1228 Main St · Reliance, WY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $564 – $1,046
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.0/5.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- New duct work
- New copper piping
- Built 1910
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $408 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 39/100 on livability (#177 in WY) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Sweetwater County School District #1 (town): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #31 of 41 in WY (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Sweetwater County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
- Sweetwater County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.56%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $46,350
- Equity at exit
- $60,288
- IRR
- 23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.62×
- Total profit
- $121,534
- Equity at exit
- $98,166
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Wyoming
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 82943
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,479 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $982/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $408
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $476 | -5% $442 | +0% $408 | +5% $374 | +10% $340 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $291 | -5% $349 | +0% $408 | +5% $466 | +10% $525 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $468 | -0.5pp $438 | base $408 | +0.5pp $377 | +1.0pp $345 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $120,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $120,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $160,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $160,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $160,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$160,000 Active
-
2025-12-04soldstatus
-
2025-12-04soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $982 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $982 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,753
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$982
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,420
- − Management
- −$1,420
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $3,118
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$748
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,143/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sweetwater County School District #1
- NCES district ID
- 5605302
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,679
- Composite
- 41.66/100
- National rank
- #3422
- State rank
- #31 of 41 in WY
Livability — Reliance
- Score
- 39/100
- State rank
- #177
- US rank
- #27347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Reliance, WY
- Population (ZIP)
- 96
Population outlook (Sweetwater County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,212 people
- By 2030
- 49,664 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 51,984 · +7.8%
- By 2050
- 54,005 · +12.0%
- By 2075
- 57,684 · +19.6%
- By 2100
- 57,857 · +20.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 17%
Political lean MEDSL · Sweetwater
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.2) · D 22.5% · R 75.7% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.7pp toward R · 2008: -27.5pp · 2024: -53.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.2 2020: R+50.6 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+27.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.92%
- Current HPI
- 132.3747
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $160,000 FSBO.com
- 2025-12-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-12-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $982 · -24.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…