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16336 E Palisades Blvd #9
D+ Composite 46.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$270,000

16336 E Palisades Blvd #9 · Fountain Hills, AZ 85268
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,073 sqft · Condo public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1980

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Darling 2 bed, 1.5 bath condo in desirable Fountain Hills! This lovely two-story home features an open living area with high ceilings, tile and carpet in all the right places, and a bright kitchen with ample cabinetry and essential appliances. Enjoy a spacious covered patio with parking just behind for easy access. Upstairs, each bedroom has its own balcony--one overlooking the pool, the other with mountain and Four Peaks views. Clean, bright, and move-in ready--an excellent opportunity for a variety of buyers seeking comfort and convenience. Located in a very quiet neighborhood within walking distance to the Fountain, shopping, schools, and just 10 minutes to Mayo Clinic.

Key facts

  • Open living area
  • Overlooking the pool
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

OPEN LIVING AREASPACIOUS COVERED PATIOOVERLOOKING THE POOLMOUNTAIN AND FOUR PEAKS VIEWS10 MINUTES TO MAYO CLINIC

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Community pool; Coin-operated laundry in community; Biking/walking path
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; HOA covers roof repair and replacement, insurance, sewer, trash, grounds and exterior maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
  • Utilities: Private water company; Public sewer
  • Home design: Condominium ownership; Loft-style unit; Attached property; Panoramic desert and mountain views; Facing unspecified direction
  • Construction: Stucco and wood-frame construction; Painted exterior; Built-up roof
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Desert-front lot; Private maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Laminate counters; Reverse osmosis water purifier; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms (upstairs)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Eat-in kitchen; Full bathroom in primary bedroom; Upstairs location; Dual-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry details listed in remarks

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $252k (6.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $252k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.4% in Fountain Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#45 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Fountain Hills Unified District (4247) (other): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #61 of 249 in AZ (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Fountain Hills Middle School (math 31% / reading 45%, grade F, #54 of 218 statewide, top 25%, 390 students, 22% FRL); Fountain Hills High School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #84 of 381 statewide, top 23%, 466 students, 17% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 448 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 12 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $170k; list at $270k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→9/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $252,102 (6.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.07%
Cash-on-cash
2.76%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-37,553
Equity at exit
$40,258
10-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-37,716
Equity at exit
$23,345

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85268

Rents YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
448
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,521 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $565/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA est. from 4 same-building comps
$242
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$529
Net cashflow
$174

