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12019 NE 212th Street Rd
B+ Composite 76.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

12019 NE 212th Street Rd · Fort Mc Coy, FL 32134
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,093 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 187 Days on market
Built 1965 0.47 ac lot $69/sqft · 50% below area Est $150k · 50% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUNTING, FISHING, QUIET AND PEACEFUL FLORIDA SURROUNDINGS FOR YOUR NEW HOME. ALMOST 1/2 ACRE IN FORT MCCOY! ON A PAVED ROAD!! Block home with a wonderful workshop, shed and fenced yard. Great Potential! 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in a country-like setting. Hardwood flooring and HISTORIC charm. The kitchen leads directly to a convenient laundry area. A Large bonus room with ceramic tile offers additional living space that can really be almost anything. This property includes a well and septic system. Additional features include a large storage closet, a detached shed, and a workshop—ideal for all your toys and equipment. Bring your vision and transform this home into your idea retreat! Whether you are looking for a Retirement Retreat, Hunting Camp or just some great Rural Living, this is potentially Your New Home!

Key facts

  • Paved road
  • Large bonus room
  • Fenced yard

Tags

ALMOST 1/2 ACREPAVED ROADWORKSHOPFENCED YARDCONVENIENT LAUNDRY AREALARGE BONUS ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $672 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Fort Mccoy School (math 35% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,697 of 2,144 statewide, top 80%, 964 students, 73% FRL); North Marion High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #494 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 1,303 students, 66% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Marion average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 302 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $27k; list at $75k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
17.04%
Cash-on-cash
38.38%
DSCR
2.71
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$149,737
List price
$75,000
Delta
-49.91%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.5%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$30,623
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
41.3%
Equity multiple
4.89×
Total profit
$81,749
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32134

Home prices YoY
-24.4%
Active inventory
302
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,462 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $703/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$307
Net cashflow
$672

Break-even live

Break-even rent $612
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $714 -5% $693 +0% $672 +5% $650 +10% $629
Rent -10% $556 -5% $614 +0% $672 +5% $729 +10% $787
Rate -1.0pp $709 -0.5pp $691 base $672 +0.5pp $652 +1.0pp $632

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    price $75,000 831-char remark
    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    HUNTING, FISHING, QUIET AND PEACEFUL FLORIDA SURROUNDINGS FOR YOUR NEW HOME. ALMOST 1/2 ACRE IN FORT MCCOY! ON A PAVED ROAD!! Block home with a wonderful workshop, shed and fenced yard. Great Potential! 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in a country-like setting. Hardwood flooring and HISTORIC charm. The kitchen leads directly to a convenient laundry area. A Large bonus room with ceramic tile offers additional living space that can really be almost anything. This property includes a well and septic system. Additional features include a large storage closet, a detached shed, and a workshop—ideal for all your toys and equipment. Bring your vision and transform this home into your idea retreat! Whether you are looking for a Retirement Retreat, Hunting Camp or just some great Rural Living, this is potentially Your New Home!

  2. 2026-05-13
    status Active 831-char remark
    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    HUNTING, FISHING, QUIET AND PEACEFUL FLORIDA SURROUNDINGS FOR YOUR NEW HOME. ALMOST 1/2 ACRE IN FORT MCCOY! ON A PAVED ROAD!! Block home with a wonderful workshop, shed and fenced yard. Great Potential! 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in a country-like setting. Hardwood flooring and HISTORIC charm. The kitchen leads directly to a convenient laundry area. A Large bonus room with ceramic tile offers additional living space that can really be almost anything. This property includes a well and septic system. Additional features include a large storage closet, a detached shed, and a workshop—ideal for all your toys and equipment. Bring your vision and transform this home into your idea retreat! Whether you are looking for a Retirement Retreat, Hunting Camp or just some great Rural Living, this is potentially Your New Home!

  3. 2026-04-03
    status Pending 831-char remark
    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    HUNTING, FISHING, QUIET AND PEACEFUL FLORIDA SURROUNDINGS FOR YOUR NEW HOME. ALMOST 1/2 ACRE IN FORT MCCOY! ON A PAVED ROAD!! Block home with a wonderful workshop, shed and fenced yard. Great Potential! 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in a country-like setting. Hardwood flooring and HISTORIC charm. The kitchen leads directly to a convenient laundry area. A Large bonus room with ceramic tile offers additional living space that can really be almost anything. This property includes a well and septic system. Additional features include a large storage closet, a detached shed, and a workshop—ideal for all your toys and equipment. Bring your vision and transform this home into your idea retreat! Whether you are looking for a Retirement Retreat, Hunting Camp or just some great Rural Living, this is potentially Your New Home!

  4. 2026-02-23
    price $85,000 831-char remark
    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    HUNTING, FISHING, QUIET AND PEACEFUL FLORIDA SURROUNDINGS FOR YOUR NEW HOME. ALMOST 1/2 ACRE IN FORT MCCOY! ON A PAVED ROAD!! Block home with a wonderful workshop, shed and fenced yard. Great Potential! 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in a country-like setting. Hardwood flooring and HISTORIC charm. The kitchen leads directly to a convenient laundry area. A Large bonus room with ceramic tile offers additional living space that can really be almost anything. This property includes a well and septic system. Additional features include a large storage closet, a detached shed, and a workshop—ideal for all your toys and equipment. Bring your vision and transform this home into your idea retreat! Whether you are looking for a Retirement Retreat, Hunting Camp or just some great Rural Living, this is potentially Your New Home!

