122 Sweet Briar Rd · Pocono Pines, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.1/30.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Appreciation +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$279,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Property is under contract and maybe viewed only for backup offers. Welcome to 122 Sweet Briar Road, offering a quick stroll to the lake! The chalet-style home has a lovely curb appeal with an open living area, and two main floor bedrooms with a full bath. The upper level has a spacious bonus room with storage and a third bedroom with a standard closet. Updated LVP flooring throughout and beamed ceilings on the second floor add extra charm. Maintenance-free vinyl siding and decking makes an ideal space for entertaining or relaxing after a day enjoyed at the lake. A detached garage with additional storage and a paved driveway adds convenience, while the wooded setting provides privacy for a
Key facts
- Beamed ceilings
- Paved driveway
- Open living area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Lake Naomi
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (annual fee); Community amenities include security, clubhouse, dog park, meeting room, picnic area, sauna, playground, recreation facilities, game room, golf course, indoor pool, spa/hot tub, fitness center, jogging path/trails, tennis courts, basketball court, and pool; Association fee is billed annually
Exterior
- Parking: 3 total parking spaces; 1-car garage (garage faces front); 2 open paved parking spaces; Driveway
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electric with circuit breakers; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family house; Residential zoning (R2); No common walls
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a house (above-grade finished area reported)
- Exterior features: Barbecue / outdoor grill; Rain gutters; Front porch; Deck; Wooded lot; Paved road (publicly maintained)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Range hood; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer
- Flooring: Vinyl; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Pantry; Eat-in kitchen; Laminate countertops; Beamed ceilings; Open floorplan; Ceiling fans; Insulated windows with blinds/window coverings; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located on main level, inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $279k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-161 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $251k (10.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (5.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $251k (10.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.1% in Pocono Pines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#532 in PA, #4,925 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $172k; list at $279k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.48%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $357,884
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160 Sweet Briar Rd | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,232 (-5%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $211 | 77 |
| 2129 Oak Rd | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,244 (-4%) | 3mo | $407,000 | $327 | 73 |
| 116 Alpine Ct | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-3%) | 8mo | $300,000 | $240 | 67 |
| 1515 Beech Spring Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,454 (+12%) | 10mo | $415,000 | $285 | 64 |
| 121 Tunkhannock Trl | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,184 (-8%) | 4mo | $320,000 | $270 | 60 |
| 1169 Deer Trail Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,365 (+6%) | 7mo | $514,500 | $377 | 53 |
| 1512 Evergreen Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (+14%) | 18mo | $461,000 | $313 | 51 |
| 2133 Penny Ln | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,400 (+8%) | 10mo | $140,000 | $100 | 43 |
| 1112 Stonewall Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,390 (+8%) | 24mo | $385,000 | $277 | 40 |
| 8125 Wilder Ave | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,320 (+2%) | 23mo | $300,000 | $227 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-55,235
- Equity at exit
- $41,600
- IRR
- -13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-60,348
- Equity at exit
- $24,123
Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18350
- Home prices YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,644 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,463
- Tax from tax record
- −$429 /mo · $5,153/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$241
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$555
- Net cashflow
- $-161
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-3 | -5% $-82 | +0% $-161 | +5% $-240 | +10% $-319 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-370 | -5% $-266 | +0% $-161 | +5% $-57 | +10% $48 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-21 | -0.5pp $-90 | base $-161 | +0.5pp $-233 | +1.0pp $-307 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,750
- Closing costs
- $8,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $241 · $2,892/yr
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $279,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $279,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $279,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $279,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $279,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $279,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $279,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $279,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $279,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $279,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $279,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $279,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $279,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $279,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $279,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-21$279,000 Active
-
2017-10-17soldstatus $172,000
-
2017-10-16soldstatus $172,000
-
2015-10-08$184,000
-
2013-05-02$199,999
-
2012-10-16$215,000
-
2011-10-17$215,000
-
2007-08-07soldstatus $200,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,153 · $429/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,153 · $429/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,726
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,628
- − Property taxes
- −$5,153
- − Insurance
- −$1,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,538
- − Management
- −$2,538
- − HOA
- −$2,892
- − Depreciation
- −$8,116
- Taxable loss
- −$6,535
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,568
- After-tax cash flow
- $-365/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Pocono Pines
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #532
- US rank
- #4925
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pocono Pines, PA
- City population
- 595
- Population (ZIP)
- 595
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Asian 12% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 6% Russian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · South Korea
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Korean 12% Other Indo-European 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.00%
- Current HPI
- 215.5562
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+39.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $279,000 PMAR
- 2017-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $172,000 Public Records
- 2017-10-16 Sold (MLS) $172,000 PMAR
- 2015-10-08 Listed $184,000 PMAR
- 2013-05-02 Listed $199,999 PMAR
- 2012-10-16 Listed $215,000 PMAR
- 2011-10-17 Listed $215,000 PMAR
- 2007-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2026): $5,153 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…