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3807 19th St 6-Plex
B Composite 73.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.4/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.3/10.0

$485,000

3807 19th St · Ecorse, MI 48229
60 bd · 36.0 ba · 11,744 sqft · MultiFamily · 139 Days on market
Built 1953 6,534 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 6 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Solid 6-unit multifamily investment opportunity in Ecorse. The property features a unit mix of five 2-bedroom units and one 1-bedroom unit, offering a layout that aligns well with local rental demand. Currently, one 2-bedroom unit is occupied at $900/month, with the remaining units available for lease. The property has a current Certificate of Occupancy and separately metered electric, with tenants responsible for their own electricity. With the majority of units vacant, there is an opportunity for a new owner to implement their own management strategy, complete any desired improvements, and lease units at market rates. Suitable for investors seeking a long-term hold or gradual value-add opportunity.

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Built 1953
  • Listed 138 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed: contact for details; Zoned residential; Lot approx. 0.15 acres (60 x 106.56)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water (and other); Sewer available
  • Home design: Multi-family residential property; Two stories
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Built area above grade: 10,744; Finished area below grade: 1,000
  • Exterior features: Paved road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Six full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating with natural gas; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Finished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5×2bd/1.0ba + 1×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $485k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive. Per door: $286/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $485k).
  • Recommended offer: $427k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#348 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Ecorse Public Schools (suburban): math 3% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #536 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $52k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $48k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $136k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$83k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($427k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $485k implies a 593% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $426,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
10.54%
Cash-on-cash
15.18%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.5%
Equity multiple
3.75×
Total profit
$373,642
Equity at exit
$436,926
10-year hold
IRR
30.6%
Equity multiple
8.47×
Total profit
$1,014,474
Equity at exit
$942,248

Cash invested: $135,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48229

Home prices YoY
33.9%
Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
36.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,417 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,543
Tax est. 1.5%
$606 /mo · $7,275/yr
Insurance
$202
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,348
Net cashflow
$1,718

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,243
Max offer price $485,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,053 -5% $1,885 +0% $1,718 +5% $1,550 +10% $1,383
Rent -10% $1,211 -5% $1,464 +0% $1,718 +5% $1,971 +10% $2,225
Rate -1.0pp $1,962 -0.5pp $1,841 base $1,718 +0.5pp $1,592 +1.0pp $1,464

6-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 1 1 $858
Total (6 units) $6,417

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$121,250
Closing costs
$14,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 46 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $485,000 Active 139 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $485,000 Active 136 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $485,000 Active 135 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $485,000 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $485,000 Active 133 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $485,000 Active 131 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $485,000 Active 127 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $485,000 Active 126 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $485,000 Active 125 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $485,000 Active 122 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $485,000 Active 121 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $485,000 Active 120 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $485,000 Active 119 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $485,000 Active 118 DOM
  15. 2026-02-02
    listed $485,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    Solid 6-unit multifamily investment opportunity in Ecorse. The property features a unit mix of five 2-bedroom units and one 1-bedroom unit, offering a layout that aligns well with local rental demand. Currently, one 2-bedroom unit is occupied at $900/month, with the remaining units available for lease. The property has a current Certificate of Occupancy and separately metered electric, with tenants responsible for their own electricity. With the majority of units vacant, there is an opportunity for a new owner to implement their own management strategy, complete any desired improvements, and lease units at market rates. Suitable for investors seeking a long-term hold or gradual value-add opportunity.

  16. 2026-02-02
    listed $485,000 Active 709-char remark
    Show marketing remark (709 chars)

    Solid 6-unit multifamily investment opportunity in Ecorse. The property features a unit mix of five 2-bedroom units and one 1-bedroom unit, offering a layout that aligns well with local rental demand. Currently, one 2-bedroom unit is occupied at $900/month, with the remaining units available for lease. The property has a current Certificate of Occupancy and separately metered electric, with tenants responsible for their own electricity. With the majority of units vacant, there is an opportunity for a new owner to implement their own management strategy, complete any desired improvements, and lease units at market rates. Suitable for investors seeking a long-term hold or gradual value-add opportunity.

  17. 2023-04-05
    historical
  18. 2023-04-05
    historical
  19. 2023-03-11
    price $186,000
  20. 2023-03-10
    price $186,000
  21. 2023-02-23
    price $189,000
  22. 2023-02-23
    price $189,000
  23. 2023-02-15
    price $193,000
  24. 2023-02-14
    price $193,000
  25. 2023-02-10
    price $194,000
  26. 2023-02-10
    price $194,000
  27. 2023-02-06
    price $195,000
  28. 2023-02-06
    price $195,000
  29. 2023-02-01
    price $199,000
  30. 2023-02-01
    price $199,000
  31. 2023-01-30
    price $218,000
  32. 2023-01-30
    price $218,000
  33. 2023-01-26
    price $219,000
  34. 2023-01-25
    price $219,000
  35. 2023-01-20
    listed $223,000 Active
  36. 2023-01-20
    listed $223,000 Active
  37. 2022-03-11
    soldstatus $70,000 Sold
  38. 2022-03-11
    soldstatus $70,000 Closed
  39. 2022-01-24
    status Pending
  40. 2022-01-24
    status Pending
  41. 2022-01-07
    price $99,999
  42. 2022-01-07
    price $99,999
  43. 2022-01-06
    listed $9,999 Active
  44. 2022-01-06
    listed $9,999 Active
  45. 2021-12-10
    historical
  46. 2021-09-10
    listed $185,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 18% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$77,004
− Mortgage interest
−$27,168
− Property taxes
−$7,275
− Insurance
−$2,425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,160
− Management
−$6,160
− Depreciation
−$14,109
Taxable income
$13,707
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,290
After-tax cash flow
$17,323/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ecorse Public Schools
NCES district ID
2612930
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
7% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$28,957
Composite
3.46/100
National rank
#10075
State rank
#536 of 540 in MI

Livability — Ecorse

Score
69/100
State rank
#348
US rank
#8880

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ecorse, MI
City population
9,166
Population (ZIP)
9,166

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 15% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Guatemala, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 102.51%
Current HPI
404.5927
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+162.2% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $485,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $485,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-04-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-04-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-03-11 Price Changed $186,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-10 Price Changed $186,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-02-23 Price Changed $189,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-02-23 Price Changed $189,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-02-15 Price Changed $193,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-02-14 Price Changed $193,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-02-10 Price Changed $194,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-02-10 Price Changed $194,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-02-06 Price Changed $195,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-02-06 Price Changed $195,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-02-01 Price Changed $199,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-02-01 Price Changed $199,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-01-30 Price Changed $218,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-01-30 Price Changed $218,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-01-26 Price Changed $219,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-01-25 Price Changed $219,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-01-20 Listed $223,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-01-20 Listed $223,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-03-11 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-03-11 Sold (MLS) $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-01-24 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-01-24 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-01-07 Price Changed $99,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-01-07 Price Changed $99,999 REALCOMP
  • 2022-01-06 Listed $9,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-01-06 Listed $9,999 REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-10 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-09-10 Listed $185,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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