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,301
Max offer price $270,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16336 E Arrow Dr Unit A Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.5 1244 $3,800 $3.05 44d 1 0.05mi
16344 E Arrow Dr Unit A1 Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 979 $3,300 $3.37 44d 1 0.05mi
16307 E Arrow Dr #106 Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1150 $4,500 $3.91 44d 1 0.06mi
16357 E Arrow Dr #115 Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1074 $1,850 $1.72 44d 1 0.08mi
13824 N Kendall Dr Unit A Fountain Hills, AZ 3.0 2.0 1477 $3,900 $2.64 3d 1 0.18mi
16510 E Palisades Blvd Unit ucpb6 Fountain Hills, AZ 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,750 $1.46 22d 1 0.21mi
16510 E Palisades Blvd #22 Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 1.5 1105 $2,900 $2.62 44d 1 0.21mi
13831 N Kendall Dr Unit A Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,750 $1.52 5d 1 0.21mi
14222 N Brunswick Dr #1 Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1172 $1,725 $1.47 44d 1 0.32mi
16550 E Avenue of the Fountains Fountain Hills, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 896 $2,440 $2.72 3d 8 0.39mi
14272 N Fountain Hills Blvd Fountain Hills, AZ 3.0 2.0 1497 $2,600 $1.74 18d 1 0.39mi
16216 E Rosetta Dr #31 Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1000 $3,700 $3.70 3d 1 0.40mi
16233 E Rosetta Dr Unit 1546444P Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1227 $2,653 $2.16 15d 1 0.43mi
16728 E Westby Dr #103 Fountain Hills, AZ 3.0 2.5 1360 $2,199 $1.62 44d 1 0.44mi
16750 E Westby Dr Unit B Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1076 $2,800 $2.60 44d 1 0.49mi
13225 N Fountain Hills Blvd Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1063 $1,750 $1.65 24d 1 0.49mi
13225 N Fountain Hills Blvd Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1005 $1,750 $1.74 44d 1 0.49mi
13225 N Fountain Hills Blvd Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1063 $1,750 $1.65 22d 1 0.49mi
16715 E Parkview Ave Unit 201 Fountain Hills, AZ 1.0 1.0 1100 $1,725 $1.57 5d 1 0.54mi
16525 E Avenue of the Fountains #116 Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1190 $1,575 $1.32 24d 1 0.56mi
13850 N Hamilton Dr Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1282 $4,000 $3.12 44d 1 0.59mi
14402 N Ibsen Dr Unit B Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1469 $2,700 $1.84 44d 1 0.61mi
14402 N Ibsen Dr Unit B Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1469 $4,500 $3.06 22d 1 0.61mi
13607 N Hamilton Dr Unit A18 Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 987 $2,699 $2.73 44d 1 0.63mi
13818 N Saguaro Blvd Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1032 $1,700 $1.65 5d 2 0.64mi
13804 N Saguaro Blvd #211 Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1032 $3,000 $2.91 44d 1 0.65mi
13636 N Saguaro Blvd #103 Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 912 $2,800 $3.07 44d 1 0.65mi
16101 E Glendora Dr Fountain Hills, AZ 3.0 2.0 1412 $3,350 $2.37 4d 1 0.65mi
14612 N Saguaro Blvd Apt A Fountain Hills, AZ 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,200 $1.57 5d 1 0.65mi
13624 N Saguaro Blvd Unit B118 Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,495 $1.50 24d 1 0.66mi
14216 N Saguaro Blvd Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1090 $2,100 $1.93 24d 1 0.68mi
16912 E La Montana Dr Unit D124 Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 987 $3,500 $3.55 44d 1 0.68mi
14645 N Fountain Hills Blvd #204 Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1000 $3,100 $3.10 44d 1 0.69mi
16725 E Avenue of the Fountains Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1192 $2,199 $1.84 2d 1 0.70mi
16725 E Avenue of the Fountains Fountain Hills, AZ 1.0 1.0 860 $1,675 $1.95 13d 1 0.70mi
16725 E Avenue of the Fountains Fountain Hills, AZ 1.0 1.0 860 $1,649 $1.92 3d 1 0.70mi
16725 E Avenue of the Fountains Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 2.0 1192 $2,240 $1.88 44d 1 0.70mi
14404 N Boxwood Ln Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 1.5 967 $2,900 $3.00 44d 1 0.73mi
14247 N Boxwood Ln Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 1.5 967 $2,900 $3.00 44d 1 0.76mi
14259 N Boxwood Ln Fountain Hills, AZ 2.0 1.0 1026 $1,500 $1.46 44d 1 0.76mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $270,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $270,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $270,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $270,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 681-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $270,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$565 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,782 · $148/mo
Expected delta
+$1,217/yr (+$101/mo · 215.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥113°F today · 9 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,252
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$565
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,420
− Management
−$2,420
− HOA
−$2,904
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable loss
−$2,385
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$573
After-tax cash flow
$2,662/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fountain Hills Unified District (4247)
NCES district ID
0403040
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$75,038
Composite
36.41/100
National rank
#4677
State rank
#61 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Fountain Hills

Score
69/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#8769

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fountain Hills, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
23,849
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
23,849
Household income
$112,795
Rent vs Own
15.6% rent · 84.4% own
Severe rent burden
374.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -205.81%
Current HPI
283.4064
Rent YoY
▲ 1.03%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+237.5% since first listed
36 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $270,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-21 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2025-08-14 Listed $290,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-06-26 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2025-03-16 Price Changed $290,000 ARMLS
  • 2024-12-31 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2024-12-31 Price Changed $310,000 ARMLS
  • 2024-12-26 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2024-07-15 Price Changed $320,000 ARMLS
  • 2024-06-09 Listed $325,000 ARMLS
  • 2024-05-28 Rental Removed $1,900 Avail
  • 2024-05-06 Price Changed $1,900 Avail
  • 2024-04-14 Price Changed $2,000 Avail
  • 2024-03-01 Price Changed $1,900 Avail
  • 2024-02-22 Price Changed $1,850 Avail
  • 2024-01-17 Listed for Rent $2,200 Avail
  • 2012-03-14 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2011-12-14 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2011-12-09 Listed $80,000 ARMLS
  • 2008-05-21 Sold (MLS) $170,000 ARMLS
  • 2008-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 2008-04-12 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2008-02-25 Listed $168,900 ARMLS
  • 2007-05-31 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2006-09-29 Listed $189,900 ARMLS
  • 2006-05-31 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2006-04-20 Listed $204,900 ARMLS
  • 2006-04-14 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2006-01-28 Listed $204,900 ARMLS
  • 2001-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2001-05-30 Sold (MLS) $90,000 ARMLS
  • 2001-04-27 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2001-03-23 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2001-03-23 Listed $89,900 ARMLS
  • 2001-02-02 Listed $91,900 ARMLS
  • 1998-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $565 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…