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1105 W Gonzales St 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 43.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$180,000

1105 W Gonzales St · Pensacola, FL 32501
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,294 sqft · SingleFamily · 115 Days on market
Built 2025 Excellent condition 5,736 sqft lot ↓ 39% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * PAY ATTENTION TO THIS * * this home will cost you only $180k because of downpayment and subsidies through Habitat for Humanity! This 4-bedroom, 2-bath beauty has it all: all-wood-look flooring, HardieBoard exterior, a washer/dryer, and even a shed for all your extra stuff. Big bonus: This home is part of an Affordable Housing Program with a huge down payment subsidy, likely over $100K for the right buyer, making the mortgage incredibly affordable! That’s right… move in with WAY less out of pocket. Perfect for anyone ready to snag a home near downtown without the crazy price tag. But act fast- program requirements apply, and opportunities like this don’t stick aroun

Key facts

  • Hardieboard exterior
  • Shed
  • Washer dryer

Tags

ALL WOOD LOOK FLOORINGHARDIEBOARD EXTERIORWASHER DRYERSHEDNEAR DOWNTOWN

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with open parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Copper electrical wiring; Publicly maintained road
  • Home design: One-story residence; New construction; Not attached to another property; Insulated walls
  • Construction: Concrete construction; Slab foundation; Built as new construction
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Central access lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor (each approximately 12' x 12')
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Vinyl flooring; Eat-in kitchen / living-dining combo

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $180,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $249,742.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-583/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.6% in Pensacola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#53 in FL, #924 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,123/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 816% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $163,800 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.83%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$249,742
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1105 W Gonzales St 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,294 (0%) 1mo $180,000 $139 100
919 & 917 W Lloyd St 0.18mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,214 (-6%) 3mo $399,000 $329 70
921 W Lloyd St 0.16mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,214 (-6%) 5mo $395,000 $325 69
812 N D St 0.22mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,160 (-10%) 3mo $75,000 $65 61
1120 N L St 0.38mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,212 (-6%) 6mo $75,000 $62 58
1018 W Gregory St 0.61mi 4/1.0 1,222 (-6%) 2mo $255,000 $209 56
2116 W De Soto St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (+4%) 7mo $260,000 $193 54
621 W Hernandez St 0.70mi 4/1.0 1,200 (-7%) 2mo $90,000 $75 49
302 N F St 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,104 (-15%) 1mo $288,000 $261 46
1100 Hayden Ct 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,113 (-14%) 3mo $245,000 $220 45
620 W Hernandez 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,180 (-9%) 3mo $150,000 $127 40
2002 W Gonzalez St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,112 (-14%) 6mo $145,000 $130 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.4% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.0%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-38,284
Equity at exit
$37,237
10-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-14,567
Equity at exit
$21,593

Cash invested: $69,928 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32501

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,123 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,310
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,746/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$446
Net cashflow
$-49

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,185
Max offer price $242,706
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $124 -5% $38 +0% $-49 +5% $-135 +10% $-221
Rent -10% $-216 -5% $-132 +0% $-49 +5% $35 +10% $119
Rate -1.0pp $77 -0.5pp $15 base $-49 +0.5pp $-113 +1.0pp $-179

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,436
Closing costs
$7,492
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
814 N E St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,695 $1.18 24d 1 0.17mi
1215 N C St Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1203 $1,775 $1.48 15d 1 0.22mi
615 N A St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1122 $1,900 $1.69 15d 1 0.43mi
411 N D St Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.0 1511 $2,175 $1.44 24d 1 0.45mi
418 N C St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1017 $2,775 $2.73 15d 1 0.47mi
410 N C St Unit 1367374P Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1291 $3,313 $2.57 15d 1 0.48mi
1804 W Belmont St Unit A Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 925 $995 $1.08 22d 1 0.62mi
239 N K St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1392 $1,950 $1.40 24d 1 0.67mi
721 W Jordan St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1030 $1,895 $1.84 24d 1 0.74mi
407 W Jordan St Unit NA Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,200 $1.69 24d 1 0.77mi
504 N Spring St Unit B Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.5 1485 $1,995 $1.34 24d 1 0.77mi
309 N Pace Blvd Unit B Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1342 $1,650 $1.23 24d 1 0.79mi
315 N Pace Blvd Unit A Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1342 $1,850 $1.38 24d 1 0.81mi
315 N Pace Blvd Unit b Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1342 $1,650 $1.23 24d 1 0.81mi
106 S G St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,200 $1.69 24d 1 0.87mi
2802 W Gonzalez St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1824 $1,600 $0.88 24d 1 1.09mi
2108 W Bobe St Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.0 1752 $2,100 $1.20 24d 1 1.11mi
511 E La Rua St Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0 1128 $1,475 $1.31 15d 1 1.30mi
101 E Romana St Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 987 $2,588 $2.62 15d 20 1.32mi
801 E Gonzalez St Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,200 $1.83 15d 1 1.35mi
2008 N 8th Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1058 $1,250 $1.18 15d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $180,000 Pending 115 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $180,000 Contingent 115 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,000 Contingent 114 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,000 Contingent 113 DOM
  5. 2026-04-29
    historical Contingent
  6. 2026-03-24
    price $180,000
  7. 2026-02-06
    listed $293,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,478
− Mortgage interest
−$13,989
− Property taxes
−$3,746
− Insurance
−$1,249
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,038
− Management
−$2,038
− Depreciation
−$7,265
Taxable loss
−$4,848
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,164
After-tax cash flow
$580/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It's move-in ready and has the potential for further value increases through minor exterior updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Adding a small front porch — Enhances curb appeal and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Adding a small front porch — Enhances curb appeal and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pensacola

Score
83/100
State rank
#53
US rank
#924

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pensacola, FL
County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
City population
237,636
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
11,036
Household income
$44,139
Rent vs Own
49.0% rent · 51.0% own
Severe rent burden
816.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 42% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Subsaharan African 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -210.53%
Current HPI
273.0151
Rent YoY
▲ 5.40%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-38.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Contingent PARMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $180,000 PARMLS
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $293,000 PARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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