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1160 Pebble Ridge Dr
D- Composite 38.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

1160 Pebble Ridge Dr · Hampton, GA 30228
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 3,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 2017 1,306 sqft lot $99/sqft · 14% below area Est $349k · 14% under $42/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious and inviting, this home features an expansive open floor plan designed for comfortable living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen boasts abundant counter space, a large pantry, and flows seamlessly into the family room-perfect for gatherings. The main level also includes a separate living room, offering additional space to relax or entertain. The oversized primary suite is a true retreat, featuring a generously sized bedroom, an impressive walk-in closet with room for everything, and a large en-suite bath complete with a double vanity, separate shower, and soaking tub. Two of the three secondary bedrooms include walk-in closets, providing plenty of storage throughout the home. A two-car garage adds convenience and functionality to this well-appointed property.

Key facts

  • 1,306 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-282 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (16.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (22.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $231k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#213 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Henry County (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #89 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 547 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,989 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (92 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henry County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $231,455 (22.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.17%
Cash-on-cash
-4.02%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$348,920
List price
$300,000
Delta
-14.02%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1423 Stone Ridge Ct 0.30mi 4/2.5 (+1) 3,016 (-1%) 1mo $329,900 $109 79
1419 Stone Ridge Ct 0.29mi 4/2.5 (+1) 3,218 (+6%) 4mo $345,000 $107 69
202 Millstone Dr 0.49mi 4/3.0 (+1) 3,084 (+1%) 15mo $330,000 $107 55
294 Millstone Dr 0.46mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,974 (-2%) 20mo $325,000 $109 53
264 Millstone Dr 0.38mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,672 (-12%) 8mo $345,000 $129 49
354 Cobblestone Ct 0.54mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,738 (-10%) 6mo $304,000 $111 48
1429 Stone Ridge Ct 0.33mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,607 (-14%) 18mo $345,500 $133 41
363 Cobblestone Ct 0.57mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,665 (-12%) 6mo $345,000 $129 41
274 Millstone Dr 0.43mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,649 (-13%) 15mo $315,000 $119 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.0%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-68,348
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
-21.4%
Equity multiple
-0.07×
Total profit
$-89,852
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30228

Home prices YoY
-24.3%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
547
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,315 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$370 /mo · $4,440/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$42
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$486
Net cashflow
$-282

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,671
Max offer price $250,229
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
296 Millstone Dr Hampton, GA 4.0 3.0 2640 $2,375 $0.90 1d 1 0.48mi
241 Fern Ct Hampton, GA 3.0 2.0 2640 $1,900 $0.72 4d 1 1.32mi
252 Hedgewood Dr Hampton, GA 4.0 3.0 2710 $2,226 $0.82 22d 1 1.34mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$42 · $504/yr

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $300,000 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $300,000 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $300,000 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $300,000 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $300,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $300,000 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $300,000 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $300,000 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $300,000 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $300,000 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $300,000 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $300,000 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $300,000 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-05-14
    price $310,000 784-char remark
    Show marketing remark (790 chars)

    Spacious and inviting, this home features an expansive open floor plan designed for comfortable living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen boasts abundant counter space, a large pantry, and flows seamlessly into the family room—perfect for gatherings. The main level also includes a separate living room, offering additional space to relax or entertain. The oversized primary suite is a true retreat, featuring a generously sized bedroom, an impressive walk-in closet with room for everything, and a large en-suite bath complete with a double vanity, separate shower, and soaking tub. Two of the three secondary bedrooms include walk-in closets, providing plenty of storage throughout the home. A two-car garage adds convenience and functionality to this well-appointed property.

  15. 2026-05-14
    price $310,000 790-char remark
    Show marketing remark (790 chars)

    Spacious and inviting, this home features an expansive open floor plan designed for comfortable living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen boasts abundant counter space, a large pantry, and flows seamlessly into the family room—perfect for gatherings. The main level also includes a separate living room, offering additional space to relax or entertain. The oversized primary suite is a true retreat, featuring a generously sized bedroom, an impressive walk-in closet with room for everything, and a large en-suite bath complete with a double vanity, separate shower, and soaking tub. Two of the three secondary bedrooms include walk-in closets, providing plenty of storage throughout the home. A two-car garage adds convenience and functionality to this well-appointed property.

