🏷️ Likely Rental
66 California St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Appreciation +8.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
West Side double with a one car garage, dry basement and fully rented. Long term tenants. Rents can be much higher. Updated electrical service and newer hot water tanks. Lots of new windows. Glass block windows. Section 8 approved!!
Key facts
- Turn-key opportunity
- Natural light
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Owner pays trash collection and water; Rent includes trash collection and water; Two separate electric meters and two separate gas meters; Operating expenses include trash and water/sewer; Current listed rents shown as $1,000 per unit
Exterior
- Parking: No driveway; On-street parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story multi-family (two-unit) residence; Residential 2-unit zoning; Resale property
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Copper plumbing; Asphalt roof; Built (existing structure)
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Open porch; Porch; Corner lot; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Each unit includes an oven/range and refrigerator; One unit mentions a formal dining room (dining area adjacent to kitchen)
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units
- Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom (2 full bathrooms total)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Natural woodwork; Storage
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $508/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,596/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 1501% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.87%
- DSCR
- 2.11
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $279,778
- List price
- $174,900
- Delta
- -37.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 428 Normal Ave | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 1,680 (+5%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $107 | 74 |
| 875 West Ave | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,696 (+6%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $97 | 72 |
| 23 Sherwood St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,830 (+14%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $82 | 61 |
| 118 Auburn Ave | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 1,760 (+10%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $148 | 60 |
| 73 Baynes St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 | 1,698 (+6%) | 6mo | $199,900 | $118 | 60 |
| 319 Breckenridge St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,632 (+2%) | 22mo | $159,900 | $98 | 58 |
| 475 W Ferry St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,740 (+9%) | 6mo | $236,900 | $136 | 49 |
| 647 Prospect Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,625 (+2%) | 19mo | $148,500 | $91 | 46 |
| 105 15th St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,564 (-2%) | 22mo | $180,000 | $115 | 45 |
| 228 Potomac Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,782 (+11%) | 10mo | $325,000 | $182 | 33 |
| 158 16th St | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 | 1,817 (+14%) | 17mo | $295,000 | $162 | 33 |
| 35 Livingston St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,816 (+14%) | 20mo | $250,000 | $138 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.51% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $123,608
- Equity at exit
- $127,113
- IRR
- 32.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.05×
- Total profit
- $296,485
- Equity at exit
- $247,010
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14213
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,596 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $548/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$545
- Net cashflow
- $1,015
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,596 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,298 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,298 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,596 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 Hampshire St Apt 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 375 Hampshire St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 311 Herkimer St #1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 40 Putnam St Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 478 Breckenridge St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,575 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 161 16th St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 232 Dewitt St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 184 14th St Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1950 | $4,400 | $2.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 124 Normal Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1727 | $2,000 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 330 Bryant St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2224 | $2,200 | $0.99 | 20d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 305 Bird Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1128 | $2,300 | $2.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 309 Bird Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 118 Ashland Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1326 | $1,850 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 740 Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $1,995 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 374 Baynes St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1126 | $1,550 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 100 Forest Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1304 | $2,560 | $1.96 | 2d | 14 | 1.02mi |
| 550 Busti Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1638 | $1,500 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 685 Auburn Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 37 Abbottsford Pl Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $1,650 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 836 Richmond Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1982 | $4,500 | $2.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 891 Richmond Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,800 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 21 College St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 190 Whitney Pl Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $1,550 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $174,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $174,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $174,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $174,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $174,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $174,900 916-char remark
-
2026-04-28$199,000 Active 916-char remark
-
2021-08-31soldstatus $155,000
-
2017-02-22soldstatus $70,000 Closed Sale or Rented 232-char remark
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
West Side double with a one car garage, dry basement and fully rented. Long term tenants. Rents can be much higher. Updated electrical service and newer hot water tanks. Lots of new windows. Glass block windows. Section 8 approved!!
-
2017-02-22soldstatus $70,000
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
West Side double with a one car garage, dry basement and fully rented. Long term tenants. Rents can be much higher. Updated electrical service and newer hot water tanks. Lots of new windows. Glass block windows. Section 8 approved!!
-
2017-01-13historical Under Contract- Do Not Show 232-char remark
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
West Side double with a one car garage, dry basement and fully rented. Long term tenants. Rents can be much higher. Updated electrical service and newer hot water tanks. Lots of new windows. Glass block windows. Section 8 approved!!
-
2017-01-08$79,900 Active 232-char remark
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
West Side double with a one car garage, dry basement and fully rented. Long term tenants. Rents can be much higher. Updated electrical service and newer hot water tanks. Lots of new windows. Glass block windows. Section 8 approved!!
-
1999-09-29soldstatus $29,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $548 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,752 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,204/yr (+$100/mo · 219.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,152
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$548
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,492
- − Management
- −$2,492
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable income
- $9,860
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,366
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,815/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,107
- Household income
- $53,870
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1501.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 18% Asian 12% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Philippines, Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.51%
- Current HPI
- 448.4879
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.49%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+484.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $174,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $199,000 WNYREIS
- 2021-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2017-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2017-02-22 Sold (MLS) $70,000 WNYREIS
- 2017-01-13 Contingent — WNYREIS
- 2017-01-08 Listed $79,900 WNYREIS
- 1999-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.7%/yrLatest (2025): $548 · +35.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…