2949 Iowa St · Granite City, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Price listed is Starting Bid Only. Bidding starts closing 6/4/2026 @ 5 p. m. Recently updated and remodeled 3BR/2BA home with a full, partially finished basement and attached single-car garage in Granite City, IL! Whether you are searching for a move-in ready primary residence or a terrific addition to your investment portfolio, this well-maintained property offers comfort, functionality, and long-term value. The welcoming front entrance opens to a spacious combined living and dining area that flows into a well-equipped kitchen complete with all appliances and a center island. Two equally spacious bedrooms share a full bathroom that is conveniently located, while the primary bedroom feature
Key facts
- 4,800 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1923
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approximately 1,979 total (1,248 above grade, 731 below grade)
- Financial info: Auction sale indicated; Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space, 1 total parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Private ownership
- Construction: Architectural shingle roof; Other construction materials
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Front yard and back yard; Few trees on the lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
- Flooring: See remarks
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partially finished full basement with interior entry; Updated/remodeled condition
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $641 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.7% vs local median 7.0% in Granite City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#623 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Granite City CUSD 9 (suburban): math 9% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #570 of 620 in IL (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Granite City High School (math 10% / reading 12%, grade F, #522 of 693 statewide, top 76%, 1,805 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 59% district-wide (59 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 194 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.95%
- DSCR
- 3.45
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,651
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- -64.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2909 Grand Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,352 (+8%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $96 | 74 |
| 2655 State St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,303 (+4%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $127 | 65 |
| 2604 E 27th St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,188 (-5%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $114 | 64 |
| 2922 Marshall Ave | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,346 (+8%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $37 | 59 |
| 2529 E 25th St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,276 (+2%) | 5mo | $99,000 | $78 | 57 |
| 3043 Myrtle Ave | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,076 (-14%) | 4mo | $27,000 | $25 | 56 |
| 3127 Wayne Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,150 (-8%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $109 | 53 |
| 3308 Colgate Pl | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-14%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $144 | 52 |
| 1530 Johnson Rd | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+12%) | 0mo | $98,000 | $70 | 50 |
| 2533 Iowa St | 0.69mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,191 (-5%) | 5mo | $29,500 | $25 | 49 |
| 3119 Rodger Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,150 (-8%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $100 | 46 |
| 2807 Edwards St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,121 (-10%) | 2mo | $122,000 | $109 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.22×
- Total profit
- $31,053
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 56.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.21×
- Total profit
- $72,923
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62040
- Home prices YoY
- -21.8%
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 194
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,305 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,283/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $641
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2415 Jerden Ave Granite City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,400 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2715 Center St Unit B Granite City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,275 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 303 Wilson Park Ln Granite City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 8d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2556 Center St Granite City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,500 | $1.72 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2450 Cleveland Blvd Apt A Granite City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $825 | $0.98 | 18d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2317 Grand Ave Granite City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $750 | $0.67 | 8d | 1 | 1.02mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $50,000 Pending 35 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $50,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$50,000 Active 1871-char remark
-
2026-05-01historical $50,000 1871-char remark
-
1993-04-20soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,283 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,283 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,662
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$1,283
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,253
- − Management
- −$1,253
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $7,368
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,768
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,925/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Granite City CUSD 9
- NCES district ID
- 1717280
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,082
- Composite
- 9.15/100
- National rank
- #9864
- State rank
- #570 of 620 in IL
Livability — Granite City
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #623
- US rank
- #12751
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Granite City, IL
- County
- Madison County · 189,064 people
- City population
- 40,404
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,404
- Household income
- $60,031
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 923.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 258,371 people
- By 2030
- 251,523 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 233,640 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 213,042 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 165,255 · -36.0%
- By 2100
- 123,953 · -52.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.88%
- Current HPI
- 204.4612
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.67%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-9.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $50,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Coming Soon $50,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2024): $1,283 · +10.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…