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447 Adams Rd
C Composite 57.33
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$364,000

447 Adams Rd · Tyrone, GA 30214
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,280 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 110 Days on market
Built 1977 2.00 ac lot $160/sqft · 19% below area Est $447k · 19% under ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming Fayetteville home situated on two beautiful acres. Inside, you'll find 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, with a spacious primary suite conveniently located on the main level along with an additional bedroom and full bath. Upstairs offers two more bedrooms and another full bath, providing plenty of space for family or guests. The open kitchen features abundant cabinet storage, and the home includes both a separate laundry room and a pantry for added convenience. A bright sunroom with tile flooring and large windows brings in wonderful natural light throughout the day. The living room is warm and inviting with its brick fireplace and beamed ceilings-perfect for cozy evenings. Step outside to enjoy the deck, overlooking a generous backyard with plenty of room for running, playing, or relaxing. This property offers space, comfort, and a peaceful setting-ready to welcome its next owners. Water heater is 6 years old. This property is close to Trilith Studios and the Atlanta airport.

Key facts

  • Brick fireplace
  • Bright sunroom
  • Two acres

Tags

TWO ACRESOPEN KITCHENSEPARATE LAUNDRY ROOMBRIGHT SUNROOMBRICK FIREPLACEGENEROUS BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $364k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $313k (14.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $313k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.5% in Tyrone — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#13 in GA, #2,017 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Fayette County (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #7 of 174 in GA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 323 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fayette County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($331k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $313,217 (14.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
7.33%
Cash-on-cash
3.69%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$446,837
List price
$364,000
Delta
-18.54%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
180 Paula Dr 0.52mi 4/2.5 2,356 (+3%) 12mo $445,000 $189 58
335 Weeping Willow Way 0.68mi 4/2.5 2,337 (+2%) 6mo $390,000 $167 57
820 Apricot Ave 0.50mi 4/3.0 2,336 (+2%) 17mo $255,062 $109 54
120 Wisteria Ct 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,137 (-6%) 14mo $445,000 $208 51
160 Creekwood Ln 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,943 (-15%) 1mo $625,000 $322 49
145 Vista Ln 0.66mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,113 (-7%) 2mo $449,500 $213 49
135 Weeping Willow Way 0.68mi 4/2.5 1,968 (-14%) 14mo $427,000 $217 31
345 Weeping Willow Way 0.70mi 4/2.5 2,001 (-12%) 20mo $439,900 $220 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.3%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-35,094
Equity at exit
$54,274
10-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$11,774
Equity at exit
$31,472

Cash invested: $101,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30214

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,132 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,909
Tax from tax record
$101 /mo · $1,209/yr
Insurance
$152
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$658
Net cashflow
$313

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,736
Max offer price $364,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $519 -5% $416 +0% $313 +5% $210 +10% $107
Rent -10% $66 -5% $189 +0% $313 +5% $437 +10% $561
Rate -1.0pp $496 -0.5pp $406 base $313 +0.5pp $219 +1.0pp $123

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,000
Closing costs
$10,920
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
210 Mackenzie Ln Fayetteville, GA 4.0 3.5 2443 $7,500 $3.07 5d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $364,000 Active 110 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $364,000 Active 109 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $364,000 Active 108 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $364,000 Active 107 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $364,000 Active 105 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $364,000 Active 101 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $364,000 Active 100 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $364,000 Active 99 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $364,000 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $364,000 Active 95 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $364,000 Active 94 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $364,000 Active 93 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $364,000 Active 92 DOM
  14. 2026-04-13
    price $364,000 1015-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1015 chars)

    Welcome to this charming Fayetteville home situated on two beautiful acres. Inside, you'll find 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, with a spacious primary suite conveniently located on the main level along with an additional bedroom and full bath. Upstairs offers two more bedrooms and another full bath, providing plenty of space for family or guests. The open kitchen features abundant cabinet storage, and the home includes both a separate laundry room and a pantry for added convenience. A bright sunroom with tile flooring and large windows brings in wonderful natural light throughout the day. The living room is warm and inviting with its brick fireplace and beamed ceilings-perfect for cozy evenings. Step outside to enjoy the deck, overlooking a generous backyard with plenty of room for running, playing, or relaxing. This property offers space, comfort, and a peaceful setting-ready to welcome its next owners. Water heater is 6 years old. This property is close to Trilith Studios and the Atlanta airport.

  15. 2026-03-19
    status Back On Market 1015-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1015 chars)

    Welcome to this charming Fayetteville home situated on two beautiful acres. Inside, you'll find 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, with a spacious primary suite conveniently located on the main level along with an additional bedroom and full bath. Upstairs offers two more bedrooms and another full bath, providing plenty of space for family or guests. The open kitchen features abundant cabinet storage, and the home includes both a separate laundry room and a pantry for added convenience. A bright sunroom with tile flooring and large windows brings in wonderful natural light throughout the day. The living room is warm and inviting with its brick fireplace and beamed ceilings-perfect for cozy evenings. Step outside to enjoy the deck, overlooking a generous backyard with plenty of room for running, playing, or relaxing. This property offers space, comfort, and a peaceful setting-ready to welcome its next owners. Water heater is 6 years old. This property is close to Trilith Studios and the Atlanta airport.

