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201 Maple Ave
A- Composite 80.31
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$78,000

201 Maple Ave · Butler, PA 16001
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,904 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1900 2,178 sqft lot $41/sqft · 19% below area Est $97k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Exceptional investment opportunity with this charming two-story half-house with private ownership and off-street parking.

Key facts

  • Two-story half-house
  • Off-street parking
  • 2,178 sq ft lot

Tags

TWO-STORY HALF-HOUSEOFF-STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $695 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 3.8% in Butler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#705 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, schools A-; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Butler Area SD (town): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #181 of 539 in PA (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+20.4%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $78k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $73,320 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.98%
Cap rate
16.99%
Cash-on-cash
38.21%
DSCR
2.70
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$96,523
List price
$78,000
Delta
-19.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
110 Wallula Ave 0.49mi 5/2.0 1,815 (-5%) 2mo $147,000 $81 64
404 S Monroe St 0.10mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,786 (-6%) 19mo $122,900 $69 61
115 Mcclain Ave 0.10mi 4/1.5 (-1) 2,124 (+12%) 14mo $115,000 $54 57
440 E Pearl St 0.70mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,746 (-8%) 4mo $141,250 $81 44
306 E Locust St 0.49mi 5/2.0 1,730 (-9%) 22mo $119,000 $69 40
230 E Patterson Ave 0.50mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,650 (-13%) 13mo $197,000 $119 39
218 Wallula Ave 0.44mi 4/3.5 (-1) 1,728 (-9%) 13mo $140,000 $81 38
116 E Rockenstein Ave 0.71mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,688 (-11%) 5mo $305,304 $181 33
217 E Penn St 0.64mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,700 (-11%) 19mo $46,541 $27 31
200 3rd St 0.52mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,624 (-15%) 17mo $152,900 $94 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.8%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$39,825
Equity at exit
$11,630
10-year hold
IRR
48.5%
Equity multiple
6.90×
Total profit
$128,896
Equity at exit
$6,744

Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16001

Home prices YoY
-31.7%
Rents YoY
20.4%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,544 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$409
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $989/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$695

Break-even live

Break-even rent $663
Max offer price $78,000
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,500
Closing costs
$2,340
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $78,000 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $78,000 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $78,000 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $78,000 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $78,000 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $78,000 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $78,000 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $78,000 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $78,000 Active 62 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $78,000 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $78,000 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $78,000 Active 56 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $78,000 Active 55 DOM
  14. 2026-04-02
    listed $78,000 Active 121-char remark
    Show marketing remark (121 chars)

    Exceptional investment opportunity with this charming two-story half-house with private ownership and off-street parking.

  15. 2024-04-30
    status Pending 104-char remark
    Show marketing remark (104 chars)

    A great investment. This 2 story half of a house offers the opportunity to own your own! Off/ St Parking

  16. 2024-04-30
    soldstatus $30,000 Closed 104-char remark
    Show marketing remark (104 chars)

    A great investment. This 2 story half of a house offers the opportunity to own your own! Off/ St Parking

  17. 2024-03-04
    historical Contingent 104-char remark
    Show marketing remark (104 chars)

    A great investment. This 2 story half of a house offers the opportunity to own your own! Off/ St Parking

  18. 2024-02-26
    listed $25,000 Active 104-char remark
    Show marketing remark (104 chars)

    A great investment. This 2 story half of a house offers the opportunity to own your own! Off/ St Parking

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$989 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,111 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$122/yr (+$10/mo · 12.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,522
− Mortgage interest
−$4,369
− Property taxes
−$989
− Insurance
−$390
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,482
− Management
−$1,482
− Depreciation
−$2,269
Taxable income
$7,542
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,810
After-tax cash flow
$6,535/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Butler Area SD
NCES district ID
4204590
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$49,348
Composite
42.65/100
National rank
#3180
State rank
#181 of 539 in PA

Livability — Butler

Score
71/100
State rank
#705
US rank
#6951

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Butler, PA
County
Butler County · 73,107 people
City population
39,234
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
39,234
Household income
$63,635
Rent vs Own
31.6% rent · 68.4% own
Severe rent burden
1441.0

Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
190,777 people
By 2030
191,476 · +0.4%
By 2040
189,474 · -0.7%
By 2050
182,050 · -4.6%
By 2075
159,526 · -16.4%
By 2100
129,028 · -32.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Serbian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Butler

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.5% · R 65.7%
2008→2024 swing
-4.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -32.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.40%
Current HPI
222.4445
Rent YoY
▲ 20.36%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+212.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $78,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-04-30 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2024-04-30 Sold (MLS) $30,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2024-03-04 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2024-02-26 Listed $25,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $989 · -6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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