  16. 2026-04-29
    price $320,000 784-char remark
    Show marketing remark (790 chars)

    Spacious and inviting, this home features an expansive open floor plan designed for comfortable living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen boasts abundant counter space, a large pantry, and flows seamlessly into the family room—perfect for gatherings. The main level also includes a separate living room, offering additional space to relax or entertain. The oversized primary suite is a true retreat, featuring a generously sized bedroom, an impressive walk-in closet with room for everything, and a large en-suite bath complete with a double vanity, separate shower, and soaking tub. Two of the three secondary bedrooms include walk-in closets, providing plenty of storage throughout the home. A two-car garage adds convenience and functionality to this well-appointed property.

  17. 2026-04-29
    price $320,000 790-char remark
    Show marketing remark (790 chars)

    Spacious and inviting, this home features an expansive open floor plan designed for comfortable living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen boasts abundant counter space, a large pantry, and flows seamlessly into the family room—perfect for gatherings. The main level also includes a separate living room, offering additional space to relax or entertain. The oversized primary suite is a true retreat, featuring a generously sized bedroom, an impressive walk-in closet with room for everything, and a large en-suite bath complete with a double vanity, separate shower, and soaking tub. Two of the three secondary bedrooms include walk-in closets, providing plenty of storage throughout the home. A two-car garage adds convenience and functionality to this well-appointed property.

  18. 2026-04-14
    listed $325,000 New 784-char remark
    Show marketing remark (790 chars)

    Spacious and inviting, this home features an expansive open floor plan designed for comfortable living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen boasts abundant counter space, a large pantry, and flows seamlessly into the family room—perfect for gatherings. The main level also includes a separate living room, offering additional space to relax or entertain. The oversized primary suite is a true retreat, featuring a generously sized bedroom, an impressive walk-in closet with room for everything, and a large en-suite bath complete with a double vanity, separate shower, and soaking tub. Two of the three secondary bedrooms include walk-in closets, providing plenty of storage throughout the home. A two-car garage adds convenience and functionality to this well-appointed property.

  19. 2026-04-14
    listed $325,000 Active 790-char remark
    Show marketing remark (790 chars)

    Spacious and inviting, this home features an expansive open floor plan designed for comfortable living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen boasts abundant counter space, a large pantry, and flows seamlessly into the family room—perfect for gatherings. The main level also includes a separate living room, offering additional space to relax or entertain. The oversized primary suite is a true retreat, featuring a generously sized bedroom, an impressive walk-in closet with room for everything, and a large en-suite bath complete with a double vanity, separate shower, and soaking tub. Two of the three secondary bedrooms include walk-in closets, providing plenty of storage throughout the home. A two-car garage adds convenience and functionality to this well-appointed property.

  20. 2026-03-11
    soldstatus $325,000
  21. 2016-10-19
    soldstatus $150,000
  22. 2007-11-08
    soldstatus $720,000
  23. 2006-02-15
    soldstatus $801,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,440 · $370/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,440 · $370/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,775
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$4,440
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,222
− Management
−$2,222
− HOA
−$504
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$8,645
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,075
After-tax cash flow
$-1,306/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
1302820
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$62,594
Composite
26.13/100
National rank
#7279
State rank
#89 of 174 in GA

Livability — Hampton

Score
65/100
State rank
#213
US rank
#12664

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hampton, GA
County
Henry County · 316,359 people
City population
52,402
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
52,402
Household income
$82,619
Rent vs Own
27.9% rent · 72.1% own
Severe rent burden
1285.0

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
249,041 people
By 2030
264,369 · +6.2%
By 2040
294,459 · +18.2%
By 2050
322,249 · +29.4%
By 2075
392,310 · +57.5%
By 2100
437,836 · +75.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 64.5% · R 34.9%
2008→2024 swing
+37.1pp toward D · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+20.5 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+7.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.11%
Current HPI
222.0357
Rent YoY
▲ 2.20%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-61.3% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $310,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $310,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $320,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $320,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $325,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $325,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $325,000 Public Records
  • 2016-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 2007-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $720,000 Public Records
  • 2006-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $801,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,440 · -4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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