50-15 39th St Unit 1A · New York, NY 11104

$269,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 750 sqft · Condo · 70 Days on market

Built 1960 ↓ 10% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.1/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Appreciation +3.6/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Spacious & Bright One Bedroom Co-Op In SUNNYSIDE. This Second Floor Unit Offers A Nicely Sized Living Room With Plenty Of Natural Light Because Of The Oversized Triple Window That Opens To A Quiet Street, A Functional Kitchen With Ample Cabinetry & Full Bathroom. Those Who Value Practicality Will Be Happy To Hear That There Are TWO CLOSETS To Accommodate Your Extensive Storage Needs. Moreover, This Spectacular Apartment Is Situated In A Very Well Maintained Building With An IMPRESSIVE ROOF TERRACE, BIKE ROOM & 24/7 LAUNDRY ROOM. LOW MONTHLY MAINTENANCE Of $982.90 ALREADY INCLUDES HEAT, HOT WATER & COOKING GAS. Assessment $399. SUBLETTING Is Permitted After 5 Years &

Key facts

• Functional kitchen
• Ample cabinetry
• Two closets

Tags

• NICELY SIZED LIVING ROOM
• OVERSIZED TRIPLE WINDOW
• FUNCTIONAL KITCHEN
• AMPLE CABINETRY
• TWO CLOSETS
• IMPRESSIVE ROOF TERRACE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $269k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $269k).
• Recommended offer: $253k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $4,032/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 1859% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-2.7%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-2.7% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $75k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($253k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $252,860 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.50% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.21%
• Cash-on-cash: 21.13%
• DSCR: 1.94
• GRM: 5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.71% appreciation · 6.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 18.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.77×
• Total profit: $58,078
• Equity at exit: $43,603

10-year hold

• IRR: 28.2%
• Equity multiple: 3.96×
• Total profit: $223,322
• Equity at exit: $29,305

Cash invested: $75,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11104

• Home prices YoY: -1.2%
• Rents YoY: 6.3%
• Active inventory: 78
• Price-to-rent: 5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $4,032 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,411
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$336 /mo · $4,035/yr
• Insurance: −$112
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$847
• Net cashflow: $1,326

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,353

Max offer price $269,000

Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,512	-5% $1,419	+0% $1,326	+5% $1,233	+10% $1,140
Rent	-10% $1,007	-5% $1,167	+0% $1,326	+5% $1,485	+10% $1,644
Rate	-1.0pp $1,461	-0.5pp $1,394	base $1,326	+0.5pp $1,256	+1.0pp $1,185

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $67,250
• Closing costs: $8,070
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 5 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2719 44th Dr Long Island City, NY	1.0	1.0	628	$4,945	$7.87	9d	2	0.98mi
285 Kingsland Ave #2078 Brooklyn, NY	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	725	$4,240	$5.85	26d	2	1.13mi
3 Court Sq W #907 Long Island City, NY	2.0	2.0	930	$6,300	$6.77	26d	1	1.14mi
3705 30th St Long Island City, NY	2.0	1.0–2.0	700	$4,840	$6.91	12d	3	1.20mi
34-35 44th St Astoria, NY	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	613	$3,576	$5.83	0d	23	1.24mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Likely covers: watergas
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-04-29
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-03
   price $269,000
3. 2026-01-13
   listed $299,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $48,379
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,068
• − Property taxes: −$4,035
• − Insurance: −$1,345
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,870
• − Management: −$3,870
• − Depreciation: −$7,825
• Taxable income: $12,365
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,968
• After-tax cash flow: $12,944/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Queens County · 1,914,869 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 26,132
• Household income: $80,709
• Rent vs Own: 79.6% rent · 20.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1859.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,546,320 people
• By 2030: 2,643,059 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 2,815,563 · +10.6%
• By 2050: 2,944,423 · +15.6%
• By 2075: 3,123,338 · +22.7%
• By 2100: 3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: White 38% Asian 28% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 16% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Scandinavian 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 46% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 38% English-only · Spanish 24% Other Indo-European 18% Other Asian/Pacific 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -2.71%
• Current HPI: 224.0688
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.31%
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-10.3% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-29 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-03 Price Changed $269,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-13 Listed $299,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid