2967 W A St · Torrington, WY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $564 – $1,046
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.2/30.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.5/10.0
- DSCR +0.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Close to hospital
- Close to schools
- Large lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Exterior features: Deck; Asphalt roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Oven
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Full basement; Deck
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-318 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (32.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $96k (45.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $96k (45.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#66 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, crime D+.
- Goshen County School District #1 (town): math 45% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #28 of 41 in WY (top 68%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Goshen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Goshen County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.55% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.78%
- DSCR
- 0.65
- GRM
- 15.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $257,400
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2833 Main St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,392 (+2%) | 12mo | $199,000 | $83 | 75 |
| 2826 E A St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,100 (-10%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $110 | 69 |
| 3254 Buena Vista Rd | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 2,173 (-7%) | 1mo | $209,000 | $96 | 66 |
| 2733 E A St | 0.24mi | 3/1.8 (+1) | 2,416 (+3%) | 18mo | $249,000 | $103 | 62 |
| 119 Linda Vista Rd | 0.15mi | 3/1.8 (+1) | 2,146 (-8%) | 15mo | $249,900 | $116 | 61 |
| 210 E 27th Ave | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,214 (-5%) | 18mo | $220,000 | $99 | 59 |
| 2425 E B St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,128 (-9%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $94 | 58 |
| 122 Ridge Road Rd | 0.73mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 2,326 (-1%) | 14mo | $285,000 | $123 | 44 |
| 349 W 23rd Ave Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 2,240 (-4%) | 20mo | $264,000 | $118 | 44 |
| 3609 Bighorn St | 0.72mi | 3/1.8 (+1) | 2,040 (-13%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $118 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -30.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.01×
- Total profit
- $-48,668
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -31.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.40×
- Total profit
- $-68,717
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Wyoming
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 82240
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 15.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $961 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,039/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$202
- Net cashflow
- $-318
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-219 | -5% $-268 | +0% $-318 | +5% $-367 | +10% $-417 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-394 | -5% $-356 | +0% $-318 | +5% $-280 | +10% $-242 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-230 | -0.5pp $-273 | base $-318 | +0.5pp $-363 | +1.0pp $-409 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-04-15price $175,000
-
2026-03-20$185,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,039 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,068 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$28/yr (+$2/mo · 2.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,535
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,039
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$923
- − Management
- −$923
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$7,118
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,708
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,106/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Goshen County School District #1
- NCES district ID
- 5602990
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,003
- Composite
- 43.0/100
- National rank
- #3106
- State rank
- #28 of 41 in WY
Livability — Torrington
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #11066
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Torrington, WY
- County
- Goshen County · 9,667 people
- City population
- 9,667
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,667
- Household income
- $60,766
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 253.0
Population outlook (Goshen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,178 people
- By 2030
- 14,461 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 15,052 · +6.2%
- By 2050
- 15,857 · +11.8%
- By 2075
- 18,921 · +33.5%
- By 2100
- 21,342 · +50.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Goshen
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.9) · D 18.9% · R 79.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.2pp toward R · 2008: -35.7pp · 2024: -60.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.9 2020: R+58.9 2016: R+61.2 2012: R+47.2 2008: R+35.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.75%
- Current HPI
- 176.949
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-5.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — WMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $175,000 WMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $185,000 WMLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,039 · -22.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…