46 Salliotte Rd · Ecorse, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.3/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This beautiful home is located in an upcoming city of Ecorse. That provides plenty of space that can be used for a single property and or an apartment. This house includes 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms total. 2 bedrooms down and one upstairs. Unfinished basement with a huge nice yard. Minor work needed, upstairs is finished just needs a few touch ups. Asking 120,00 or best offer may consider land contract. Great first home and or investment property. As you can convert into 2 upper and lower and or leave it how it is.
Key facts
- Unfinished basement
- Investment property
- Huge nice yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#348 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
- Ecorse Public Schools (suburban): math 3% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #536 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.61%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $123,970
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4067 High St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,214 (-4%) | 5mo | $119,000 | $98 | 85 |
| 20 W Broadway St | 0.16mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,260 (-0%) | 2mo | $49,000 | $39 | 81 |
| 4234 High St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+2%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $104 | 67 |
| 35 Bell St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-7%) | 6mo | $27,000 | $23 | 67 |
| 70 E Rockwood St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+2%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $66 | 60 |
| 57 E Glenwood St | 0.60mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,214 (-4%) | 4mo | $79,900 | $66 | 56 |
| 4138 11th St | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,140 (-10%) | 4mo | $127,000 | $111 | 55 |
| 4133 16th St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,174 (-7%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $111 | 50 |
| 4332 5th St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (+13%) | 2mo | $124,900 | $87 | 48 |
| 3866 16th St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,170 (-8%) | 9mo | $42,000 | $36 | 45 |
| 4345 10th St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,118 (-12%) | 3mo | $116,000 | $104 | 44 |
| 41 Le Blanc St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,133 (-10%) | 2mo | $112,500 | $99 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.45×
- Total profit
- $82,465
- Equity at exit
- $108,106
- IRR
- 27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.82×
- Total profit
- $229,311
- Equity at exit
- $233,134
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48229
- Home prices YoY
- 33.9%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,292 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $865/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $269
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4282 7th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4015 16th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1170 | $1,300 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3801 18th St Ecorse, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,150 | $0.96 | 17d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3575 S Ethel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,350 | $1.51 | 17d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4573 3rd St Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1473 Empire Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,700 | $1.27 | 2d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1581 Empire Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 97 Batavia St Unit 1 River Rouge, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $825 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-19$120,000 Active
-
2007-04-15historical
-
2007-03-15$79,500
-
2007-03-13historical
-
2007-03-13historical
-
2006-09-14$79,500
-
2006-09-14$79,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $865 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,357 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$491/yr (+$41/mo · 56.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,501
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$865
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,240
- − Management
- −$1,240
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $1,343
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$322
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,907/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ecorse Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2612930
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 7% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,957
- Composite
- 3.46/100
- National rank
- #10075
- State rank
- #536 of 540 in MI
Livability — Ecorse
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #348
- US rank
- #8880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ecorse, MI
- City population
- 9,166
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,166
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 15% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Guatemala, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 102.51%
- Current HPI
- 404.5927
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+50.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $120,000 FSBO.com
- 2007-04-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-03-15 Listed $79,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-03-13 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-03-13 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-09-14 Listed $79,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-09-14 Listed $79,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $865 · -48.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…