16336 E Palisades Blvd #9 · Fountain Hills, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$270,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Darling 2 bed, 1.5 bath condo in desirable Fountain Hills! This lovely two-story home features an open living area with high ceilings, tile and carpet in all the right places, and a bright kitchen with ample cabinetry and essential appliances. Enjoy a spacious covered patio with parking just behind for easy access. Upstairs, each bedroom has its own balcony--one overlooking the pool, the other with mountain and Four Peaks views. Clean, bright, and move-in ready--an excellent opportunity for a variety of buyers seeking comfort and convenience. Located in a very quiet neighborhood within walking distance to the Fountain, shopping, schools, and just 10 minutes to Mayo Clinic.
Key facts
- Open living area
- Overlooking the pool
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Community pool; Coin-operated laundry in community; Biking/walking path
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; HOA covers roof repair and replacement, insurance, sewer, trash, grounds and exterior maintenance
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
- Utilities: Private water company; Public sewer
- Home design: Condominium ownership; Loft-style unit; Attached property; Panoramic desert and mountain views; Facing unspecified direction
- Construction: Stucco and wood-frame construction; Painted exterior; Built-up roof
- Exterior features: Balcony; Desert-front lot; Private maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Laminate counters; Reverse osmosis water purifier; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms (upstairs)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Eat-in kitchen; Full bathroom in primary bedroom; Upstairs location; Dual-pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Laundry details listed in remarks
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $252k (6.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $252k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.4% in Fountain Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#45 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Fountain Hills Unified District (4247) (other): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #61 of 249 in AZ (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Fountain Hills Middle School (math 31% / reading 45%, grade F, #54 of 218 statewide, top 25%, 390 students, 22% FRL); Fountain Hills High School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #84 of 381 statewide, top 23%, 466 students, 17% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 448 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 12 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $170k; list at $270k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→9/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.76%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-37,553
- Equity at exit
- $40,258
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-37,716
- Equity at exit
- $23,345
Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85268
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 448
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,521 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,416
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $565/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA est. from 4 same-building comps
- −$242
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$529
- Net cashflow
- $174
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,500
- Closing costs
- $8,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16336 E Arrow Dr Unit A Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1244 | $3,800 | $3.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 16344 E Arrow Dr Unit A1 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 979 | $3,300 | $3.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 16307 E Arrow Dr #106 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $4,500 | $3.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 16357 E Arrow Dr #115 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,850 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 13824 N Kendall Dr Unit A Fountain Hills, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $3,900 | $2.64 | 3d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 16510 E Palisades Blvd Unit ucpb6 Fountain Hills, AZ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 22d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 16510 E Palisades Blvd #22 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1105 | $2,900 | $2.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 13831 N Kendall Dr Unit A Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 5d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 14222 N Brunswick Dr #1 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $1,725 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 16550 E Avenue of the Fountains Fountain Hills, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 896 | $2,440 | $2.72 | 3d | 8 | 0.39mi |
| 14272 N Fountain Hills Blvd Fountain Hills, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1497 | $2,600 | $1.74 | 18d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 16216 E Rosetta Dr #31 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,700 | $3.70 | 3d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 16233 E Rosetta Dr Unit 1546444P Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $2,653 | $2.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 16728 E Westby Dr #103 Fountain Hills, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1360 | $2,199 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 16750 E Westby Dr Unit B Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $2,800 | $2.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 13225 N Fountain Hills Blvd Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1063 | $1,750 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 13225 N Fountain Hills Blvd Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,750 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 13225 N Fountain Hills Blvd Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1063 | $1,750 | $1.65 | 22d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 16715 E Parkview Ave Unit 201 Fountain Hills, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,725 | $1.57 | 5d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 16525 E Avenue of the Fountains #116 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,575 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 13850 N Hamilton Dr Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $4,000 | $3.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 14402 N Ibsen Dr Unit B Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $2,700 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 14402 N Ibsen Dr Unit B Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $4,500 | $3.06 | 22d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 13607 N Hamilton Dr Unit A18 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $2,699 | $2.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 13818 N Saguaro Blvd Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $1,700 | $1.65 | 5d | 2 | 0.64mi |
| 13804 N Saguaro Blvd #211 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $3,000 | $2.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 13636 N Saguaro Blvd #103 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $2,800 | $3.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 16101 E Glendora Dr Fountain Hills, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $3,350 | $2.37 | 4d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 14612 N Saguaro Blvd Apt A Fountain Hills, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,200 | $1.57 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 13624 N Saguaro Blvd Unit B118 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,495 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 14216 N Saguaro Blvd Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $2,100 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 16912 E La Montana Dr Unit D124 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $3,500 | $3.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 14645 N Fountain Hills Blvd #204 Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,100 | $3.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 16725 E Avenue of the Fountains Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $2,199 | $1.84 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 16725 E Avenue of the Fountains Fountain Hills, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,675 | $1.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 16725 E Avenue of the Fountains Fountain Hills, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,649 | $1.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 16725 E Avenue of the Fountains Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $2,240 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 14404 N Boxwood Ln Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 967 | $2,900 | $3.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 14247 N Boxwood Ln Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 967 | $2,900 | $3.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 14259 N Boxwood Ln Fountain Hills, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $270,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $270,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $270,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $270,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 681-char remark
-
2026-06-13$270,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $565 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,782 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,217/yr (+$101/mo · 215.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥113°F today · 9 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,252
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,124
- − Property taxes
- −$565
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,420
- − Management
- −$2,420
- − HOA
- −$2,904
- − Depreciation
- −$7,855
- Taxable loss
- −$2,385
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$573
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,662/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fountain Hills Unified District (4247)
- NCES district ID
- 0403040
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,038
- Composite
- 36.41/100
- National rank
- #4677
- State rank
- #61 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Fountain Hills
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #8769
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fountain Hills, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 23,849
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,849
- Household income
- $112,795
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 374.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -205.81%
- Current HPI
- 283.4064
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.03%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
+237.5% since first listed36 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $270,000 ARMLS
- 2026-01-21 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-08-14 Listed $290,000 ARMLS
- 2025-06-26 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-03-16 Price Changed $290,000 ARMLS
- 2024-12-31 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2024-12-31 Price Changed $310,000 ARMLS
- 2024-12-26 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2024-07-15 Price Changed $320,000 ARMLS
- 2024-06-09 Listed $325,000 ARMLS
- 2024-05-28 Rental Removed $1,900 Avail
- 2024-05-06 Price Changed $1,900 Avail
- 2024-04-14 Price Changed $2,000 Avail
- 2024-03-01 Price Changed $1,900 Avail
- 2024-02-22 Price Changed $1,850 Avail
- 2024-01-17 Listed for Rent $2,200 Avail
- 2012-03-14 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2011-12-14 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2011-12-09 Listed $80,000 ARMLS
- 2008-05-21 Sold (MLS) $170,000 ARMLS
- 2008-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 2008-04-12 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2008-02-25 Listed $168,900 ARMLS
- 2007-05-31 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2006-09-29 Listed $189,900 ARMLS
- 2006-05-31 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2006-04-20 Listed $204,900 ARMLS
- 2006-04-14 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2006-01-28 Listed $204,900 ARMLS
- 2001-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2001-05-30 Sold (MLS) $90,000 ARMLS
- 2001-04-27 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2001-03-23 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2001-03-23 Listed $89,900 ARMLS
- 2001-02-02 Listed $91,900 ARMLS
- 1998-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $565 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…