🏷️ Likely Rental
2177 N North Jackson Hwy · Glasgow, KY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.39 acre lot
- Built 1989
- Listed 5 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.39 acre
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Residential property; Auction property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Smoke detector(s)
Interior
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 main-level bathrooms; Accessible full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $860 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1k).
- Cap rate 1118.6% vs local median 3.4% in Glasgow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#92 in KY, #3,738 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Barren County (rural): math 31% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #52 of 165 in KY (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: North Jackson Elementary (math 41% / reading 46%, grade F, #162 of 676 statewide, top 24%, 542 students, 47% FRL); Barren County Middle School (math 25% / reading 42%, grade F, #105 of 217 statewide, top 51%, 652 students, 53% FRL); Barren County High School (math 27% / reading 41%, grade F, #89 of 254 statewide, top 36%, 1,389 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 298 active listings in the ZIP; 283 units permitted in Barren County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Barren County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $280 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 118.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1118.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3972.41%
- DSCR
- 177.75
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $232,400
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 412 Shetland Hills Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (+1%) | 2mo | $263,500 | $187 | 69 |
| 102 Meadow Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,445 (+3%) | 2mo | $227,000 | $157 | 66 |
| 106 Hudson Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 | 1,540 (+10%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $162 | 48 |
| 102 Hudson Ln | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 | 1,540 (+10%) | 9mo | $240,000 | $156 | 46 |
| 220 Homewood Blvd | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-12%) | 0mo | $213,000 | $173 | 45 |
| 120 Pebble Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,530 (+9%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $170 | 43 |
| 540 Lexington Dr | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,566 (+12%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $153 | 41 |
| 100 Hudson Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,553 (+11%) | 15mo | $258,000 | $166 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 196.35×
- Total profit
- $54,698
- Equity at exit
- $149
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 423.98×
- Total profit
- $118,434
- Equity at exit
- $86
Cash invested: $280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42141
- Home prices YoY
- -20.6%
- Active inventory
- 298
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,182 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5
- Tax from tax record
- −$1 /mo · $13/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $860
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $861 | -5% $861 | +0% $860 | +5% $860 | +10% $860 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $767 | -5% $814 | +0% $860 | +5% $907 | +10% $954 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $861 | -0.5pp $861 | base $860 | +0.5pp $860 | +1.0pp $860 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $250
- Closing costs
- $30
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $1,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16$1,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $13 · $1/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $13 · $1/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,182
- − Mortgage interest
- −$56
- − Property taxes
- −$13
- − Insurance
- −$802
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,135
- − Management
- −$1,135
- − Depreciation
- −$29
- Taxable income
- $11,012
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,643
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,682/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Barren County
- NCES district ID
- 2100300
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,000
- Composite
- 31.08/100
- National rank
- #6077
- State rank
- #52 of 165 in KY
Livability — Glasgow
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #3738
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glasgow, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,133
Population outlook (Barren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,858 people
- By 2030
- 48,311 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 50,931 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 52,820 · +12.7%
- By 2075
- 56,499 · +20.6%
- By 2100
- 55,831 · +19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Barren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.8) · D 23.1% · R 75.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.9pp · 2024: -52.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.8 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+49.9 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.48%
- Current HPI
- 278.8778
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
-97.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $1,000 SCKMLSKY
- 2000-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-20.5%/yrLatest (2025): $13 · -97.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…