1160 Pebble Ridge Dr · Hampton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious and inviting, this home features an expansive open floor plan designed for comfortable living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen boasts abundant counter space, a large pantry, and flows seamlessly into the family room-perfect for gatherings. The main level also includes a separate living room, offering additional space to relax or entertain. The oversized primary suite is a true retreat, featuring a generously sized bedroom, an impressive walk-in closet with room for everything, and a large en-suite bath complete with a double vanity, separate shower, and soaking tub. Two of the three secondary bedrooms include walk-in closets, providing plenty of storage throughout the home. A two-car garage adds convenience and functionality to this well-appointed property.
Key facts
- 1,306 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-282 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (16.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (22.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $231k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#213 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 547 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.02%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $348,920
- List price
- $300,000
- Delta
- -14.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1423 Stone Ridge Ct | 0.30mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 3,016 (-1%) | 1mo | $329,900 | $109 | 79 |
| 1419 Stone Ridge Ct | 0.29mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 3,218 (+6%) | 4mo | $345,000 | $107 | 69 |
| 202 Millstone Dr | 0.49mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 3,084 (+1%) | 15mo | $330,000 | $107 | 55 |
| 294 Millstone Dr | 0.46mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,974 (-2%) | 20mo | $325,000 | $109 | 53 |
| 264 Millstone Dr | 0.38mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,672 (-12%) | 8mo | $345,000 | $129 | 49 |
| 354 Cobblestone Ct | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,738 (-10%) | 6mo | $304,000 | $111 | 48 |
| 1429 Stone Ridge Ct | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,607 (-14%) | 18mo | $345,500 | $133 | 41 |
| 363 Cobblestone Ct | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,665 (-12%) | 6mo | $345,000 | $129 | 41 |
| 274 Millstone Dr | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,649 (-13%) | 15mo | $315,000 | $119 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-68,348
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- -21.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.07×
- Total profit
- $-89,852
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30228
- Home prices YoY
- -24.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 547
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,315 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$370 /mo · $4,440/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$486
- Net cashflow
- $-282
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296 Millstone Dr Hampton, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2640 | $2,375 | $0.90 | 1d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 241 Fern Ct Hampton, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2640 | $1,900 | $0.72 | 4d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 252 Hedgewood Dr Hampton, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2710 | $2,226 | $0.82 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $300,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $300,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $300,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $300,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $300,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $300,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $300,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $300,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $300,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $300,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $300,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $300,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $300,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $310,000 784-char remark
Show marketing remark (790 chars)
Spacious and inviting, this home features an expansive open floor plan designed for comfortable living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen boasts abundant counter space, a large pantry, and flows seamlessly into the family room—perfect for gatherings. The main level also includes a separate living room, offering additional space to relax or entertain. The oversized primary suite is a true retreat, featuring a generously sized bedroom, an impressive walk-in closet with room for everything, and a large en-suite bath complete with a double vanity, separate shower, and soaking tub. Two of the three secondary bedrooms include walk-in closets, providing plenty of storage throughout the home. A two-car garage adds convenience and functionality to this well-appointed property.
-
2026-05-14price $310,000 790-char remark
Show marketing remark (790 chars)
Spacious and inviting, this home features an expansive open floor plan designed for comfortable living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen boasts abundant counter space, a large pantry, and flows seamlessly into the family room—perfect for gatherings. The main level also includes a separate living room, offering additional space to relax or entertain. The oversized primary suite is a true retreat, featuring a generously sized bedroom, an impressive walk-in closet with room for everything, and a large en-suite bath complete with a double vanity, separate shower, and soaking tub. Two of the three secondary bedrooms include walk-in closets, providing plenty of storage throughout the home. A two-car garage adds convenience and functionality to this well-appointed property.
-
2026-04-29price $320,000 784-char remark
Show marketing remark (790 chars)
Spacious and inviting, this home features an expansive open floor plan designed for comfortable living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen boasts abundant counter space, a large pantry, and flows seamlessly into the family room—perfect for gatherings. The main level also includes a separate living room, offering additional space to relax or entertain. The oversized primary suite is a true retreat, featuring a generously sized bedroom, an impressive walk-in closet with room for everything, and a large en-suite bath complete with a double vanity, separate shower, and soaking tub. Two of the three secondary bedrooms include walk-in closets, providing plenty of storage throughout the home. A two-car garage adds convenience and functionality to this well-appointed property.
-
2026-04-29price $320,000 790-char remark
Show marketing remark (790 chars)
Spacious and inviting, this home features an expansive open floor plan designed for comfortable living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen boasts abundant counter space, a large pantry, and flows seamlessly into the family room—perfect for gatherings. The main level also includes a separate living room, offering additional space to relax or entertain. The oversized primary suite is a true retreat, featuring a generously sized bedroom, an impressive walk-in closet with room for everything, and a large en-suite bath complete with a double vanity, separate shower, and soaking tub. Two of the three secondary bedrooms include walk-in closets, providing plenty of storage throughout the home. A two-car garage adds convenience and functionality to this well-appointed property.
-
2026-04-14$325,000 New 784-char remark
Show marketing remark (790 chars)
Spacious and inviting, this home features an expansive open floor plan designed for comfortable living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen boasts abundant counter space, a large pantry, and flows seamlessly into the family room—perfect for gatherings. The main level also includes a separate living room, offering additional space to relax or entertain. The oversized primary suite is a true retreat, featuring a generously sized bedroom, an impressive walk-in closet with room for everything, and a large en-suite bath complete with a double vanity, separate shower, and soaking tub. Two of the three secondary bedrooms include walk-in closets, providing plenty of storage throughout the home. A two-car garage adds convenience and functionality to this well-appointed property.
-
2026-04-14$325,000 Active 790-char remark
Show marketing remark (790 chars)
Spacious and inviting, this home features an expansive open floor plan designed for comfortable living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen boasts abundant counter space, a large pantry, and flows seamlessly into the family room—perfect for gatherings. The main level also includes a separate living room, offering additional space to relax or entertain. The oversized primary suite is a true retreat, featuring a generously sized bedroom, an impressive walk-in closet with room for everything, and a large en-suite bath complete with a double vanity, separate shower, and soaking tub. Two of the three secondary bedrooms include walk-in closets, providing plenty of storage throughout the home. A two-car garage adds convenience and functionality to this well-appointed property.
-
2026-03-11soldstatus $325,000
-
2016-10-19soldstatus $150,000
-
2007-11-08soldstatus $720,000
-
2006-02-15soldstatus $801,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,440 · $370/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,440 · $370/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,775
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$4,440
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,222
- − Management
- −$2,222
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$8,645
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,075
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,306/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henry County
- NCES district ID
- 1302820
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,594
- Composite
- 26.13/100
- National rank
- #7279
- State rank
- #89 of 174 in GA
Livability — Hampton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #213
- US rank
- #12664
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hampton, GA
- County
- Henry County · 316,359 people
- City population
- 52,402
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,402
- Household income
- $82,619
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1285.0
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 249,041 people
- By 2030
- 264,369 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 294,459 · +18.2%
- By 2050
- 322,249 · +29.4%
- By 2075
- 392,310 · +57.5%
- By 2100
- 437,836 · +75.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.11%
- Current HPI
- 222.0357
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.20%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-61.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $310,000 GAMLS
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $310,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $320,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $320,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $325,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $325,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $325,000 Public Records
- 2016-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2007-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $720,000 Public Records
- 2006-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $801,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,440 · -4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…