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4247 W 19th Pl
B Composite 71.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

4247 W 19th Pl · Gary, IN 46404
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 825 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 1955 5,837 sqft lot $115/sqft · 8% below area Est $103k · 8% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming and well-maintained home located at 4247 W 19th Place in Gary! This inviting property offers a perfect blend of comfort, functionality, and value--ideal for homeowners or investors alike. Home features 3 bedrooms and one full bath. Outside, enjoy a sizable yard with room for gardening, recreation, or future enhancements.

Key facts

  • Sizable yard
  • Room for recreation
  • Room for gardening

Tags

SIZABLE YARDROOM FOR GARDENINGROOM FOR RECREATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $89,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
11.07%
Cash-on-cash
17.07%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$103,049
List price
$95,000
Delta
-7.81%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4233 W 22nd Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 850 (+3%) 6mo $82,000 $96 70
1945 Lane St 0.11mi 3/1.0 (+1) 925 (+12%) 4mo $50,000 $54 66
4082 W 21st Pl 0.28mi 3/1.0 (+1) 941 (+14%) 1mo $129,900 $138 58
2165 Williams St 0.31mi 3/1.5 (+1) 890 (+8%) 9mo $135,000 $152 58
1125 Durbin St 0.72mi 2/2.5 814 (-1%) 1mo $32,500 $40 58
4144 W 23rd Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 (+1) 900 (+9%) 1mo $80,000 $89 56
3902 W 21st Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 925 (+12%) 9mo $126,000 $136 53
4633 W 11th Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 720 (-13%) 1mo $65,000 $90 50
1168 Hovey St 0.56mi 2/1.0 931 (+13%) 4mo $42,000 $45 50
4241 W 22nd Plz 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 925 (+12%) 8mo $63,000 $68 48
1075 Mount St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 884 (+7%) 2mo $70,000 $79 48
973 Williams St 0.72mi 2/1.0 916 (+11%) 1mo $55,000 $60 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$15,787
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
26.4%
Equity multiple
3.89×
Total profit
$76,973
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46404

Home prices YoY
-4.8%
Rents YoY
11.6%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,333 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,640/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$378

Break-even live

Break-even rent $854
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $432 -5% $405 +0% $378 +5% $352 +10% $325
Rent -10% $273 -5% $326 +0% $378 +5% $431 +10% $484
Rate -1.0pp $426 -0.5pp $403 base $378 +0.5pp $354 +1.0pp $329

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4061 W 20th Pl Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 925 $1,450 $1.57 1d 1 0.25mi
4300 W 22nd Pl Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 977 $1,395 $1.43 2d 1 0.37mi
4134 W 22nd Pl Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 825 $1,395 $1.69 1d 1 0.38mi
4328 W 22nd Plz Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 950 $1,300 $1.37 3d 1 0.42mi
1043 Mount St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 1d 1 0.74mi
1531 Taney Pl Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,045 $1.16 1d 1 0.85mi
2939 W 10th Ave Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 744 $1,190 $1.60 1d 1 1.03mi
743 Hanley St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 800 $1,350 $1.69 1d 1 1.11mi
1595 Ellsworth St Unit 1 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 868 $1,100 $1.27 1d 1 1.14mi
1595 Ellsworth St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 868 $1,100 $1.27 2d 1 1.14mi
2264 Taft St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $1,275 $1.59 1d 1 1.31mi
2280 Roosevelt Pl Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 864 $1,560 $1.81 1d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    status $95,000 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $95,000 Pending 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 59 DOM
  9. 2026-05-13
    price $95,000 347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (347 chars)

    Welcome to this charming and well-maintained home located at 4247 W 19th Place in Gary! This inviting property offers a perfect blend of comfort, functionality, and value--ideal for homeowners or investors alike. Home features 3 bedrooms and one full bath. Outside, enjoy a sizable yard with room for gardening, recreation, or future enhancements.

  10. 2026-04-02
    listed $100,000 Active 347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (347 chars)

    Welcome to this charming and well-maintained home located at 4247 W 19th Place in Gary! This inviting property offers a perfect blend of comfort, functionality, and value--ideal for homeowners or investors alike. Home features 3 bedrooms and one full bath. Outside, enjoy a sizable yard with room for gardening, recreation, or future enhancements.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,640 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,640 · $137/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,994
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,640
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,280
− Management
−$1,280
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$3,235
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$776
After-tax cash flow
$3,765/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
15,428
Household income
$42,256
Rent vs Own
43.6% rent · 56.4% own
Severe rent burden
800.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.76%
Current HPI
252.6463
Rent YoY
▲ 11.62%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $95,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $100,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,640 · +95.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…