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2957 Mackin Rd
B- Composite 67.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,000

2957 Mackin Rd · Flint, MI 48504
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 504 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1937 3,920 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 bedroom, 1 bath home in Flint. Potential investor opportunity. Buyers agent to verify all information.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1937
  • Listed 34 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the CIVIC MANOR 1 subdivision; Near N Ballenger Hwy and Flushing Rd
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Lot roughly 39 x 103 (0.09 acre)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $424 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($868 rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.8% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Holmes Stem Middle School Academy (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #420 of 493 statewide, top 86%, 324 students, 90% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $35k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $33,950 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.48%
Cap rate
20.83%
Cash-on-cash
51.90%
DSCR
3.31
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.9%
Equity multiple
3.18×
Total profit
$21,352
Equity at exit
$5,219
10-year hold
IRR
55.3%
Equity multiple
6.46×
Total profit
$53,459
Equity at exit
$3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48504

Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$868 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $763/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$182
Net cashflow
$424

Break-even live

Break-even rent $331
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $444 -5% $434 +0% $424 +5% $414 +10% $404
Rent -10% $355 -5% $390 +0% $424 +5% $458 +10% $492
Rate -1.0pp $442 -0.5pp $433 base $424 +0.5pp $415 +1.0pp $406

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3506 Brownell Blvd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $825 $1.38 15d 1 1.20mi
343 Sheffield Apt. C Ave heuristic Flint, MI 1.0 1.0 564 $900 $1.60 27d 1 1.29mi
352 Bradley Ave Unit 343 Sheffield Ave-Apt C Flint, MI 1.0 1.0 564 $900 $1.60 23d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $35,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,000 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,000 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,000 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,000 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $35,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,000 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $35,000 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,000 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $35,000 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $35,000 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,000 Active 15 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,000 Active 14 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,000 Active 13 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $35,000 Active 12 DOM
  18. 2026-05-18
    listed $35,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (104 chars)

    2 bedroom, 1 bath home in Flint. Potential investor opportunity. Buyers agent to verify all information.

  19. 2026-05-18
    listed $35,000 Active 104-char remark
    Show marketing remark (104 chars)

    2 bedroom, 1 bath home in Flint. Potential investor opportunity. Buyers agent to verify all information.

  20. 2024-04-10
    historical $700
  21. 2023-12-31
    listed $700
  22. 2022-02-16
    soldstatus $19,000 Sold 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Nice 2 bed 1 bath move in ready home! Great for First time Homebuyer or Investor! Very well maintained home with Hardwood Flooring, Newer Roof and Appliances to stay. Come see what this home has to offer. Agent to verify all information and be present for all showings. Thanks for showing!

  23. 2022-02-16
    soldstatus $19,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Nice 2 bed 1 bath move in ready home! Great for First time Homebuyer or Investor! Very well maintained home with Hardwood Flooring, Newer Roof and Appliances to stay. Come see what this home has to offer. Agent to verify all information and be present for all showings. Thanks for showing!

  24. 2022-02-02
    status Pending 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Nice 2 bed 1 bath move in ready home! Great for First time Homebuyer or Investor! Very well maintained home with Hardwood Flooring, Newer Roof and Appliances to stay. Come see what this home has to offer. Agent to verify all information and be present for all showings. Thanks for showing!

  25. 2022-02-02
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Nice 2 bed 1 bath move in ready home! Great for First time Homebuyer or Investor! Very well maintained home with Hardwood Flooring, Newer Roof and Appliances to stay. Come see what this home has to offer. Agent to verify all information and be present for all showings. Thanks for showing!

  26. 2022-01-31
    listed $19,000 Active 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Nice 2 bed 1 bath move in ready home! Great for First time Homebuyer or Investor! Very well maintained home with Hardwood Flooring, Newer Roof and Appliances to stay. Come see what this home has to offer. Agent to verify all information and be present for all showings. Thanks for showing!

  27. 2022-01-31
    listed $19,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Nice 2 bed 1 bath move in ready home! Great for First time Homebuyer or Investor! Very well maintained home with Hardwood Flooring, Newer Roof and Appliances to stay. Come see what this home has to offer. Agent to verify all information and be present for all showings. Thanks for showing!

  28. 2022-01-05
    historical
  29. 2022-01-05
    historical
  30. 2021-12-27
    listed $23,000 Active
  31. 2021-12-27
    listed $23,000 Active
  32. 2003-12-30
    soldstatus $13,000
  33. 2003-11-26
    soldstatus $13,000
  34. 2003-11-26
    soldstatus $13,000
  35. 2003-11-21
    historical
  36. 2003-09-19
    listed $14,000
  37. 2003-09-19
    listed $14,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$763 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$763 · $64/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,415
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$763
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$833
− Management
−$833
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$4,831
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,159
After-tax cash flow
$3,927/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
City population
93,814
Population (ZIP)
23,873

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.67%
Current HPI
94.3111
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.0% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $700 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-12-31 Listed for Rent $700 APPFOLIO
  • 2022-02-16 Sold (MLS) $19,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-02-16 Sold (MLS) $19,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-02-02 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-02-02 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-01-31 Listed $19,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-01-31 Listed $19,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-01-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-01-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-27 Listed $23,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-27 Listed $23,000 REALCOMP
  • 2003-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
  • 2003-11-26 Sold (MLS) $13,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-11-26 Sold (MLS) $13,000 REALCOMP
  • 2003-11-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-09-19 Listed $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-09-19 Listed $14,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $763 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…