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15 Sunset St Duplex
B+ Composite 79.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

15 Sunset St · Buffalo, NY 14207
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,760 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1924 2,822 sqft lot Est $201k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great Investment Opportunity ! 3/3 double. Full attic and basement. Most vinyl windows, glass block windows in basement, upper hot water tank 2017, lower furnace new 10/2017. Upper furnace being replaced. Good rental property.

Key facts

  • 2,822 sq ft lot
  • Built 1924
  • Listed 27 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Owner pays grounds care, snow removal, trash collection and water; Operating expenses may include maintenance structure, professional management, trash and water/sewer (multifamily)

Exterior

  • Parking: No driveway; on-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical service
  • Home design: 2-story property; Resale condition
  • Construction: Composite siding; Copper and PEX plumbing; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built (existing structure)
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Open porch; Fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Multifamily property with 2 total units
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (total)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $625/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,708/mo this rent would consume 82% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 2177% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $94k; list at $150k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $147,651 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.81%
Cap rate
16.30%
Cash-on-cash
35.74%
DSCR
2.59
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$200,640
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
92 Greeley St 0.17mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,766 (+0%) 6mo $220,000 $125 82
30 Sunset St 0.04mi 6/2.0 1,840 (+4%) 17mo $230,000 $125 77
64 Gladstone St 0.47mi 6/2.0 1,720 (-2%) 6mo $118,000 $69 69
51 Pavonia St 0.23mi 6/2.0 1,918 (+9%) 15mo $255,000 $133 62
28 Blum Ave 0.67mi 6/2.0 1,680 (-4%) 1mo $210,000 $125 60
95 Bush St 0.52mi 6/2.0 1,832 (+4%) 12mo $200,000 $109 59
19 Lansing St 0.61mi 6/2.0 1,826 (+4%) 19mo $110,000 $60 49
118 Peter St 0.57mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,872 (+6%) 14mo $213,000 $114 46
38 Reservation St 0.50mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,955 (+11%) 12mo $330,000 $169 43
80 Bush St 0.56mi 7/2.0 (+1) 1,938 (+10%) 23mo $190,000 $98 33
347 Riverside Ave 0.73mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,016 (+14%) 22mo $97,500 $48 18

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.6%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$69,593
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
45.6%
Equity multiple
6.43×
Total profit
$228,062
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14207

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,708 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $488/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$569
Net cashflow
$1,250

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,126
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,335 -5% $1,293 +0% $1,250 +5% $1,208 +10% $1,165
Rent -10% $1,036 -5% $1,143 +0% $1,250 +5% $1,357 +10% $1,464
Rate -1.0pp $1,326 -0.5pp $1,288 base $1,250 +0.5pp $1,211 +1.0pp $1,172

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,708

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 22 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $149,900 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-22
    listed $149,900 Active
  16. 2018-01-18
    soldstatus $93,500 Closed Sale or Rented 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity ! 3/3 double. Full attic and basement. Most vinyl windows, glass block windows in basement, upper hot water tank 2017, lower furnace new 10/2017. Upper furnace being replaced. Good rental property.

  17. 2018-01-18
    soldstatus $93,500
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity ! 3/3 double. Full attic and basement. Most vinyl windows, glass block windows in basement, upper hot water tank 2017, lower furnace new 10/2017. Upper furnace being replaced. Good rental property.

  18. 2017-10-25
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity ! 3/3 double. Full attic and basement. Most vinyl windows, glass block windows in basement, upper hot water tank 2017, lower furnace new 10/2017. Upper furnace being replaced. Good rental property.

  19. 2017-09-07
    listed $96,900 Active 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity ! 3/3 double. Full attic and basement. Most vinyl windows, glass block windows in basement, upper hot water tank 2017, lower furnace new 10/2017. Upper furnace being replaced. Good rental property.

  20. 2016-05-25
    soldstatus $70,000 Closed Sale or Rented 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Awesome double near extremely desirable Hertle (North Buffalo) area. Both units boast 3 bedrooms, larger eat in kitchen and lots of closet space. Roof 05', new windows 05', glass block basement windows, fenced in yard. Great for investor or use extra income to offset your mortgage!

  21. 2016-05-25
    soldstatus $70,000
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Awesome double near extremely desirable Hertle (North Buffalo) area. Both units boast 3 bedrooms, larger eat in kitchen and lots of closet space. Roof 05', new windows 05', glass block basement windows, fenced in yard. Great for investor or use extra income to offset your mortgage!

  22. 2016-04-20
    status Pending Sale 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Awesome double near extremely desirable Hertle (North Buffalo) area. Both units boast 3 bedrooms, larger eat in kitchen and lots of closet space. Roof 05', new windows 05', glass block basement windows, fenced in yard. Great for investor or use extra income to offset your mortgage!

  23. 2016-04-10
    historical Under Contract- Do Not Show 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Awesome double near extremely desirable Hertle (North Buffalo) area. Both units boast 3 bedrooms, larger eat in kitchen and lots of closet space. Roof 05', new windows 05', glass block basement windows, fenced in yard. Great for investor or use extra income to offset your mortgage!

  24. 2016-04-04
    listed $60,000 Active 282-char remark
    Show marketing remark (282 chars)

    Awesome double near extremely desirable Hertle (North Buffalo) area. Both units boast 3 bedrooms, larger eat in kitchen and lots of closet space. Roof 05', new windows 05', glass block basement windows, fenced in yard. Great for investor or use extra income to offset your mortgage!

  25. 2007-04-20
    soldstatus $50,000
  26. 1993-01-13
    soldstatus $66,700

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$488 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,510 · $126/mo
Expected delta
+$1,023/yr (+$85/mo · 209.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,496
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$488
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,600
− Management
−$2,600
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$13,302
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,192
After-tax cash flow
$11,809/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
26,327
Household income
$39,753
Rent vs Own
65.0% rent · 35.0% own
Severe rent burden
2177.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Philippines, Canada, India
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.42%
Current HPI
233.0902
Rent YoY
▲ 8.19%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+124.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $149,900 WNYREIS
  • 2018-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $93,500 Public Records
  • 2018-01-18 Sold (MLS) $93,500 WNYREIS
  • 2017-10-25 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2017-09-07 Listed $96,900 WNYREIS
  • 2016-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2016-05-25 Sold (MLS) $70,000 WNYREIS
  • 2016-04-20 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2016-04-10 Contingent WNYREIS
  • 2016-04-04 Listed $60,000 WNYREIS
  • 2007-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 1993-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $66,700 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $488 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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