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8583 New York 23a
D+ Composite 48.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$399,000

8583 New York 23a · Hunter, NY 12444
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily · 26 Days on market
Built 1993 Fair condition 1.40 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience the best of four-season mountain living in this beautifully updated home perfectly positioned on Route 23A in the heart of the Catskills. With immediate access to the vibrant dining and shopping scenes of Tannersville, Hunter, and Windham, this property offers the ideal blend of nature and convenience -- never isolated, always connected. One of the most distinctive features of this home is its direct frontage on the Schoharie Creek -- a truly rare amenity that sets this property apart. Whether you're fishing at dawn or simply listening to the water from your wraparound deck, the creek access delivers an unmatched outdoor experience. That same deck treats you to breathtaking mount

Key facts

  • Wraparound deck
  • 1.4 acre lot
  • Built 1993

Tags

WRAPAROUND DECKWOOD-BURNING FIREPLACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax: $4,375

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family residential property
  • Exterior features: Approximately 1.4-acre lot; Zoned RC

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Free-standing refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom located on the ground floor
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $399k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $147 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $368k (7.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $368k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 1.6% in Hunter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#971 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+; Watch: housing D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Hunter-Tannersville Central School District (rural): math 55% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #425 of 755 in NY (top 56%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($393k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $367,607 (7.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.73%
Cash-on-cash
1.58%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-24,118
Equity at exit
$92,618
10-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$20,204
Equity at exit
$94,141

Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12444

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,676 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,092
Tax est. 1.5%
$499 /mo · $5,985/yr
Insurance
$166
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$772
Net cashflow
$147

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,490
Max offer price $399,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $422 -5% $285 +0% $147 +5% $9 +10% $-129
Rent -10% $-144 -5% $1 +0% $147 +5% $292 +10% $437
Rate -1.0pp $348 -0.5pp $248 base $147 +0.5pp $43 +1.0pp $-62

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,750
Closing costs
$11,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $399,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $399,000 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $399,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $399,000 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $399,000 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $399,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $399,000 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $399,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $399,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $399,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $399,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $399,000 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $399,000 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $399,000 Active 7 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $399,000 Active 6 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $399,000 Active 5 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $399,000 Active 4 DOM
  18. 2026-05-26
    listed $399,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,113
− Mortgage interest
−$22,350
− Property taxes
−$5,985
− Insurance
−$1,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,529
− Management
−$3,529
− Depreciation
−$11,607
Taxable loss
−$4,883
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,172
After-tax cash flow
$2,932/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home is in fair condition with moderate repairs needed, particularly in the kitchen and interior walls. Painting and refinishing can significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Kitchen cabinets — The cabinets are dated and show signs of wear.
  • Moderate Paint on exterior and interior walls — The paint is faded and could benefit from a fresh coat.
  • Moderate Flooring — The flooring is worn and could use refinishing.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can significantly improve the curb appeal and overall look of the home, making it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Resale Refinishing the flooring — Refinished flooring can enhance the home's value by making it look newer and more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Both Landscaping — Landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and add value, both for resale and rental.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · The cabinets are dated and show signs of wear. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Paint on exterior and interior walls · The paint is faded and could benefit from a fresh coat. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Flooring · The flooring is worn and could use refinishing. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $9,000–45,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can significantly improve the curb appeal and overall look of the home, making it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Resale Refinishing the flooring — Refinished flooring can enhance the home's value by making it look newer and more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Both Landscaping — Landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and add value, both for resale and rental.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hunter-Tannersville Central School District
NCES district ID
3615060
Math proficiency
55% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,719
Composite
46.19/100
National rank
#5442
State rank
#425 of 755 in NY

Livability — Hunter

Score
60/100
State rank
#971
US rank
#18992

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment F Housing D+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
519

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,963 people
By 2030
43,126 · -4.1%
By 2040
38,756 · -13.8%
By 2050
34,913 · -22.4%
By 2075
28,156 · -37.4%
By 2100
22,296 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (59%)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Two or more races 38% Hispanic / Latino 34%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 5% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
4%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
R (+17.0) · D 41.5% · R 58.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -17.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.0 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+11.1 2008: R+9.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.19%
Current HPI
483.4459
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $399,000 HVCRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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