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5849 Jackson St
B- Composite 66.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$164,999

5849 Jackson St · Taylor, MI 48180
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,566 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1939 5,227 sqft lot Est $196k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully updated 4-bedroom home offering space, and style! Featuring a convenient first-floor bedroom plus 3 additional bedrooms upstairs, this home offers a functional layout perfect for families, guests, or added flexibility. Since 2018, the property has seen extensive upgrades including updated kitchen cabinetry, renovated bathrooms, elegant marble flooring, and newer windows, creating a clean and modern feel throughout. With tasteful updates, generous living space, and move-in-ready condition, this vacant home is just waiting for its next family to make it their own. Priced at $179,000, this is a fantastic opportunity to own a beautifully improved home with immediate occupancy--schedule your showing today! all measurements approximate. BATVAI.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1939
  • Listed 21 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Colonial style; Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built in 1939
  • Exterior features: Public water

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-34 ($-402/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $159k (3.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $159k (3.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.4% in Taylor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#144 in MI, #3,684 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Taylor School District (urban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #462 of 540 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 281 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $165k implies a 334% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $159,075 (3.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.15%
Cash-on-cash
10.21%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$195,750
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5894 Balfour Ave 0.27mi 4/2.0 1,464 (-6%) 2mo $206,000 $141 75
5375 Mayfair St 0.27mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,508 (-4%) 0mo $170,000 $113 72
4833 Harding St 0.62mi 4/2.0 1,540 (-2%) 2mo $315,000 $205 66
5416 Jackson St 0.20mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,770 (+13%) 2mo $221,450 $125 60
6345 Kolb Ave 0.53mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,529 (-2%) 5mo $267,500 $175 60
4641 Weddell St 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,652 (+6%) 4mo $125,000 $76 58
5315 Edgewood St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,651 (+5%) 4mo $145,000 $88 57
4493 Culver St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,543 (-2%) 1mo $187,000 $121 54
4433 Mayfair St 0.66mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,475 (-6%) 1mo $196,000 $133 52
4928 Culver St 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,407 (-10%) 2mo $205,000 $146 51
4994 Campbell St 0.66mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,422 (-9%) 1mo $167,000 $117 44
4701 Croissant St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,768 (+13%) 1mo $180,000 $102 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.8%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-24,987
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-7,981
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48180

Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
281
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,865 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$146 /mo · $1,755/yr
Insurance
$69
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$392
Net cashflow
$-34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,907
Max offer price $159,075
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4631 Ziegler St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,650 $1.57 43d 1 0.53mi
4565 Fleming St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 10d 1 0.87mi
18535 Audette St Dearborn, MI 3.0 2.0 1957 $2,000 $1.02 1d 1 1.02mi
4934 McKinley St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1051 $1,700 $1.62 1d 1 1.07mi
20728 Carlysle St Dearborn, MI 3.0 1.0 1087 $1,850 $1.70 1d 1 1.12mi
5503 Cranbrook St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 2.5 2143 $1,750 $0.82 17d 1 1.40mi
3620 Monroe St Dearborn, MI 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 10d 1 1.41mi
15806 Meyer Ave Allen Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,650 $1.50 1d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $164,999 Pending 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $164,999 Active 18 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $164,999 Active 17 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $164,999 Active 16 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $164,999 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,000 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,000 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-05-22
    listed $179,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (776 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated 4-bedroom home offering space, and style! Featuring a convenient first-floor bedroom plus 3 additional bedrooms upstairs, this home offers a functional layout perfect for families, guests, or added flexibility. Since 2018, the property has seen extensive upgrades including updated kitchen cabinetry, renovated bathrooms, elegant marble flooring, and newer windows, creating a clean and modern feel throughout. With tasteful updates, generous living space, and move-in-ready condition, this vacant home is just waiting for its next family to make it their own. Priced at $179,000, this is a fantastic opportunity to own a beautifully improved home with immediate occupancy--schedule your showing today! all measurements approximate. BATVAI.

  11. 2026-05-22
    listed $179,000 Active 776-char remark
    Show marketing remark (776 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated 4-bedroom home offering space, and style! Featuring a convenient first-floor bedroom plus 3 additional bedrooms upstairs, this home offers a functional layout perfect for families, guests, or added flexibility. Since 2018, the property has seen extensive upgrades including updated kitchen cabinetry, renovated bathrooms, elegant marble flooring, and newer windows, creating a clean and modern feel throughout. With tasteful updates, generous living space, and move-in-ready condition, this vacant home is just waiting for its next family to make it their own. Priced at $179,000, this is a fantastic opportunity to own a beautifully improved home with immediate occupancy--schedule your showing today! all measurements approximate. BATVAI.

  12. 2026-05-22
    listed $179,000 Active 776-char remark
    Show marketing remark (776 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully updated 4-bedroom home offering space, and style! Featuring a convenient first-floor bedroom plus 3 additional bedrooms upstairs, this home offers a functional layout perfect for families, guests, or added flexibility. Since 2018, the property has seen extensive upgrades including updated kitchen cabinetry, renovated bathrooms, elegant marble flooring, and newer windows, creating a clean and modern feel throughout. With tasteful updates, generous living space, and move-in-ready condition, this vacant home is just waiting for its next family to make it their own. Priced at $179,000, this is a fantastic opportunity to own a beautifully improved home with immediate occupancy--schedule your showing today! all measurements approximate. BATVAI.

  13. 2018-09-11
    soldstatus $38,000 Sold
  14. 2018-09-11
    soldstatus $38,000 Closed
  15. 2018-08-29
    status Pending
  16. 2018-08-29
    status Pending
  17. 2018-08-28
    price $44,900
  18. 2018-08-27
    price $44,900
  19. 2018-08-06
    listed $49,900 Active
  20. 2018-08-06
    listed $49,900 Active
  21. 2018-08-06
    soldstatus $22,500
  22. 2002-06-18
    soldstatus $85,000
  23. 2002-06-15
    historical
  24. 2002-05-10
    soldstatus $85,000
  25. 2002-03-25
    historical
  26. 2002-02-17
    listed $89,900
  27. 2002-02-15
    listed $89,900
  28. 1997-07-10
    soldstatus $51,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,755 · $146/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,148 · $179/mo
Expected delta
+$393/yr (+$33/mo · 22.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,380
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$1,755
− Insurance
−$5,943
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,790
− Management
−$1,790
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$2,943
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$706
After-tax cash flow
$304/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Taylor School District
NCES district ID
2633540
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,062
Composite
17.62/100
National rank
#9034
State rank
#462 of 540 in MI

Livability — Taylor

Score
76/100
State rank
#144
US rank
#3684

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Taylor, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
62,081
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
62,081
Household income
$61,081
Rent vs Own
33.3% rent · 66.7% own
Severe rent burden
1957.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 19% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 3% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -212.33%
Current HPI
228.921
Rent YoY
▲ 4.90%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+251.0% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $179,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $179,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $179,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-09-11 Sold (MLS) $38,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-09-11 Sold (MLS) $38,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-08-29 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-08-29 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2018-08-28 Price Changed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-08-27 Price Changed $44,900 REALCOMP
  • 2018-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records
  • 2018-08-06 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-08-06 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2002-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2002-06-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-05-10 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-03-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-02-17 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-02-15 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,755 · -35.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…