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784 Blossom Rd
D Composite 41.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$290,000

784 Blossom Rd · Woodland Park, CO 80863
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,510 sqft · Manufactured public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1995 0.42 ac lot $112/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming ranch-style home, conveniently located just minutes away from Woodland Park, offering a perfect blend of city convenience and rural tranquility. Situated on a . 42-acre lot, this property features an oversized detached 2-car garage with two levels of ample storage, ideal for parking trailers, UTVs, RVs, and more. Embrace the possibilities of a large garden or even keeping bees on this expansive lot. Step inside and be greeted by modern laminate wood floors that gracefully lead you from the formal living room into the kitchen and dining areas. The adjoining great room impresses with its vaulted ceilings and abundant natural light streaming through the large windows.

Key facts

  • Large garden
  • Ranch style home
  • Vaulted ceilings

Tags

RANCH STYLE HOMEOVERSIZED DETACHED GARAGELARGE GARDENMODERN LAMINATE WOOD FLOORSVAULTED CEILINGSABUNDANT NATURAL LIGHT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Financing terms include Cash, Conventional, and FHA
  • HOA & community: No HOA covenants; Monthly association fee of $112 covering water and additional items (see agent/show remarks)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Gravel driveway
  • Security: See property description
  • Utilities: Water provided by association/district; Electricity available; Propane; Telephone service
  • Home design: Single-family property; Double wide structure
  • Construction: Composite shingle roof; Masonite-type siding; Crawl space foundation; Existing home
  • Exterior features: Wood deck; Rear fence; 360-degree views; Corner lot; Mountain views; Trees/woods; Near hiking trail, fire station, and schools; Outbuildings (see property description)

Interior

  • Kitchen: 220V in kitchen; Breakfast bar
  • Bedrooms: Main floor bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood laminate
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings and 9+ foot ceilings; Great room; 5-piece bathroom; Entry described as other; Window coverings; Breakfast bar; High-speed Internet available; See property description for additional interior details
  • Laundry & utility: Main floor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $13 ($153/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (17.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $238k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.4% in Woodland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#78 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
  • Woodland Park School District No. Re-2 (town): math 28% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #29 of 86 in CO (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Summit Elementary School (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #540 of 966 statewide, top 57%, 259 students, 36% FRL); Woodland Park Middle School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #95 of 270 statewide, top 37%, 386 students, 34% FRL); Woodland Park High School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #115 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 579 students, 33% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 251 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 148 units permitted in Teller County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Teller County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $195k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $238,482 (17.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.19%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-44,681
Equity at exit
$43,240
10-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-31,623
Equity at exit
$25,074

Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 80863

Home prices YoY
-29.8%
Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
251
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,385 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,521
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,412/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$112
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$501
Net cashflow
$13

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,369
Max offer price $290,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $177 -5% $95 +0% $13 +5% $-69 +10% $-151
Rent -10% $-176 -5% $-81 +0% $13 +5% $107 +10% $201
Rate -1.0pp $159 -0.5pp $87 base $13 +0.5pp $-62 +1.0pp $-139

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,500
Closing costs
$8,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$112 · $1,344/yr

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $290,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $290,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $290,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $290,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $290,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $290,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $290,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $290,000 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $290,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $290,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $290,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $290,000 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $290,000 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $290,000 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $290,000 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-05-26
    listed $290,000 Active
  17. 2022-09-20
    price $315,000
  18. 2022-08-06
    price $329,000
  19. 2019-01-25
    soldstatus $195,000
  20. 2018-12-11
    price $199,999
  21. 2018-11-19
    price $209,999
  22. 2018-10-27
    price $219,999
  23. 2015-10-22
    soldstatus $137,500
  24. 2008-10-20
    soldstatus $92,100

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,412 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,595 · $133/mo
Expected delta
+$183/yr (+$15/mo · 13.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥80°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,618
− Mortgage interest
−$16,245
− Property taxes
−$1,412
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,289
− Management
−$2,289
− HOA
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$8,436
Taxable loss
−$4,848
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,163
After-tax cash flow
$1,316/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Woodland Park School District No. Re-2
NCES district ID
0807380
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$63,920
Composite
33.68/100
National rank
#5385
State rank
#29 of 86 in CO

Livability — Woodland Park

Score
71/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#7181

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living F Crime A Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Teller County · 12,329 people
City population
12,329
Metro
Colorado Springs, CO
Population (ZIP)
12,329
Household income
$104,779
Rent vs Own
22.1% rent · 77.9% own
Severe rent burden
418.0

Population outlook (Teller County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,404 people
By 2030
21,527 · -3.9%
By 2040
19,356 · -13.6%
By 2050
17,462 · -22.1%
By 2075
14,658 · -34.6%
By 2100
11,982 · -46.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · South Korea
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Teller

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.5) · D 31.0% · R 66.5% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.1pp · 2024: -35.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.5 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+33.1 2008: R+28.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -129.47%
Current HPI
304.4625
Rent YoY
▲ 3.64%
Metro
Colorado Springs, CO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+214.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $290,000 elevateMLS
  • 2022-09-20 Price Changed $315,000 elevateMLS
  • 2022-08-06 Price Changed $329,000 elevateMLS
  • 2019-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
  • 2018-12-11 Price Changed $199,999 elevateMLS
  • 2018-11-19 Price Changed $209,999 elevateMLS
  • 2018-10-27 Price Changed $219,999 elevateMLS
  • 2015-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $137,500 Public Records
  • 2008-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $92,100 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,412 · +26.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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