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3415 W 136th Pl
A- Composite 83.65
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$89,000

3415 W 136th Pl · Robbins, IL 60472
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,595 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 232 Days on market
Built 1919 $56/sqft · 41% below area Est $103k · 14% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

See the potential in this bungalow styled home in Robbins. Home has 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, living room, dining room and kitchen. Home sits on a large lot. This property is being sold as is and the room sizes are estimated.

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • Bungalow styled home
  • Listed 231 days

Tags

BUNGALOW STYLED HOMELARGE LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $982 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#583 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Chsd 218 (suburban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #454 of 620 in IL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 232 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $78,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 232 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.46%
Cap rate
19.53%
Cash-on-cash
47.29%
DSCR
3.10
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$103,340
List price
$89,000
Delta
-13.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3408 W 137th St 0.04mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,692 (+6%) 13mo $195,000 $115 70
13609 S Crawford Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,505 (-6%) 6mo $220,000 $146 48
13418 S Hamlin Ave 0.56mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,400 (-12%) 9mo $15,000 $11 39
14004 Whipple St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,442 (-10%) 11mo $175,000 $121 36
14008 Whipple St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,378 (-14%) 23mo $185,000 $134 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
61.3%
Equity multiple
5.46×
Total profit
$111,131
Equity at exit
$80,178
10-year hold
IRR
54.9%
Equity multiple
12.17×
Total profit
$278,309
Equity at exit
$172,907

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60472

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,193 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$247 /mo · $2,959/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$461
Net cashflow
$982

Break-even live

Break-even rent $950
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3025 140th St Blue Island, IL 4.0 1.0 1144 $2,000 $1.75 1d 1 0.69mi
3028 141st St Blue Island, IL 4.0 1.0 1144 $1,911 $1.67 1d 1 0.75mi
2640 Vermont St Unit 1 Blue Island, IL 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,200 $1.47 1d 1 1.21mi
14336 S Harrison Ave Posen, IL 4.0 3.0 1707 $2,600 $1.52 1d 1 1.25mi
13308 Old Western Ave Unit 2 Blue Island, IL 3.0 1.5 1350 $2,200 $1.63 11d 1 1.29mi
13308 Old Western Ave Unit 2 Blue Island, IL 3.0 1.5 1350 $2,200 $1.63 22d 1 1.29mi
2261 136th St Blue Island, IL 4.0 2.0 2230 $2,500 $1.12 16d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 232 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    status $89,000 Active 231 DOM
  3. 2026-03-23
    price $89,000 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    See the potential in this bungalow styled home in Robbins. Home has 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, living room, dining room and kitchen. Home sits on a large lot. This property is being sold as is and the room sizes are estimated.

  4. 2025-12-09
    status Active 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    See the potential in this bungalow styled home in Robbins. Home has 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, living room, dining room and kitchen. Home sits on a large lot. This property is being sold as is and the room sizes are estimated.

  5. 2025-10-28
    status Pending 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    See the potential in this bungalow styled home in Robbins. Home has 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, living room, dining room and kitchen. Home sits on a large lot. This property is being sold as is and the room sizes are estimated.

  6. 2025-08-29
    listed $95,000 Active 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    See the potential in this bungalow styled home in Robbins. Home has 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, living room, dining room and kitchen. Home sits on a large lot. This property is being sold as is and the room sizes are estimated.

  7. 2025-06-21
    historical
  8. 2025-05-21
    status Active
  9. 2025-05-11
    historical
  10. 2025-04-14
    status Active
  11. 2025-04-03
    historical
  12. 2025-01-07
    status Active
  13. 2025-01-03
    historical
  14. 2024-10-25
    status Active
  15. 2024-08-17
    historical
  16. 2024-08-17
    status Temporarily No Showings
  17. 2024-07-15
    historical
  18. 2024-07-13
    listed Temporarily No Showings

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,959 · $247/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,959 · $247/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,315
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$2,959
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,105
− Management
−$2,105
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$11,126
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,670
After-tax cash flow
$9,114/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chsd 218
NCES district ID
1706540
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$57,166
Composite
16.09/100
National rank
#9235
State rank
#454 of 620 in IL

Livability — Robbins

Score
66/100
State rank
#583
US rank
#12161

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Robbins, IL
City population
4,961
Population (ZIP)
4,961

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 4% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.74%
Current HPI
494.1622
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $89,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-09 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-28 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-29 Listed $95,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-21 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-21 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-11 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-14 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-03 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-07 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-03 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-25 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-17 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-17 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-15 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-13 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+15.7%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,959 · +134.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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