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3039 Going to The Sun St
B+ Composite 77.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$108,900

3039 Going to The Sun St · Sebring, FL 33872
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,242 sqft · Manufactured · 356 Days on market
Built 2004 Est $152k · 28% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Resort style living at its finest. State of the art amenities here are endless. Clubhouse with unlimited activities such as dinner events, concerts, card games and workout gym and more. Tennis and shuffleboard might be appealing to you or just relaxing in the pool. Either way you will have lots to do in this community. The Home has a new roof in 2022 and the refrigerator is new within the last year per seller. There is laminate and vinyl flooring throughout the home. The patio furniture on the screen room and front patio stay with the home. Master bedroom furniture stays with the home as well. Monthly lot rent is $985 and includes trash pickup in front of the home twice weekly and all park

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • Vinyl flooring
  • New refrigerator

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW REFRIGERATORLAMINATE FLOORINGVINYL FLOORINGAMPLE STORAGELAUNDRY INSIDE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is in a mobile home park (Tanglewood Home Ame)
  • Financial info: Land is leased (land lease $985/month)
  • HOA & community: Clubhouse; Fitness center; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces; Driveway; Golf cart garage; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured in-park home (double wide); One level; Vinyl siding; Frame construction
  • Construction: Metal and shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Screened porch; Side porch; Community pool (community access); Paved road access; Pets allowed

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; High-speed internet; Blinds

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 4.3% in Sebring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#618 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Sebring Middle School (math 52% / reading 40%, grade D+, #300 of 571 statewide, top 53%, 815 students, 64% FRL); Sebring High School (math 32% / reading 48%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,809 students, 56% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 700 active listings in the ZIP; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $753 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 356 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,832 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 356 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.07%
Cash-on-cash
20.62%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$151,524
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3353 Delaware Ave 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (-3%) 3mo $160,000 $133 70
3510 Delaware Ave 0.30mi 2/2.0 1,152 (-7%) 8mo $130,000 $113 68
3352 Delaware Ave 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,300 (+5%) 14mo $157,000 $121 63
3446 Michigan Ave 0.34mi 2/2.0 1,124 (-10%) 8mo $120,000 $107 62
2317 Georgia St 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,080 (-13%) 8mo $150,000 $139 61
3527 Delaware Ave 0.28mi 2/2.0 1,152 (-7%) 21mo $85,000 $74 57
2556 Georgia St 0.35mi 2/2.0 1,396 (+12%) 11mo $172,000 $123 54
3248 Fairmount Dr 0.44mi 2/2.0 1,056 (-15%) 6mo $140,000 $133 49
2349 Georgia St 0.24mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,086 (-13%) 17mo $133,000 $122 46
2602 Georgia St 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,056 (-15%) 14mo $178,000 $169 46
3201 New York Ave 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+8%) 16mo $150,000 $112 45
3248 New York Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+8%) 21mo $135,500 $101 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$13,578
Equity at exit
$16,237
10-year hold
IRR
19.3%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$46,238
Equity at exit
$9,416

Cash invested: $30,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33872

Home prices YoY
-25.8%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
700
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,616 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$571
Tax est. 1.5%
$136 /mo · $1,634/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$524

Break-even live

Break-even rent $953
Max offer price $108,900
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,225
Closing costs
$3,267
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $108,900 Active 356 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $108,900 Active 355 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $108,900 Active 354 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $108,900 Active 353 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $108,900 Active 352 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $108,900 Active 350 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $108,900 Active 347 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $108,900 Active 346 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $108,900 Active 345 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $108,900 Active 344 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $108,900 Active 339 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $108,900 Active 338 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $108,900 Active 337 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $108,900 Active 336 DOM
  15. 2026-02-24
    price $108,900
  16. 2025-12-27
    status Active
  17. 2025-12-20
    historical
  18. 2025-08-23
    price $109,900
  19. 2025-06-19
    listed $115,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,389
− Mortgage interest
−$6,100
− Property taxes
−$1,634
− Insurance
−$544
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,551
− Management
−$1,551
− Depreciation
−$3,168
Taxable income
$4,841
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,162
After-tax cash flow
$5,125/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highlands
NCES district ID
1200840
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,276
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4672
State rank
#54 of 73 in FL

Livability — Sebring

Score
66/100
State rank
#618
US rank
#11992

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Highlands County · 98,898 people
City population
50,797
Metro
Sebring-Avon Park, FL
Population (ZIP)
13,746
Household income
$69,578
Rent vs Own
10.6% rent · 89.4% own
Severe rent burden
222.0

Population outlook (Highlands County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,674 people
By 2030
99,615 · -0.1%
By 2040
99,342 · -0.3%
By 2050
98,242 · -1.4%
By 2075
93,291 · -6.4%
By 2100
79,894 · -19.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 5% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Russian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Highlands

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.8) · D 29.3% · R 70.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -40.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.8 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+32.0 2012: R+23.0 2008: R+18.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.20%
Current HPI
225.3761
Rent YoY
▲ 1.65%
Metro
Sebring-Avon Park, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $108,900 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-12-27 Relisted HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-12-20 Delisted HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-08-23 Price Changed $109,900 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-06-19 Listed $115,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…