$320,000 Active 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
UP TO $17,500 IN GRANT FUNDS AVAILABLE -- Buyers with household incomes below $86,000 who get under contract by the end of March may qualify for assistance toward down payment and closing costs, subject to program guidelines. . . Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with a flexible bonus room, tucked inside Homestead's private gated community. The home features granite countertops, mature trees that add charm and shade, and a low-maintenance landscaped backyard ideal for relaxing or entertaining. . Enjoy the rare convenience of being within walking distance to private parks, churches, preschools, and Sequoia Pathway Academy (K-12). A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfort, privacy, and everyday convenience in a desirable neighborhood.
-
2026-01-25historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
-
2026-01-15price $309,000
-
2025-12-24historical $1,600
-
2025-12-23$325,000 Active
-
2025-12-22$1,600
-
2025-12-12historical $1,600
-
2025-11-01price $1,600
-
2025-10-12price $1,650
-
2025-09-17$1,700
-
2025-09-12historical
-
2025-08-14$325,000 Active
-
2025-08-14price $345,000
-
2025-08-14historical
-
2025-03-29price $320,000
-
2025-03-26price $344,500
-
2025-03-14$345,000 Active
-
2024-02-16historical
-
2024-01-05price $335,000
-
2023-12-27price $325,000
-
2023-11-15$345,000 Active
-
2021-05-24soldstatus $325,000 Closed
-
2021-05-24soldstatus $325,000
-
2021-04-30status Pending
-
2021-04-26$319,900 Active
-
2017-01-31soldstatus $10,576
-
2008-10-10soldstatus $9,825,000
-
2004-11-04soldstatus $33,080,895
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,352 · $196/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,352 · $196/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,567
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,309
- − Property taxes
- −$2,352
- − Insurance
- −$1,545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,965
- − Management
- −$1,965
- − HOA
- −$1,296
- − Depreciation
- −$8,989
- Taxable loss
- −$10,855
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,605
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,625/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Maricopa Unified School District (4441)
- NCES district ID
- 0404720
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,725
- Composite
- 22.92/100
- National rank
- #7993
- State rank
- #128 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Maricopa
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #5943
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Maricopa, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 399,947 people
- City population
- 76,044
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,260
- Household income
- $95,867
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 432.0
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 17% Black 13% Native American 3% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.89%
- Current HPI
- 258.1461
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.78%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
-99.1% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2026-04-08 Pending — ARMLS
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $309,000 ARMLS
- 2026-03-11 Listed $320,000 ARMLS
- 2026-01-25 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $309,000 ARMLS
- 2025-12-24 Rental Removed $1,600 RENTLY
- 2025-12-23 Listed $325,000 ARMLS
- 2025-12-22 Listed for Rent $1,600 RENTLY
- 2025-12-12 Rental Removed $1,600 RENTLY
- 2025-11-01 Price Changed $1,600 RENTLY
- 2025-10-12 Price Changed $1,650 RENTLY
- 2025-09-17 Listed for Rent $1,700 RENTLY
- 2025-09-12 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-08-14 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-08-14 Price Changed $345,000 ARMLS
- 2025-08-14 Listed $325,000 ARMLS
- 2025-03-29 Price Changed $320,000 ARMLS
- 2025-03-26 Price Changed $344,500 ARMLS
- 2025-03-14 Listed $345,000 ARMLS
- 2024-02-16 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2024-01-05 Price Changed $335,000 ARMLS
- 2023-12-27 Price Changed $325,000 ARMLS
- 2023-11-15 Listed $345,000 ARMLS
- 2021-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $325,000 Public Records
- 2021-05-24 Sold (MLS) $325,000 ARMLS
- 2021-04-30 Pending — ARMLS
- 2021-04-26 Listed $319,900 ARMLS
- 2017-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $10,576 Public Records
- 2008-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $9,825,000 Public Records
- 2004-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $33,080,895 Public Records
Property tax history
+47.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,352 · +24.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…