  16. 2026-03-15
    status Under Contract 1015-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1015 chars)

    Welcome to this charming Fayetteville home situated on two beautiful acres. Inside, you'll find 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, with a spacious primary suite conveniently located on the main level along with an additional bedroom and full bath. Upstairs offers two more bedrooms and another full bath, providing plenty of space for family or guests. The open kitchen features abundant cabinet storage, and the home includes both a separate laundry room and a pantry for added convenience. A bright sunroom with tile flooring and large windows brings in wonderful natural light throughout the day. The living room is warm and inviting with its brick fireplace and beamed ceilings-perfect for cozy evenings. Step outside to enjoy the deck, overlooking a generous backyard with plenty of room for running, playing, or relaxing. This property offers space, comfort, and a peaceful setting-ready to welcome its next owners. Water heater is 6 years old. This property is close to Trilith Studios and the Atlanta airport.

  17. 2026-03-14
    status Back On Market 1015-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1015 chars)

    Welcome to this charming Fayetteville home situated on two beautiful acres. Inside, you'll find 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, with a spacious primary suite conveniently located on the main level along with an additional bedroom and full bath. Upstairs offers two more bedrooms and another full bath, providing plenty of space for family or guests. The open kitchen features abundant cabinet storage, and the home includes both a separate laundry room and a pantry for added convenience. A bright sunroom with tile flooring and large windows brings in wonderful natural light throughout the day. The living room is warm and inviting with its brick fireplace and beamed ceilings-perfect for cozy evenings. Step outside to enjoy the deck, overlooking a generous backyard with plenty of room for running, playing, or relaxing. This property offers space, comfort, and a peaceful setting-ready to welcome its next owners. Water heater is 6 years old. This property is close to Trilith Studios and the Atlanta airport.

  18. 2026-03-11
    status Under Contract 1015-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1015 chars)

    Welcome to this charming Fayetteville home situated on two beautiful acres. Inside, you'll find 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, with a spacious primary suite conveniently located on the main level along with an additional bedroom and full bath. Upstairs offers two more bedrooms and another full bath, providing plenty of space for family or guests. The open kitchen features abundant cabinet storage, and the home includes both a separate laundry room and a pantry for added convenience. A bright sunroom with tile flooring and large windows brings in wonderful natural light throughout the day. The living room is warm and inviting with its brick fireplace and beamed ceilings-perfect for cozy evenings. Step outside to enjoy the deck, overlooking a generous backyard with plenty of room for running, playing, or relaxing. This property offers space, comfort, and a peaceful setting-ready to welcome its next owners. Water heater is 6 years old. This property is close to Trilith Studios and the Atlanta airport.

  19. 2026-02-21
    listed $369,000 New 1015-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1015 chars)

    Welcome to this charming Fayetteville home situated on two beautiful acres. Inside, you'll find 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, with a spacious primary suite conveniently located on the main level along with an additional bedroom and full bath. Upstairs offers two more bedrooms and another full bath, providing plenty of space for family or guests. The open kitchen features abundant cabinet storage, and the home includes both a separate laundry room and a pantry for added convenience. A bright sunroom with tile flooring and large windows brings in wonderful natural light throughout the day. The living room is warm and inviting with its brick fireplace and beamed ceilings-perfect for cozy evenings. Step outside to enjoy the deck, overlooking a generous backyard with plenty of room for running, playing, or relaxing. This property offers space, comfort, and a peaceful setting-ready to welcome its next owners. Water heater is 6 years old. This property is close to Trilith Studios and the Atlanta airport.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,209 · $101/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,349 · $279/mo
Expected delta
+$2,140/yr (+$178/mo · 176.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,586
− Mortgage interest
−$20,390
− Property taxes
−$1,209
− Insurance
−$1,820
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,007
− Management
−$3,007
− Depreciation
−$10,589
Taxable loss
−$2,436
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$585
After-tax cash flow
$4,342/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fayette County
NCES district ID
1302130
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$80,746
Composite
50.67/100
National rank
#1824
State rank
#7 of 174 in GA

Livability — Tyrone

Score
79/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#2017

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Fayette County · 112,821 people
City population
9,083
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
31,811
Household income
$89,912
Rent vs Own
18.7% rent · 81.3% own
Severe rent burden
634.0

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
120,914 people
By 2030
125,439 · +3.7%
By 2040
132,378 · +9.5%
By 2050
137,123 · +13.4%
By 2075
156,091 · +29.1%
By 2100
163,102 · +34.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 51% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 51.1%
2008→2024 swing
+27.5pp toward D · 2008: -30.7pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: R+6.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+30.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.65%
Current HPI
243.9416
Rent YoY
▲ 4.29%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $364,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-03-15 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-03-14 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-02-21 Listed $369,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

-2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,209 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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