1711 Teton River Dr · Blue Ridge, TX 75424

$270,999

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,593 sqft · Land · 96 Days on market

Built 2025 4,796 sqft lot $54/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 4% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +6.8/30.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• Livability +2.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +2.0/10.0
• DSCR +1.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

MLS# 21173385 - Built by Impression Homes - Ready Now! ~ Discover this stunning single-family residence in the desirable Creekside Ranch, completed in 2025. Boasting 1,593 square feet of thoughtfully designed space, this traditional home features three spacious bedrooms and two full bathrooms. The open floorplan seamlessly connects the living and dining areas, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen is a chef's dream with quartz counters, a convenient island, and a pantry. Enjoy the comfort of central heating and air conditioning. Located within the Blue Ridge ISD, this home is ideal for families seeking access to Blueridge Elementary, Middle, and High Schools. With a two-car garage, this property presents an exceptional opportunity for modern living.

Key facts

• Chef's dream kitchen
• Open floorplan
• 4,796 sq ft lot

Tags

• OPEN FLOORPLAN
• CHEF'S DREAM KITCHEN

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $271k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-420 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (22.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (29.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $191k (29.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.5% in Blue Ridge — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,305 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Blue Ridge ISD (rural): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #154 of 826 in TX (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Blue Ridge El (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #621 of 4,322 statewide, top 15%, 478 students, 51% FRL); Blue Ridge Middle (math 52% / reading 47%, grade C, #356 of 1,662 statewide, top 23%, 213 students, 51% FRL); Blue Ridge H S (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 318 students, 50% FRL).
• Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($247k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $190,692 (29.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.70% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.43%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.65%
• DSCR: 0.70
• GRM: 11.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 19.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.59×
• Total profit: $120,883
• Equity at exit: $244,137

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.0%
• Equity multiple: 5.97×
• Total profit: $377,157
• Equity at exit: $526,491

Cash invested: $75,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75424

• Home prices YoY: 8.3%
• Active inventory: 207
• Price-to-rent: 11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,907 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,421
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$339 /mo · $4,065/yr
• Insurance: −$113
• HOA: −$54
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$400
• Net cashflow: $-420

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,439

Max offer price $210,174

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-233	-5% $-327	+0% $-420	+5% $-514	+10% $-608
Rent	-10% $-571	-5% $-496	+0% $-420	+5% $-345	+10% $-270
Rate	-1.0pp $-284	-0.5pp $-351	base $-420	+0.5pp $-491	+1.0pp $-562

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $67,750
• Closing costs: $8,130
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1701 Teton River Dr Blue Ridge, TX	3.0	2.0	1424	$1,895	$1.33	45d	1	0.04mi
1621 Fawn Creek Dr Blue Ridge, TX	3.0–4.0	2.0–2.5	1681	$1,975	$1.17	0d	5	0.11mi
1818 Potomac Ln Blue Ridge, TX	3.0	2.0	1334	$1,875	$1.41	14d	1	0.11mi
1818 Potomac Ln Blue Ridge, TX	3.0	2.0	1334	$1,875	$1.41	5d	1	0.11mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $54 · $648/yr

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-13
   status Pending 784-char remark

   Show marketing remark (784 chars)

   MLS# 21173385 - Built by Impression Homes - Ready Now! ~ Discover this stunning single-family residence in the desirable Creekside Ranch, completed in 2025. Boasting 1,593 square feet of thoughtfully designed space, this traditional home features three spacious bedrooms and two full bathrooms. The open floorplan seamlessly connects the living and dining areas, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen is a chef's dream with quartz counters, a convenient island, and a pantry. Enjoy the comfort of central heating and air conditioning. Located within the Blue Ridge ISD, this home is ideal for families seeking access to Blueridge Elementary, Middle, and High Schools. With a two-car garage, this property presents an exceptional opportunity for modern living.

2. 2026-03-06
   price $270,999 784-char remark

   Show marketing remark (784 chars)

   MLS# 21173385 - Built by Impression Homes - Ready Now! ~ Discover this stunning single-family residence in the desirable Creekside Ranch, completed in 2025. Boasting 1,593 square feet of thoughtfully designed space, this traditional home features three spacious bedrooms and two full bathrooms. The open floorplan seamlessly connects the living and dining areas, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen is a chef's dream with quartz counters, a convenient island, and a pantry. Enjoy the comfort of central heating and air conditioning. Located within the Blue Ridge ISD, this home is ideal for families seeking access to Blueridge Elementary, Middle, and High Schools. With a two-car garage, this property presents an exceptional opportunity for modern living.

3. 2026-02-06
   listed $280,999 Active 784-char remark

   Show marketing remark (784 chars)

   MLS# 21173385 - Built by Impression Homes - Ready Now! ~ Discover this stunning single-family residence in the desirable Creekside Ranch, completed in 2025. Boasting 1,593 square feet of thoughtfully designed space, this traditional home features three spacious bedrooms and two full bathrooms. The open floorplan seamlessly connects the living and dining areas, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen is a chef's dream with quartz counters, a convenient island, and a pantry. Enjoy the comfort of central heating and air conditioning. Located within the Blue Ridge ISD, this home is ideal for families seeking access to Blueridge Elementary, Middle, and High Schools. With a two-car garage, this property presents an exceptional opportunity for modern living.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,883
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,180
• − Property taxes: −$4,065
• − Insurance: −$1,355
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,831
• − Management: −$1,831
• − HOA: −$648
• − Depreciation: −$7,884
• Taxable loss: −$9,910
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,378
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,666/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Blue Ridge ISD
• NCES district ID: 4810590
• Math proficiency: 52% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $53,738
• Composite: 43.99/100
• National rank: #2894
• State rank: #154 of 826 in TX

Livability — Blue Ridge

• Score: 56/100
• State rank: #1305
• US rank: #22618

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 3,908
• Population (ZIP): 3,908

Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,210,074 people
• By 2030: 1,358,201 · +12.2%
• By 2040: 1,654,061 · +36.7%
• By 2050: 1,937,359 · +60.1%
• By 2075: 2,567,039 · +112.1%
• By 2100: 2,952,048 · +144.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 68% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 10% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 21%
• Common ancestry: Italian 6% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada
• Languages at home: 82% English-only · Spanish 16% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Collin

• 2024 margin: R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 27.07%
• Current HPI: 354.45
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-3.6% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-13 Pending — NTREIS
• 2026-03-06 Price Changed $270,999 NTREIS
• 2026-02-06 Listed $280,999 NTREIS

Property tax history

+19.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $177 · +19.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.