201 Maple Ave · Butler, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$78,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Exceptional investment opportunity with this charming two-story half-house with private ownership and off-street parking.
Key facts
- Two-story half-house
- Off-street parking
- 2,178 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $695 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 3.8% in Butler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#705 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, schools A-; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Butler Area SD (town): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #181 of 539 in PA (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+20.4%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $78k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.21%
- DSCR
- 2.70
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $96,523
- List price
- $78,000
- Delta
- -19.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Wallula Ave | 0.49mi | 5/2.0 | 1,815 (-5%) | 2mo | $147,000 | $81 | 64 |
| 404 S Monroe St | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,786 (-6%) | 19mo | $122,900 | $69 | 61 |
| 115 Mcclain Ave | 0.10mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 2,124 (+12%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $54 | 57 |
| 440 E Pearl St | 0.70mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,746 (-8%) | 4mo | $141,250 | $81 | 44 |
| 306 E Locust St | 0.49mi | 5/2.0 | 1,730 (-9%) | 22mo | $119,000 | $69 | 40 |
| 230 E Patterson Ave | 0.50mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,650 (-13%) | 13mo | $197,000 | $119 | 39 |
| 218 Wallula Ave | 0.44mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 1,728 (-9%) | 13mo | $140,000 | $81 | 38 |
| 116 E Rockenstein Ave | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,688 (-11%) | 5mo | $305,304 | $181 | 33 |
| 217 E Penn St | 0.64mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,700 (-11%) | 19mo | $46,541 | $27 | 31 |
| 200 3rd St | 0.52mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,624 (-15%) | 17mo | $152,900 | $94 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $39,825
- Equity at exit
- $11,630
- IRR
- 48.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.90×
- Total profit
- $128,896
- Equity at exit
- $6,744
Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16001
- Home prices YoY
- -31.7%
- Rents YoY
- 20.4%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,544 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $989/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$324
- Net cashflow
- $695
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,500
- Closing costs
- $2,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $78,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $78,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $78,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $78,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $78,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $78,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $78,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $78,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $78,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $78,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $78,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $78,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-04-02$78,000 Active 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Exceptional investment opportunity with this charming two-story half-house with private ownership and off-street parking.
-
2024-04-30status Pending 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
A great investment. This 2 story half of a house offers the opportunity to own your own! Off/ St Parking
-
2024-04-30soldstatus $30,000 Closed 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
A great investment. This 2 story half of a house offers the opportunity to own your own! Off/ St Parking
-
2024-03-04historical Contingent 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
A great investment. This 2 story half of a house offers the opportunity to own your own! Off/ St Parking
-
2024-02-26$25,000 Active 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
A great investment. This 2 story half of a house offers the opportunity to own your own! Off/ St Parking
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $989 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,111 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$122/yr (+$10/mo · 12.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,522
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,369
- − Property taxes
- −$989
- − Insurance
- −$390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,482
- − Management
- −$1,482
- − Depreciation
- −$2,269
- Taxable income
- $7,542
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,810
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,535/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Butler Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204590
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,348
- Composite
- 42.65/100
- National rank
- #3180
- State rank
- #181 of 539 in PA
Livability — Butler
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #705
- US rank
- #6951
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Butler, PA
- County
- Butler County · 73,107 people
- City population
- 39,234
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,234
- Household income
- $63,635
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1441.0
Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 190,777 people
- By 2030
- 191,476 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 189,474 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 182,050 · -4.6%
- By 2075
- 159,526 · -16.4%
- By 2100
- 129,028 · -32.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Serbian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Butler
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.5% · R 65.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -32.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.40%
- Current HPI
- 222.4445
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 20.36%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+212.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Listed $78,000 West Penn MLS
- 2024-04-30 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2024-04-30 Sold (MLS) $30,000 West Penn MLS
- 2024-03-04 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2024-02-26 Listed $25,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2026): $989 · -6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…