  5. 2026-02-20
    status Active 831-char remark
    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    HUNTING, FISHING, QUIET AND PEACEFUL FLORIDA SURROUNDINGS FOR YOUR NEW HOME. ALMOST 1/2 ACRE IN FORT MCCOY! ON A PAVED ROAD!! Block home with a wonderful workshop, shed and fenced yard. Great Potential! 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in a country-like setting. Hardwood flooring and HISTORIC charm. The kitchen leads directly to a convenient laundry area. A Large bonus room with ceramic tile offers additional living space that can really be almost anything. This property includes a well and septic system. Additional features include a large storage closet, a detached shed, and a workshop—ideal for all your toys and equipment. Bring your vision and transform this home into your idea retreat! Whether you are looking for a Retirement Retreat, Hunting Camp or just some great Rural Living, this is potentially Your New Home!

  6. 2026-02-10
    status Pending 831-char remark
    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    HUNTING, FISHING, QUIET AND PEACEFUL FLORIDA SURROUNDINGS FOR YOUR NEW HOME. ALMOST 1/2 ACRE IN FORT MCCOY! ON A PAVED ROAD!! Block home with a wonderful workshop, shed and fenced yard. Great Potential! 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in a country-like setting. Hardwood flooring and HISTORIC charm. The kitchen leads directly to a convenient laundry area. A Large bonus room with ceramic tile offers additional living space that can really be almost anything. This property includes a well and septic system. Additional features include a large storage closet, a detached shed, and a workshop—ideal for all your toys and equipment. Bring your vision and transform this home into your idea retreat! Whether you are looking for a Retirement Retreat, Hunting Camp or just some great Rural Living, this is potentially Your New Home!

  7. 2025-12-09
    price $94,900 831-char remark
    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    HUNTING, FISHING, QUIET AND PEACEFUL FLORIDA SURROUNDINGS FOR YOUR NEW HOME. ALMOST 1/2 ACRE IN FORT MCCOY! ON A PAVED ROAD!! Block home with a wonderful workshop, shed and fenced yard. Great Potential! 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in a country-like setting. Hardwood flooring and HISTORIC charm. The kitchen leads directly to a convenient laundry area. A Large bonus room with ceramic tile offers additional living space that can really be almost anything. This property includes a well and septic system. Additional features include a large storage closet, a detached shed, and a workshop—ideal for all your toys and equipment. Bring your vision and transform this home into your idea retreat! Whether you are looking for a Retirement Retreat, Hunting Camp or just some great Rural Living, this is potentially Your New Home!

  8. 2025-10-26
    price $105,000 831-char remark
    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    HUNTING, FISHING, QUIET AND PEACEFUL FLORIDA SURROUNDINGS FOR YOUR NEW HOME. ALMOST 1/2 ACRE IN FORT MCCOY! ON A PAVED ROAD!! Block home with a wonderful workshop, shed and fenced yard. Great Potential! 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in a country-like setting. Hardwood flooring and HISTORIC charm. The kitchen leads directly to a convenient laundry area. A Large bonus room with ceramic tile offers additional living space that can really be almost anything. This property includes a well and septic system. Additional features include a large storage closet, a detached shed, and a workshop—ideal for all your toys and equipment. Bring your vision and transform this home into your idea retreat! Whether you are looking for a Retirement Retreat, Hunting Camp or just some great Rural Living, this is potentially Your New Home!

  9. 2025-10-03
    listed $125,000 Active 831-char remark
    Show marketing remark (831 chars)

    HUNTING, FISHING, QUIET AND PEACEFUL FLORIDA SURROUNDINGS FOR YOUR NEW HOME. ALMOST 1/2 ACRE IN FORT MCCOY! ON A PAVED ROAD!! Block home with a wonderful workshop, shed and fenced yard. Great Potential! 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in a country-like setting. Hardwood flooring and HISTORIC charm. The kitchen leads directly to a convenient laundry area. A Large bonus room with ceramic tile offers additional living space that can really be almost anything. This property includes a well and septic system. Additional features include a large storage closet, a detached shed, and a workshop—ideal for all your toys and equipment. Bring your vision and transform this home into your idea retreat! Whether you are looking for a Retirement Retreat, Hunting Camp or just some great Rural Living, this is potentially Your New Home!

  10. 2025-09-22
    historical
  11. 2025-08-15
    price $139,000
  12. 2025-07-24
    price $149,900
  13. 2025-06-25
    listed $165,000 Active
  14. 1997-12-10
    soldstatus $27,000
  15. 1983-09-01
    soldstatus $16,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$703 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$703 · $59/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,540
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$703
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,403
− Management
−$1,403
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$7,273
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,746
After-tax cash flow
$6,314/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Fort Mc Coy

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,400

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.45%
Current HPI
224.9549
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+346.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-03 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $85,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-20 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-10 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $94,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-26 Price Changed $105,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-22 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-15 Price Changed $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-24 Price Changed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-25 Listed $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
  • 1983-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $703 · +47.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…